Tim Worstall fails at math...
"We've got a possible range of nice to nasty of + 52 to – 95"
What you need to do is look at the extremes maximum benefit for minimum outlay and maximum outlay for minimal benefit. That gives us two sets of figures which are -
Good - £110 billion benefit - £30 billion cost = +£80 billion
Bad - £82 billion benefit - £205 billion cost = -£123 billion