Re: Don't believe it....
@Alexh2o, your point about content creation is key. In many ways the trends that we see today (the rise of Android phones, iPad, etc) is crazy.
Up until relatively recently the devices on which people consumed digital content were largely the same as those used to create it in the first place. Now it’s completely different. The consumers of all things digital now use iThings, Androids. But these devices really suck when it comes to creating anything.
However the rush for consumer orientated tablets and smartphones is for nothing unless there is content. And the serious content creators still need/want a good desktop PC / MAC. They've got commercial time-scales to work to; they've a lot to get through. Bling may be cool, but it doesn’t pay.
I think the world is on the edge of a disaster so far as hard nosed realistic people who have a job to do are concerned. Some predictions:
*PCs and Macs I think will suddenly become *very* expensive as most people will be buying tablets / smartphones. That’s bad news for the world’s content creators.
*RIM is clearly in trouble and may fold. But can you imagine a business world without them? The offerings from their smartphone competition have only a veneer of utility (though MS could get close, because they do Exchange). Deep down the others have little to compare to what Blackberry give their corporate customers to safeguard, control and access data. RIM are interesting (i.e. brave) because they've not abandoned their hard nosed approach to business functionality purely for the sake of chasing bling and fat consumer sales. It's costing them dear.
*The rise of BYOD, Android, iPhone in the workplace is increasing the risk to employers' businesses. Even the people on Capitol Hill see that. It is setting the scene for some spectacular company failures. E.g. a company could easily go under purely because some idiot employee (and there *will* always be one) jail-broke their Android and wound up with a key logger Trojan. Worse still, no one would know why it happened. Blackberries don’t have that problem, and that should still matter to companies.
In all I think current tech trends are leading to less work being done, more unnecessary risk for companies, and a change in work/life balance that in the round is detrimental to an economy. I suspect that company IT people recognise that, but few company directors do.