Reply to post: Not useful

Fermi famously asked: 'Where is everybody?' Probably dead, says renewed Drake equation

Milton

Not useful

The Drake Equation was never remotely useful, and IMHO not even a valid starting point for discussion.

The reason is simple: we had then and have now, absolutely no idea the probability of life arising on a planet, even one like Earth, nor the chances of its survival, nor the odds that it will develop into a radio civilisation. The odds could be 50:50. They could be 1 in 10^100. We have only a sample of one (here) which is statistically meaningless.

Until and unless we observe some life Out There, the Drake Equation don't mean squat.

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