That November 2017 AI Index is of some interest.
Bizzaredly, there is a chapter about the performance of SAT solvers, which strikes me as "not AI". SAT solving is as AI as Graphics Processing (didja know that Eclipse plugin dependency resolution is done using the jSAT library? It's true! )
The layout is also following the annoying "tradition" of plastering random text outtakes is LARGE FONT AND DOUBLE SPACING into the middle of text. Presumably to inflate the number of pages of the report, or to be noticeable to short-attention-span readers?
You also get an empty-headed robostatement by Tim Cook about the importance of The Humanities, the need for diversity, roboethics... blah blah blah.
Michael Woolridge of Oxford has this to say on page 66:
The AI Index report makes for fascinating reading, from my perspective as an AI researcher, as Head of Department of Computer Science at the University of Oxford, and also as someone has served as president of the International Joint Conference on AI (http://www.ijcai.org/), and as president of the European Association for AI (http://www.eurai.org/). The report presents compelling and comprehensive evidence that on a range of fronts, AI techniques are making steady progress on core problems that have been associated with AI since its earliest days (game playing, machine translation, theorem proving, question answering, and so on); in many of these, AI is already at or above the accepted level of human expertise. The report also provides pretty clear evidence – as if evidence were really needed – that AI is attracting the attention of students and industry, with admissions exploding on AI courses, and a huge growth in AI startup companies.
There is, clearly, an AI bubble at present; the question that this report raises for me is whether this bubble will burst (cf. the dot com boom of 1996-2001), or gently deflate; and when this happens, what will be left behind? My great fear is that we will see another AI winter, prompted by disillusion following the massive speculative investment that we are witnessing right now. There are plenty of charlatans and snake oil salesmen out there, who are quite happy to sell whatever they happen to be doing as AI, and it is a source of great personal frustration that the press are happy to give airtime to views on AI that I consider to be ill-informed at best, lunatic fringe at worst (for a good recent example, see:
However, while I think some deflation of the current bubble is inevitable within the next few years, I think there is cause for hope that it will be a dignified and gentle deflation, rather than a spectacular bust. The main reason for this is that, as the AI Index clearly demonstrates, AI is delivering on competence....
Which I think is exactly right.
CYC doesn't even get a mention in the report ... CYC transit! But then again, neither does Prolog or logic programming. WTF!