Reply to post: Re: probability...

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Michael Wojcik Silver badge

Re: probability...

Try logic instead

An excellent suggestion. Perhaps you should learn what "logic" means and have a go at it yourself.

Here, I'll get you started. "Gosh, that seems really unlikely" is not a logical construction. If it's correct, then it's a justification for making a Bayesian estimate of the probability of a thesis; but in itself it has nothing to do with logic.

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