Re: Where is everybody?
"Although the supposed equation that purports to tell you the odds of intelligent life in the universe is horseshit*¹"
You mean the Drake equation - https://www.space.com/25219-drake-equation.html - which in almost 60 years no one's come up with something better?
The equation isn't horseshit, but our ability to populate it with accurate numbers is. So the more that scientists learn about planets etc and are able to improve our knowledge of each part of the equation, the more accurate the result it returns will be. In the case of natural disasters, that's where fl, fi, fc and L come into play.