Re: Propaganda still winning hearts and minds?
I think this comment requires a proper reply, so here goes...
Let's assume that it is possible that people, acting in good faith and with some knowledge of science, make the following observations:
1 - Human acivities are causing an increase in the amount of CO2, methane and other greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.
2 - The laws of physics would seem to suggest that, all other things remaining equal, an increase in greenhouse gases results in higher temperatures (noting that there is no experimental evidence that this is true, but believing that the physics is correct).
3 - From 1880 to 1998, global mean temperatures rose approx 0.8 degrees C.
4 - There has been no increase in global mean temperatures since 1998 and no statistically significant global warming since 1995.
5 - No-one seems to be able to state with certainty what has caused this pause in warming, whether and when it will resume, and whether positive and/or negative feedback in the global climate system will cause runaway warming or asymptotic warming or no further warming at all.
6 - Certain countries have agreed to try and limit and/or reduce their emissions of carbon dioxide. The methods by which this reduction is to be achieved will cost significant sums of money, paid by the consumers and taxpayers of those countries.
7 - Other significant emitting countries have not agreed to limit their CO2 emissions.
Believing these observations to be valid (while open to being corrected on the facts), some ask the following questions:
- Is it fair that we are being asked to lower our incomes to reduce greenhouse gas emissions when others aren't and when there is a lack of clarity as to the outcome if we don't?
- Is the magnitude of the danger from inaction so clearly defined that we must commit significant resources to emission reduction now, regardless of the uncertainty of outcome?
I believe that a large number of Reg readers think that the answer to those 2 questions is No.
Whether or not you agree that the answers are No, I hope you can agree that this is a reasonable opinion to hold given the observations made.