Climate Change is Currently More Theology Than Science
1. Climate change is currently more theology than science.
2. We're told to believe it because 'climate change scientists' believe it.
3. Normal scientific dissent and discussion is suppressed.
4. Only one proposed solution is presented.
5. Raw data is suppressed.
6. Data is manipulated to fit results.
7. How accurate are climate change models? Test them on something simple.
- Do they forecast past weather changes?
- Do they forecast future weather changes?
They're never going to be able to forecast the weather in the UK accurately -- the UK is simply too small an area and weather is too chaotic. They're never going to be able to forecast the weather on a specific day accurately -- again too chaotic.
But if they had accurate models they would be able to forecast whether the weather in a large area like Western Canada would be above average, near average, or below average for a 30 day period 3 months from now.
Environment Canada uses 20 different weather modeling processes, combines the results and only comes up with 50% accuracy. Three choices, 50% accuracy. Better than chance, but not much better.
The models are just not accurate yet.
8. What we should be doing is replacing the climate change theologians with real scientists and developing better models for what is going on.
- If current climate change is man-made that is actually very good news. We can probably deal with it one way or another.
- If current climate change is a natural process that is potentially terrible news. We might not be able to do anything about it.
- We need proper scientists doing real science to determine what is really going on. I believe this means more spending in taking measurements in space and oceanographic programs.
9. I'm 59. For most of my life scientists have worried that we'd lapse back into another glacial period. We're in an interglacial period in an ice age.
The old computer models that they had for most of my life showed that one summer the Bering Straight would not thaw in summer and we'd be straight into having glaciers covering Canada, the northern USA and huge parts of Europe and Asia.
A renewed glaciation is going to destroy way more cities and agricultural land than sea levels rising 10 m.
Low lying cities on ocean shorelines are libel to damage from tsunamis anyways.
10. We really desperately need better models of climate and the chemistry of the atmosphere and oceans to be able to know if we're at risk of another period of increased glaciation, or if we're in danger of the ice age we live in ending, or both.
We need to know what's broke and how it's broke before we going turning the world upside down to fix it. And we need to know it soon, just in case it turns out to be urgent.
That's how I see it.