Re: Majority of trade already outside of EU
- Except we lose all the free trade deals by leaving the EU, but do go on.
The EU *doesn't have* free trade deals with the majority of the world. The US? China? India? Nope, none of the above.
- A lot of the Brexit folks also seem to be saying "we don't want to change everything, just leave the EU and have nothing change - why is that so hard?" which suggests that this hasn't really been thought through to me.
I think you'll find "we don't want anything to change" describes Remain, not Leave :-)
- And that lorry park they're building to replace Operation Stack, that's just for fun is it?
Saves us shutting down the M20 next time :-)
- But 44% of the UK's imports - including food and raw materials to make those exports - comes from the EU. Bit difficult to make things when nobody will ship you the raw materials.
The EU runs a large trade surplus with the UK. Stopping UK bound exports would cause an instant and very severe EU recession. Why should the EU want to do this? Surely they're not that stupid? We certainly would be if we blocked them. Which we don't need to do.
Re your point about German car manufacturers: I was pointing out how sensitive the EU is to disruption to their exports. Building car factories (or moving offices and people) is something that takes years: if BMW wanted to move a factory because it thought Brexit would cause chaos, it would have started in 2016. It still might of course, but there's no sign as yet. So why the desperate cries of "we're doomed"? Pound shop John Laurie's are ten a penny it seems :-)