* Posts by JaiGuru

3 publicly visible posts • joined 26 Apr 2012

Russian deputy PM: 'We are coming to the Moon FOREVER'

JaiGuru

And just like that the crimea situation solves itself. Goodbye Russia. Don't come back.

Meet the man building an AI that mimics our neocortex – and could kill off neural networks

JaiGuru

This man is a traitor to flesh. Advanced AI is being developed to replace YOU who read this comment. You don't have a share in the future it will bring about. Anyone who betrays flesh is guilty of crimes against humanity.

Can Windows 8 bag Microsoft 20 more years at the top?

JaiGuru

Divining the future/Flame Bait.

I am not convinced of the "game changing" nature of cloud computing, OR tablet/cellphone-styled computers will be dominant in the market forever. They are a new and novel technology who's cost is only just now beginning to lower enough for the average curious joe to partake in the feeding frenzy for ipads and smart phones. But novelty has a nasty habit of wearing off. Apple has done a magnificent job in putting the "cool" into their product. That said, rummage through your parent's old photos and then come tell me that nothing dies a more horrible death than last generation's notion of cool.

I predict, rather unpopularly, that this trend will slow down to be more or less equal with desktop sales. I believe this will happen because I suspect portable computing will remain supplementary to the desktop environment in the long term. While this will make stodgey old programs like operating systems LESS relevant, it will not force them out. Cloud computing itself will also only be supplementary to localized storage/processing.

My evidence for that is found in an economy that is faltering, energy prices perpetually going up for the long term forseable future and, even more importantly, security. Sony's experience with PS3 hurt them, and hurt their online platform. This time it was just video games, but the first time a forbe's 500 or a large swath of the population has their tax information stolen from a cloud based program, they'll become smart real quick about localized processing. The market will swing back and we'll see a balancing act between the two forms stabalise. And let's be honest here; the concept of programs as a service, whether that be pay by the hour or a flat rate fee to use, is unproven on a large scale. In an age of a vanishing middle class, I don't necessarily see it being all that popular once people really get smacked with those first few bills and see that it magically now costs them a ton of money to do what they were doing for free after software purchase a year r two ago.

Microsoft is in a very good position to take advantage of this.

Sorry for the wall of text.