Re: Realism
Quite possibly Belgium too for similar reasons. They're facing a split down the middle.
The EU institutions sit in one of the most fractious countries in Europe and I think many EU Commission staff are aware of how chaotic a split might be there.
My question is what happens to the national debt and also a very large number of UK banks are HQ'd in Scotland and they're heavily bailed out.
If Scotland were left with all the banking crisis debts from those banks it would make the Irish banking crisis seem like a fuss about nothing. Those banks are many times bigger than Scotland's economy. You'd have Icelandic type risks on a far bigger scale.