* Posts by mathew42

491 posts • joined 29 Sep 2011

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US Marine Corps chiefs declare WAR on stolen sex snap sharing scum

mathew42
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Megaphone

Re: War on ${HotTopic}

While I agree that stamping out porn has no chance of success, this is different. This is invading a person's right to privacy.

Would you be okay with others at your work having naked photos of you taken without your consent most likely in an area where you could reasonably expect privacy and sharing those photos? I think many people would wonder everytime someone looked at them if that person was mentally undressing them to compare with a naked photo. It is reasonable to expect that in any other work environment the participants would also be disciplined and most likely sacked. It is reasonable to expect that criminal charges would occur.

Lastly military personel need be held to an honour code because war is a highly charged environment and it takes discipline to not take revenge on prisoners or civilians.

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Tesla, Atlassian told to go through front door in effort to save Australian industrial civilisation

mathew42
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Frequency regulation

The biggest issue SA faces in the power grid is keeping the frequency consistent across the grid. Each wind tower is a micro generator which needs to be kept in sync with the grid and that was the cause of failure when the entire state was blacked out.

Large generators are great at regulating frequency because they have a high inertia.

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mathew42
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mathew42
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WTF?

Tax payers won't be slugged.

This is my favourite line from the press conference:

The Premier said SA taxpayers would not be slugged for the energy plan and the money would come from budget surpluses.

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mathew42
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Mushroom

Re: Ozzies

Even better AEMO are forecasting a gas supply shortage will threaten nation's power supplies.

Nuclear is the correct option but timeframes are too long.

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nbn™ puts the acid on Australia's ISPs to speed up its NBN

mathew42
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FAIL

Re: The Need For Speed

The last mile is only a small factor in the performance. If your RSP offers unlimited connections then a few people joining the RSP on the same PoI who download significantly above the average (e.g. torrent) can impact on performance significantly.

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mathew42
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WTF?

Aussies not demanding speed

The reality is with 83% (and rising) selecting 25Mbps or slower, Australians are not interested / prepared to pay for faster speeds.

The second issue is how do you determine the minimum speed and identify the point of congestion? A slowdown could occur because of:

  • Performance of client device (computer, smarttv, phone, etc.)
  • Performance of internal cabling / wireless netowrk
  • Performance of modem / router
  • Performance between premise and PoI - NBNCo could monitor
  • Performance at PoI - NBNCo could monitor
  • Performance on RSP's internal network
  • Performance at RSP's external gateways
  • Performance of network beyond RSP's gateways
  • Performance of server providing data

Of these, how many does the RSP have direct control over? A poorly thought through decision will result in significant additional cost with negligible benefit. The RSP supplied free modems are typically budget and don't meet the needs of everyone. For example:

  • A person in a large home might require the latest and greatest wireless technology for maximum reach
  • A torrentor will require a router that is able to handle a very large number of open connections
  • A person using it primarily for interactive uses (gaming, remote work, video conferencing, etc.) will require high QoS features

Should an RSP be expected to provide high quality video conferencing between their customers and someone sitting in Kinshasa when I'm using an early generation Android tablet? If not where does an RSP's responsibility start / end?

Why shouldn't I be able to choose an RSP who provided unlimited data in the knowledge that peak speeds are likely to be impacted?

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mathew42
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Holmes

Natural consequence of cheap unlimited quota is slow speeds

The Tragedy of the Commons means that most people will not use shared resources efficiently especially when isolated from other users.

As the last mile becomes faster, those on unlimited connections will leave 4HD Stan, etc. running for background sound or simply because they don't care. If a few people do this network performance for everyone is trashed.

The sensible alternative is quotas which are used to manage other shared resources (e.g. fisheries).

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Competition and wholesale costs, not lack of fibre, crimp broadband in Australia

mathew42
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FAIL

Re: FTTN could be faster than FTTP

> And again the 1Gbps lol here is your excuse again no isp is selling 1Gnps what's your next excuse?

Why call facts an excuse? NBNCo have made 1Gbps plans available to RSPs since December 2013. There must be a reason RSPs are not selling these plans, especially when you consider the first to do so would capture the early adopters.

> If you believe in only 25Mbps when other countries has already delivered 1Gbps and soon to be 40Gnps connection.

Are you happy with the outcome of Labor's plan being 83% on 25Mbps or slower connections?

> You you got want you want we will be devaded behind the rest of the world.

Clearly you are so distracted by my explanations of the reality of Labor's plans (<1% on 1Gbps in 2026) versus the spin (1Gbps FTTP for all) that you've misunderstood my argument. Removing speed tiers from a 1Gbps network would deliver the innovation you desire and also make HFC & FTTN performance look second rate. Sadly the reality is that Labor designed a network where only a very privileged few will ever see the speeds and associated benefits available elsewhere.

Before you can fix a problem you need to determine what the problem is. It has been very clear since 2010 that speed tiers on the NBN would create a digital divide in Australia between rich & poor.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: close, but no cigar

> 2.64% on 25Mbps and higher is a go out come. Considering the country has been stuck on 4Mbps

Sorry, but I'm not sure what you are trying to say here. I'm also not sure where the 4Mbps comes from. The average speed for ADSL2+ connections is 11.9Mbps according to data from Internode and iiNet published in Fibre to the Node: At what price?. For 80% of customers had access to 6Mbps or faster.

> How much is the cost of upgrading the hfc and fttn to deliver 1Gbps 10 years after it's required?

What you call fanboi stats are a simple progession of Labor's plan. You avoidance of the question is it good that "83% are on 25Mbps or slower" indcates to me that you are a selfish person who expects to be in the privileged 10% with speeds faster than this. Your absence of facts is Trump like.

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mathew42
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WTF?

Re: FTTN could be faster than FTTP

> So you claim of a good technical solution is to build a network that delivers snywhere from 5Mbps to 100Mbps where everyone pays the same price.

WRONG. I have never claimed that FTTN or HFC or 4G is good technical solution.

What I have stated is that for 83% of Australians if you remove the speed tiers from FTTN, that their connections will be faster than FTTP with speed tiers. The point of this is to show how bad policy can ruin a better techical solution.

> But Mathew you kee harping on about 83% on 25Mbps or less which is still more than what labor was aiming for isn't it.

SORRY but very WRONG! Labor predicted in the NBNCo Corporate Plan that 25Mbps and slower connections would be under 60% by now and approaching 10% of connections would be 250Mbps.

> So really the take up figures are better than what labor predicted.

Instead we find 0% on 250Mbps and 13% and shrinking on 100Mbps. I'd hardly call this a better than Labor's predicted outcome. I'm curious as to how you can see this as better.

I really suggest you read the NBNCo Corporate Plans to understand that for a document that was promoted as 'conservative' has been shown to be extremely optimistic. It is worth looking at Labor's updated NBNCo Corporate Plans where they increase the percentaage on higher speed plan based on early connection data which was heavily biased towards early adopters.

By discounting CVC, the LIberals are very effectively forcing NBNCo to source more revenue from AVC reducing the demand for higher speeds. Clever policy which has support of the fibre fanbois, but will result in more people choosing cheaper slower plans.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: FTTN could be faster than FTTP

> Mathew you know it's 14% on fttp currently paying for 100Mbps while it was only 7% on fttn paying for 100Mbps.

Actually I don't. The 13% on 100Mbps comes from nbn 2017 half year results and in particular slide 10 of the attached presentation which only presents a breakdown for fixed line. Can you supply a source for your numbers?

> IF fttn is so good as you claim we should be expecting the same %

My point is not that FTTP is theoretically faster than FTTN, but that for 83% of Australians choosing 25Mbps or slower FTTN, HFC & FTTP deliver essentially the same experience. This is the practical outcome of Labor's decision to build the NBN network with speed tiers, as distinct from their spin about building a 1Gbps FTTP network and failing to highlight their expectation that <1% would connect at those speeds in 2026.

If you believe in a FTTP only network then what is your justification for 83% of Australians (and growing) only having speeds limited to those available on HFC & FTTN.

Is it equitable that Labor predicted in 2026 less than 1% will have a 1Gbps connection?

Are we maximising the innovation potential of the nation with speed tiers limiting 83% to 25Mbps or slower?

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: FTTN could push up speeds faster

Optus have turned on their 1Gbps 4.5G network in Macquarie Park, Sydney. The alternative is that competition between Telstra, Optus & Vodafone is driving up performance and driving down prices, while Labor structuring NBNCo as monopoly has resulted in poor performance.

Pretty sad when FTTP connections are routinely slower than 4G.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: You missed the POI Cockup

Sadly the fibre fanbois supported Conroy in claiming the 121 PoI decision was not an issue even when Simon Hackett wrote NBN Points of Interconnect and the future of competition way back in December 2010.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: NBN: A one man, one act play

> ideological commitment to private ownership of key infrastructure

You are aware that Labor planned to privatise NBNCo as soon as it became profitable?

> You get the politicians (and networks) you deserve.

Cannot agree more. The fibre fanbois ignored criticisms of Labor's NBN plans and instead became Conroy's cheersquad, because they were blinded by the shiny fibre light. The result is a FTTP network with speed tiers where 83% are connected at speeds easily supported by FTTN & HFC.

If Labor had eliminated speed tiers then with 100% on 1Gbps, FTTN would have been near on impossible to justify and HFC challenging. The Liberals are now in the position to instruct NBNCo to remove the speed tiers on FTTN as the variable performance is unacceptable and simply mandate a minimum speed of 25Mbps. Labor's amazing talent in constructing a FTTP network which is slower for 83% than the Liberal FTTN network will be on display.

> Might be time to stop relying on luck eh?

Might be time to stop relying on government hand-outs. After supporting Labor in placing the NBNCo being on budget and deliver a 7% return on investment, the telecommunications industry is now requesting that the value of NBNCo write down the investment by $20 billion. Labor's original budget was < $30 billion.

Might also be time to consider what digital equality means in the country.

- Is 13% on 100Mbps and falling acceptable or indictive of a digital divide?

- Is Labor's plan for less than 1% on 1Gbps in 2026 acceptable or a plan for a digital divide.

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mathew42
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Re: close, but no cigar

> You complain believe about how wrong you 50% on 12Mbps. Because Telstra isn't selling 12Mbos lol.

WRONG. I provide some reasonable evidence based in facts why the % on 25Mbps is significantly higher than Labor predicted. I then point out that the 12 + 25Mbps is 83% which is significantly higher than Labor forecast.

Can you offer an opinion on:

1. I consider 83% on 25Mbps or slower a worse outcome than 50% on 12Mbps. Can you provide reasons as to why you think it is a better outcome?

2. Is 83% of connections at 25Mbps or slower a good outcome for a network capable of 1Gbps?

3. Are FTTN & HFC capable of delivering 25Mbps?

The 1% on 1Gbps is to point out that unless you consider yourself in the top 1% of Australians by income or can make a very good business case to your employer then under Labor's plan it is extremely unlikely that you would have received FTTP before 2030.

The point that NBNCo have offerred RSPs 1Gbps since December 2013, but do not offer plans faster than 100Mbps is to give you the opportunity to make some informed commentary as to why RSPs are not offering this speed.

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mathew42
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Re: FTTN could be faster than FTTP

> Due to the actions or inactions that the Coalition are performing which have totally decimated the NBN, that is probably true.

For 83% of Australians connected at 25Mbps there isn't a perceptible difference between FTTN, HFC or FTTP. More accurately you might say for 13% and shrinking who are willing to pay for 100Mbps connections switching to FTTN has reduced their options. Now this is only 13% within the FTTN footprint and these people have the option of moving to a FTTP area. Further it has to be acknowledged that the demand for 100Mbps service is more likely to come from younger people within society who are more likely to live in apartments, many of which are serviced by FTTB.

> though many on FTTP are faster, the 4G connections are more ubiquitous

The evidence shows that 4G average speeds are already faster than 31% of NBN 12Mbps connections and trending towards being faster than 83% of NBN connections.

> No, they never did...creating a business plan is not a "prediction".

Business plans typically set out what you hope to achieve. Typically they include a comparison with competitors. Labor's NBNCo Corporate Plan clearly documented how speed tiers would result in a low take-up of fast plans leading to Australia falling behind.

> But considering that they had control for only a year of commercial rollout, it is hard to fault anything they did as most of it has been done by others.

Labor's pricing structure for the NBN and an instance that it make a return on investment have shapped the NBN more than any other change. If Labor were still in power then all the evidence suggests that 83% would still be connecting at 25Mbps or slower as this figure has barely changed with the addition of FTTN to the network. The only change made by the Liberals to the financial mdoel was to reduce the price of CVC faster than Labor planned.

Labor's NBN plan was only ever going to deliver the promised benefits to a minority of the population (currently 13% and shrinking). On a social equaity basis this would be sufficient justification for cancelling the project as a policy which is not delivering.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Ban unlimited plans

> It appears you don't even read what you post...the article from 2008 that had some wild speculation about Comcast adding limits is more proof that they do NOT want to do it, for if they did don't you think that in 9 years they might have done something?

Did you check for a more recent article? I suggest searching to learn that Comcast did implement quotas and last year boosted them from 300GB to 1TB. I included an old article show it wasn't a new idea.

> 600 Million (the VAST majority of homes)

World population is currently 7.5 billion. Approximately 2.5 people live in each house in West and China. If you look at poor contries the number is higher, but falls steeply as wealth increases. Lets assume 4 people per house, that would be 1.875 billion households. Most people would struggle to call 1/3 the vast majority of homes.

> Just because not everyone owns a car is no reason to not build highways.

Poor analogy. Building an NB with speed tiers is the equivalent of building multi-lane highways where the slow lane is capped at walking pace while the fast lane doesn't have a speed limit. Labor predicted NBN demand to be such that in 2026 less the 2026 less than 1% would travel in the fast lane.

Toll roads also typically don't charge an access fee. They simply charge a usage fee.

> You apparently have no idea what G.Fast is

All I did was cut-n-past a quote from an article you referenced to provoke a reaction. I made zero comment as to the validty of Deloitte's statement.

> You continue to Trumpify these very old articles and claim that together they have some bizarre meaning, much to the degradation of your reputation.

Who is making baseless statements that have been shown to be wrong?

A better example of holding a position which denies the evidence would be fibre fanbois who refuse to acknowledge that for 83% of Australians who have chosen 25Mbps speeds on the NBN there is no perceptible difference between FTTP, FTTN & HFC.

My guess is you are in the 13% (and shrinking) who want the government to subsidise their internet connection. If you were in the 1% who Labor predicted would connect to 1Gbps in 2026 then I doubt you would care because $20,000 for FoD would be pocket change.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Ban unlimited plans

> Please list those "RSPs" as I have not seen them...is this something you thought you read somewhere?

Try google. Just like wasteful people would leave a tap running if water wasn't metered, wasteful people will leave a video stream running when they are not watching it.

- Get read for 250GB quotas

- Bandwidth Cap

- Internet in Canada

> "we forecast about 600 million subscribers may be on networks that offer a Gigabit tariff as of 2020, representing the majority of connected homes in the world"

Lets unpack that statement based on the the report:

- In 2016, only 10 million on 1Gbps out of 250 million connections capable of 1Gbps.

- In 2020, between 50-100 million out of 600 million (5-10% of all broadband connections)

By comparision Labor planned for <1% of NBN connections to be 1Gbps in 2026. At least they were honest about their plan leading to an increasing gap between Australia and other nations.

> most all countries will have a Gigabit offering to their entire populace by 2020

Unless it is a mobile or satellite data service I seriously doubt this for countries like USA, Indonesia, Thailand and most other third-world countries. In the rich suburbs of major cities on Java I can see that happening but beyond Java most islands rely on satellite.

Even Labor's plan was to cover only 90% of Australia with FTTP.

Did you miss the bit in the article from which I quote:

"The other fiber technology, known as Fiber to the Cabinet (FTTC) is unlikely to deliver Gbit/s speeds in 2016, but an evolution of the technology known as G.FAST (also known as Fiber to the Street, or FTTS), in trial phase in 2016, should offer speeds in the hundreds of megabits per second (Mbit/s), and Gbit/s (with the headline speed an aggregate of uplink and downlink speeds) by 2019, if not earlier. For carriers with copper-based networks, FTTS could offer much higher speeds over existing copper connections running into homes, significantly reducing the upgrade costs."

With Telstra rolling out 1Gbps mobile this year. This will be fastest retail plan in Australia by an order of magnitude.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Ban unlimited plans

> 'using' an internet connection does not - use as many packets of data as you like. no animals will be harmed in the process.

WRONG! Those packets require require electricity to move. Last time I checked climate change was harming animals.

> yes, there are infrastructure costs, but these are already factored in.

WRONG! NBNCo GPON architecure is 2.5Gbps more data flowing across the network will require upgrading GPON and internal routers.

> yes, it costs more to deliever a 1000mbps service, but thats ok too - just charge the actual cost of providing the service.

WRONG! Every single FTTP connection is capable of delivering 1Gbps with no physical change. The cost of the hardware remains the same if it is turned on or not and irrespective of the speed. It is only when multiple customers start to transfer data concurrently in sufficient quantities that the limits in GPON and routers are reached, meaning that NBNCo need to upgrade hardware.

> unfortunately, we just chose a bad model for recovering costs.

Something we agree on. Labor chose a dogs breakfast for cost recovery: An artificial model containing high access charges and high data charges. The Liberals are tweaking the model slightly by reducing CVC costs to reduce the portion of revenue from CVC so that AVC prices cannot be reduced as quickly (if at all) ensuring that demand for higher speeds is muted.

Labor wrote in the NBNCo Corporate Plan:

"Despite the movement of residential consumers up the speed curve shown in Exhibit 9.12, the growth in AVC (PIR) ARPU is relatively modest. This reflects the small price differential between AVC tiers, and the decline in prices for the higher tiers. However, the consequence of more End-Users moving to higher speed tiers is reflected in the significant rise in the contribution of the CVC to overall ARPU, as increased speed drives increased usage."

AVC should have been set at <$10 wholesale to encourage everyone to connect. As services using more data grow, people will naturally increase their usage (e.g. Stan streams become high quality 4HD streams, instead of highly compressed SD with out the user touching anything). Every so often high end customers reach their quota and upgrade plans, enabling RSPs to purchase more CVC.

CVC revenue increases as quotas increase providing NBNCo with the revenue to upgrade hardware and reduce the CVC pricing. Reduced CVC pricing enables RSPs to increase the quota on plans as we've seen with ADSL.

A higher proportion of revenue from CVC incentivises NBNCo to offer faster speeds and maintain a congestion free network. For example upgrading from GPON2.5 to GPON10 has the potential to increase CVC revenue 4 fold delivering a rapid return on investment. The alternative is a high connection fee (AVC) meaning that NBNCo have less incentive to reinvest in the network because very few will upgrade. Evidence for this is the 13% and falling on 100Mbps and the inability of RSPs to develop a viable business case for faster NBN connections.

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mathew42
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Re: FTTN could push up speeds faster

Telstra deploying 1Gbps for boasting rights. Same reason that Labor promoted 1Gbps before the 2010 election in resposne to Google Fibre. Neither party expect many people to connect at those speeds and both parties include quotas to minimise the impact on the network. RSPs spoilt this by responding to customer demands for unlimited internet creating congestion. NBNCo are fighting back by discounting CVC based on the ratio of connections : CVC.

There are also some technical advantages of faster speeds, but only with quotas. Users finish their large downloads more quickly freeing up capacity for other users, rather than taking a longer time to download the content.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: close, but no cigar

> the only reason I chose a slower speed "to the house" is because the CVC provisioning makes it useless to try for more.

The problem is not CVC provisioning. The problem is that RSPs are overselling the service. Find an RSP that doesn't offer unlimited and doesn't share with another RSP that does.

> even though I want to "go faster", I cant.

In the real world, people leave home earlier / later to avoid peak hour traffic. From all accounts the peak times on the NBN are between 6pm - midnight so working at home during the day should be fine.

> i'd gladly pay for 1gbps if I knew I would actually get it. working from home would be awesome!

Just how much of a premium would you pay? Consider that Labor who touted 1Gbps expected that less than 1% would have 1Gbps connections in 2026.

The alternative is that NBNCo could remove the speed tiers and everyone on FTTP has 1Gbps. Labor would be sensible to consider this as it would expose the technical limitations of FTTN.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Ban unlimited plans

> People expect unmetered internet because that is the way it is for the rest of the world.

RSPs in most countries are trying to move away from unlimited plans because a small percentage of users download most of the data causing all the performance issues on the network. Do you have unlimited electricity or water? No because people would waste electricity and water if they didn't need to pay for it. In many places water wasn't metered in Australia, but that has changed. On unlimited plans, people will leave Stan on streaming as backround noise. With quotas people will learn to switch off Stan when not in use.

However, I do agree that customer demand is for unlimited plans and the limited market choice in Australia (essentially TPG, Optus & Telstra) make it difficult for people to pay a premium for performance, because once a company offers unlimited plans on NBN performance drops sharply.

> People expect Gigabit because the rest of the world is expecting it by 2020.

I suggest the reality is that only a few countries are expecting 1Gbps networks across metropolitan areas (cities > 10,000) by 2020. USA, Canada & UK can definitely be excluded from the list.

> They will all surpass us in the next 3 years.

Not unexpected. If you read the NBNCo Corporate Plans released by Labor you can find Labor's expectation for average speed in Australia and the exponentially widenning gap between Australia and the rest of the world. (Exhibit 9.23: Average Speed if you want to check).

You should have read Labor's NBNCo Corporate Plan in 2010 and it would have been blindingly obvious the gap betwen Labor spin (1Gbps FTTP for all) and the fine print (<1% connected at 1Gbps in 2026).

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: FTTN could be faster than FTTP

> If you remived speeds on both fttn and ftp which would be faster?

The point of asking the question is to make people realise how you can build a good technical solution and then have Labor politicians completely ruin the capability with an artificial pricing model that includes speed tiers.

In the retail market today, the internet connections with the fastest peak speeds are 4G. Crazy world isn't it?

> Btw how's the 50% going to be on 12Mbps for labor plan. Please use speed take up figures from nbn co media release when answering. You used go on about that one until it was shown to you it's a LOT less than they planed for.

What Labor didn't include in their forecast was that Telstra wouldn't offer 12Mbps plans which has distorted the take-up figures. The total of 12Mbps + 25Mbps is ~20% higher than Labor forecast.

Labor predicted that by now 250Mbps plans would be close to 10% Instead we find 0% on 250Mbps and 13% and shrinking on 100Mbps.

I'd hardly call that a success for high speed NBN. Do you?

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mathew42
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Facepalm

Re: close, but no cigar

Definitely hyperbole, but considering that NBNCo have offerred 1Gbps connections wholesale since Dec 2013 and not a single RSP is offering a plan faster than 100Mbps you would have to admit real money where my mouth is demand must be close to non-existant, especially when you realise the first company to offer faster plan will achieve significant advantage by attracting the early adopters.

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mathew42
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Unhappy

Re: close, but no cigar

When 83% on fibre are choosing to connect at 25Mbps or slower you could install gold-plated direct fibre and it wouldn't make a difference to average speeds.

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mathew42
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Re: Scope Creep

This quote from Senator Coonan: Beazley's a telco "bandit" implies at 6Mbps it would have been FTTN.

Beazley's proposed network - which would bring broadband of up to six megabits per second - failed Shadow Spokesperson for Communications, Senator Stephen Conroy's own test for ‘true' broadband (at least 10 megabits per second), Coonan said.

Rudd having deposed Beazley took FTTN to the 2007 election and only switched to FTTP when Telstra blocked FTTN by not responding to the request to build the network.

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mathew42
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Trollface

FTTN could be faster than FTTP

Question: If speed tiers were removed from FTTN and left on FTTP which connection on average would be faster?

Please use speed tier take-up figures from NBNCo media releases when answering, and not what you personally would order.

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mathew42
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FAIL

FTTN could push up speeds faster

> just maybe, fttp is the only thing pushing up Australia's average speeds

83% of connections are 25Mbps or slower. This has only increased slightly with the addition of FTTN connections. The reality is that apart from a small minority (13%) most Australians don't care enough about faster connections to pay more.

More than 3 years after NBNCo made 1Gbps plans available ot retailers in December 2013, you cannot buy a plan faster than 100Mbps. Meanwhile Telstra are deploying 1Gbps mobile networks. I'm not suggesting mobile is the answer for reliable high quota plans, but at this point in time in the right conditions mobile data is significantly faster than fixed copper/fibre in Australia for retail customers.

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mathew42
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Facepalm

Ban unlimited plans

Water, electricity and gas services are metered yet people expect unmetered internet.

RSPs need to ditch unlimited plans / streaming excluded plans, so that people don't leave netflix running as background noise. For example, my kids were watching youtube videos simply to listen to music. Actually spent some money on a streaming service and consumption has dropped :-).

NBNCo could encourage this by basing CVC discounts on combination of quota per user and CVC per user.

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nbn™ tops AU$400 million half-year revenue

mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Chance would be a fine thing

Fraud was Labor promising 1Gbps FTTP just prior to the 2010 election without mentioning that they expected less than 1% to be connected at that speed in 2026. Labor's predictions in the NBNCo Corporate Plan on take-up of the speeds tiers has proven to be optimistic with the exception of 25Mbps plan. If Telstra had offered at 12Mbps plan, then it is likely that for all speeds except 12Mbps take-up would have been lower than forecast by Labor.

The IT community should share significant culpibility for not calling Labor out on the inevitable result of building an NBN with speed tiers. Instead most were blinded by the shiny fibre, like a 2 year old can be distracted by a lolly.

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mathew42
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FAIL

83% selecting 25Mbps or slower

The problem is that only a small number of Australians (13% and falling) are willing to pay for fast internet speeds. Labor created the current situation by choosing to implement speed tiers (AVC) and also charge for data (CVC). If Labor had made the sensible decision of providing 1Gbps FTTP on all connections, then FTTN & HFC would not have been possible. Instead Labor planned that less than 1% would have 1Gbps in 2026! It would be reasonable to assume that only the elite could afford the 1Gbps connections.

Note that the 31% on 12/1Mbps is artificially lower because Telstra are not offering this speed tier. I would expect that if Telstra offered 12/1Mbps that it would most likely be the most popular plan.

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mathew42
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FAIL

NBNCo Inflated Higher Speed Tiers

Starting on 1 November 2016 and ending on 31 March 2017, NBNCo offerred RSPs a Step Up AVC Credit, which made if free for RSPs to upgrade customers to the next hightest speed tier. I expect we will see the number on 100Mbps fall further when the figures at 30 June 2017 are released.

Still no mention of FTTP speeds faster than 1Gbps when these have been available since December 2013. Meanwhile Telstra are promoting 1Gbps 4G services.

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Deadly Tesla smash probe: No recall needed, says Uncle Sam

mathew42
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Insurance companies watching

> A 40% reduction in accidents and it's not even news.

I expect that insurance companies are watching very closely because a 40% reduction in accidents would mean a very big saving. My opinion is that it is insurance premiums that will drive the take-up of driverless cars as the premium difference diverge.

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Oz government on its Centrelink debacle: 'This is fine'

mathew42
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Solution: Universal Income

This makes a good argument for Universal Income. The bureaucracy could be removed, the bulk of the 30,000+ public servants in the Department of Human Services would no longer be required and hopefully the ATO workforce could also be cut significantly.

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The wait is over ... Nokia's BACK!

mathew42
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Re: Welcome back!

I miss my N900. Jolla is their successor, but sadly the tablet project failed.

The phone sounds reasonable. If it has standard interface, is dual SIM and also supports a microSD card at the same time it will be worth a look. 4GB of ram sounds crazy for a low-end phone.

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Telstra effectively barred from 700 MHz spectrum auction to boost rivals

mathew42
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Not just cell towers, but fibre backhaul as well. Telstra's optical fibre network in regional areas is their biggest advantage.

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Nice NBN rival you built there. What a shame if someone taxed it

mathew42
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Flame

Re: Or another idea

The challenge with providing rural services is backhaul. When only one company (Telstra) services a town the backhaul is ridiculously expensive. The problem competitors face is that the moment they start planning backhaul to a town, Telstra offer discount pricing on long term contracts and discount pricing further when the backhaul goes live. Even with the discounts Telstra still make a profit, just a smaller one.

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mathew42
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Mushroom

Re: Whaaa...?

The Liberals have shown true skill in adjusting the NBN settings to support their arguments that fast speeds are not required by most people and wireless is a viable solution.

- Cutting the CVC price means that AVC revenue has to make a greater share of NBNCo revenue. The impact of this is that faster plans are more expensive reducing take-up of faster speeds.

- Imposing a tax on fixed connections makes wireless connections more competitive

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Subsidising a gov funded organisation?!?!

The only reason that Telstra wanted to build a FTTN network is that other providers were selling a cheaper, faster and more reliable service by installing DSLAMs in exchanges. Telstra's FTTN plan was intended to restore Telstra's monopoly profits by disconnecting the copper from exchanges stranding competitor's DSLAMs.

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US election pollsters weren't (very) wrong – statistically speaking

mathew42
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Facepalm

Re: Mandatory Voting

The lower houses in the Westminster system work very much like this where a party can win the majority of seats and form government but loose the popular vote. There is a long history of malapoportionment typically favouring rural voters. Bjelkemander is an interesting example where the conservative government was able to take advantage of a system originally put in place by the Labor party to advantage themselves.

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mathew42
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Re: Preferential Voting

Australia doesn't have a national holiday. Voting is on a Saturday and you can submit an absentee vote several weeks in advance. You can also vote in any polling booth within your electorate and if a significant distance from your electorate submit an absentee vote on the day. Typically voting takes less than 30 minutes.

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mathew42
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Megaphone

Preferential Voting

Preferential voting (e.g. Instant-runoff voting is the most sensible reform.

* Voters can issue a protest vote against the major parties without wasting their votes

* Candidates with similar supporter bases don't canibalise each other's votes

Compulsory voting tends to push parties towards the centre because voters in the centre are less likely to vote when it is optional and can be swayed against candidates which hold extreme positions.

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Blu Vivo 6: Top value trendsetter marred by Chino-English mangle

mathew42
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Meh

Security Updates & Standard GUI - Please!

Is there any chance one of these companies could deliver standard Android interface and fast security updates?

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Australian government lends nbn™ AU$19.5bn to finish the job

mathew42
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Re: Boad of lollocks

The government should have limited their involvement to the sale of concessions to build and operate wholesale networks in 121 regions across Australia. Some concessions (densly populated inner city areas) would have generated revenue while other locations would have required government subsidies. Add some simple KPIs and we wouldn't be in the mess we are now.

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CERN boffins see strange ... oh, wait, that's just New Zealand moving 2m north

mathew42
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Alert

Re: More a storm than a quake

GeoNet have a list of recent quakes.

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nbn™ aces the easiest construction target it will have for two years

mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Use for 100 mbs?

If you live in a rural community then you are another victim of Labor's FTTP ideology. Labor went to the 2007 election with a FTTN platform, but changed to FTTP in 2008 when Telstra refused to submit a resonable tender to build the network. Replacing existing ADSL with FTTN in small communities (<1000 premises) that were considered unviable for FTTP would and still can deliver significant benefits, even if the fastest speeds are limited to the main street.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Re: Use for 100 mbs?

HD video conferencing with multiple people. Great for people who are isolated (either by location or disability).

Applications would have been found but Labor chose to implement speed tiers on FTTP and consumers have decided that unlimited quota is more important that speed, so as expected the end result has been a 1Gbps network where 83% are limited to 25Mbps or slower. For that 83% FTTN or HFC won't make a noticeable difference.

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mathew42
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FAIL

Inevitable outcome of Labor's speed tiers decision

> There's a tiny drop off in adoption of the 100Mbps download/40Mbps upload speed tier.

14% to 13% represents a 7% decline in 100Mbps connections and still zero availability of plans faster than 100Mbps. In two years the drop from 17% to 17% is a 25% decline. Very much as expected because the percentage of early adopters is declining.

> Might that suggest FTTN users aren't able to get the highest speeds on offer? 25Mbps/5Mbps plans certainly look to be the sweet spot for punters. Which hardly bespeaks broad desire for fast broadband.

The sweet spot for punters is unlimited data. Moving from 25Mbps to 100Mbps means RSP CVC costs can quadrupe, unless congestion enters the network. Punters have noticed the congestion crippling speeds and decided that faster speeds are not worth the expense. This is the exact outcome that was predicted in 2008 when Labor published the NBN Corporate Plan with speed tiers.

In an alternate reality, Labor could have build an NBN without speed tiers resulting in 1Gbps for 93% and FTTN would never have been competitive.

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New Zealand carrier says Cu later, copper: we're giving customers a glassing instead

mathew42
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Alert

Re: Ahead of Australia on fibre tech

Connecting 1TB fibre isn't going to help the situation if RSPs refuse to sell plans faster than 100Mbps and 82% of customers are choosing 25Mbps or slower.

The question I keep pondering is why are Kiwis choosing faster speeds, but Australians are unwilling to spend the extra.

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