Current State of the Tablet Market
I've been thinking about this and the usual slew of car analogies are wrong.
It's not like the phone market. It actually reminds me of nothing so much as the Home Computer market in the late 80's. The myriad of 8-bit Home Computers has pretty much died, people are buying Segas and Nintendos for their kids and Ataris or Amstrad Word Processing boxes for themselves, usually running CP/M.
And then there's this new thing called Windows RT which is kind of like buying a 286 running DOS. You'd have to be an idiot to buy one of those. Right? DOS sucks, after all. DOOM hasn't been written yet. You can't play Mortal Kombat on that thing and it costs a fortune.
Much the way that the 286 PC should have died on the vine, logically speaking, RT should also die on the vine. The 286 went on to become the box we're all using - yes, even you, Mac user - mainly because IBM.
The real question here - and please leave the gibbering fanboi arguments at home for this one - is, are Microsoft powerful enough to be IBM in this century? It's an interesting one. Almost every damn business in the world runs their stuff so they're arguably even stronger. And it's not as if IBM were ever well liked by their clients - far from it, in fact - so can we not stoop to the "but people hate..." stuff, please?
If they are, the tablet market may eventually follow the home computing market. If they're not, it won't.
That's my theory. What's your take on it?