back to article We're doing SETI the wrong and long way around, say boffins

If there are other civilisations out there on Earth-like planets orbiting Sun-like stars, we're likely to waste a lot of time filtering out billions of prospects. That's led McMaster University (located in Hamilton, Ontario, Canada) boffins to suggest we thin out the field, by looking at planets that are in a position to …

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  1. Tessier-Ashpool

    Smarter than us

    I would imagine that advanced alien civilisations would have little need to use such primitive means of detection, since they would have to be at the same technological cusp as we are. i.e. just a tad more than clueless. They will have matt black trans-dimensional 1x4x9 monoliths or something like that.

    1. Mark 85

      Re: Smarter than us

      Or they're on their way...

      1. JetSetJim

        Re: Smarter than us

        Or they've already been and thought, "blech, not baked yet. Leave it another million years or so"

      2. TheOtherHobbes

        Re: Smarter than us

        >Or they're on their way...

        Any sufficiently advanced alien invasion is indistinguishable from local politics.

    2. Rol

      Re: Smarter than us

      Well the smart thing to do, is to not transmit a big "Hullo" to the universe until after you have built the death star and killed off the potential back stabbing, ingrates, that fester on its protective moon, like the Clangers, oh they look cute, but odds are, the first aliens that truck up for a fight with Earth would be able to buy their loyalty with anything that wasn't soup.

      Until then, keep quiet, turn the light down real low and pray the first signs picked up by aliens of humanities existence wasn't Peter Jackson's Bad Taste.

      1. psychonaut

        Re: Smarter than us

        top marks for the bad taste reference.

        1. psychonaut

          Re: Smarter than us

          i mean has noone read "the dark forest" by Liu Cixin? shhhh! everyone shhh!

          and seriously, if you havent read it (or its first volume, the three body problem, read that first obviously, go and buy them now. and theres a third installment coming soon....cant wait!)

          1. a pressbutton
            Pint

            Re: Smarter than us

            +1

            Both books are excellent and I have pre-ordered the third.

            Not typical SF - this is written by someone living in china and provides a genuinely different view on life / politics etc .

            Have a beer for that suggestion

      2. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Smarter than us

        I agree - it'll not end well. We've already had the warning too from HG Wells...

        "Yet across the gulf of space, minds that are to our minds as ours are to those of the beasts that perish, intellects vast and cool and unsympathetic, regarded this Earth with envious eyes, and slowly and surely drew their plans against us"

        1. Tim 49

          Re: Smarter than us

          "...He sprang to his feet and saw to starboard, and not a hundred yards from their heeling, pitching boat, a vast iron bulk like the blade of a plough tearing through the water, tossing it on either side in huge waves of foam that leaped towards the steamer, flinging her paddles helplessly in the air, and then sucking her deck down almost to the waterline.

          A douche of spray blinded my brother for a moment. When his eyes were clear again he saw the monster had passed and was rushing landward. Big iron upperworks rose out of this headlong structure, and from that twin funnels projected and spat a smoking blast shot with fire. It was the torpedo ram, Thunder Child, steaming headlong, coming to the rescue of the threatened shipping."

          It didn't end well for poor old Thunder Child.

        2. Magani
          Happy

          Re: Smarter than us

          @AC

          You forgot the 'Da-Da-Daaaaaah' at the end.

          1. Kane
            Thumb Up

            Re: Smarter than us

            @Magani

            And you forgot the 'Da-Da-Dum, Da-Da-Dum' afterwards

    3. Dan 55 Silver badge
      Alien

      Re: Smarter than us

      KIC 8462852 is looking at us looking at them?

    4. Kane
      Mushroom

      Re: Smarter than us@Tessier-Ashpool

      "...or something like that."

      .

      .

      "Amazing-looking ship though. Looks like a fish, moves like a fish, steers like a cow."

  2. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Old Joke

    Flying saucer lands, alien steps out and announces "We've been picking up your television broadcasts, but we came to look for intelligent life anyway."

    1. allthecoolshortnamesweretaken

      Re: Old Joke

      Well, if Jasper Fforde ist right, the aliens will come to earth because they want to know why there never was a third series of Fawlty Towers. We'll see.

      However, If you are looking for something, narrowing the field where you are looking should increase your chances compared to doing a random search1).

      Maybe this can be tweaked a bit by adding astronomical common sense2) and stuff like Monte Carlo methods - in other words, look into Bayesian search theory3) and how it might help SETI.

      1) Oil prospecting comes to mind. Also the old joke about the drunk who is looking for his keys - not where he probably lost them but under the street light where he can see better.

      2) You work in any field for a long time, you get ideas about what works and what doesn't, and why, and you're more often right than wrong about it.

      3) John Piña Craven used it to find lost H-bombs and lost submarines in the ocean.

      1. psychonaut

        Re: Old Joke

        yeah, im sure the seti guys have never heard of bayesian theory. you should write them an email and tell them

    2. Graham Marsden
      Thumb Up

      Re: Old Joke

      And pray that there's intelligent life somewhere up in space,

      Because there's bugger all down here on Earth!

      - Monty Python - The Universe Song.

      (Thumb icon because there's no Foot one ;-) )

  3. Anonymous Coward
    Anonymous Coward

    Everybody thinks they will be smarter than us. But over time the gene pool is dominated by those who have the most children, not by those who are smartest.

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      I do not necessarily agree with the following comment

      As you say, as it stands, those who breed most shall inherit the earth, which makes for a pretty grim looking version of the future, which is why selective breeding and eugenics is the way forward.... breed out the stupid, make them, err, less fertile, pair up the intelligent, whether they like it or not, for the good of humankind, and the planet....

      1. JetSetJim
        Coat

        Re: I do not necessarily agree with the following comment

        > pair up the intelligent, whether they like it or not, for the good of humankind, and the planet

        Is this the only way you think you can get a date?

        1. Brewster's Angle Grinder Silver badge
          Trollface

          What they fail to realise, Jim, is that they won't pass their own intelligence test.

    2. Arthur the cat Silver badge

      But over time the gene pool is dominated by those who have the most children, not by those who are smartest.

      Yes, but that says little to nothing about future average intelligence. Hint: look up regression to the mean and heritability of IQ. Oh, and chuck in the Flynn Effect as well.

      1. Peter2 Silver badge

        The obligatary XKCD on the subject.

        https://xkcd.com/603/

      2. Lars Silver badge

        "the Flynn Effect", not to mention "the Drumpf Effect".

        1. Spacedinvader
          Coat

          Or the Trump effect apparently...

    3. Foob

      Ever seen Idiocracy? The first 15 mins or so are worth a look; it shows you what happens if the breeders dominate the population over time

    4. annodomini2
      Mushroom

      Define intelligence

      1. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        > Define intelligence

        It's a rare quality that can only be seen in a mirror.

    5. John Brown (no body) Silver badge
      Thumb Up

      "But over time the gene pool is dominated by those who have the most children, not by those who are smartest."

      There's a documentary about it.

  4. dan1980

    Sometimes I wonder if finding (strong) evidence of alien intelligence would be a good thing.

    I'm not worried about being invaded or obliterated, just wondering if it would make us feel better or worse, knowing we weren't the only sentient life in the universe but knowing to an equal certainty that, despite our new-found co-existence, we could never even communicate in any meaningful way.

    Well, unless were are very lucky indeed and such life exists on one of the planets within, say 50ly, the range at which it's just about possible to have a message sent and a response received inside a person's lifetime.

    But the signals need to be strong, deliberate, and targeted and the recipient has to be listening to that patch of sky so it's also possible that even then we might pass each other by - both looking and listening but never at the right time.

    Not that that makes the effort meaningless, just perhaps a little bitter-sweet.

    1. Anonymous Coward
      Anonymous Coward

      I've been married too...

      ...knowing we weren't the only sentient life in the universe but knowing to an equal certainty that, despite our new-found co-existence, we could never even communicate in any meaningful way.

    2. Doctor Syntax Silver badge

      "knowing to an equal certainty that we could never even communicate in any meaningful way."

      Has social networking demonstrated nothing to you?

      1. DropBear
        Facepalm

        "Has social networking demonstrated nothing to you?"

        The logical conclusion of that is that the first transmission we'll receive shall be a deluge of squirming infant photos (potentially with more tentacles though) - oh, the humanity...!

    3. annodomini2

      Men in Black covered this best "A person is smart, people are dumb panicky animals and you know it"

  5. itzman
    Alien

    How Alien is Alien?

    "It's impossible to predict whether extraterrestrials use the same observational techniques as we do," says Heller. "But they will have to deal with the same physical principles as we do, and Earth's solar transits are an obvious method to detect us."

    I was going to say, what an assumption, but in fact it has to be what presumption!

    WE are looking for aliens who are in fact not alien, but are just like us.

    In fact there is a school of thought that says that we are being invaded by aliens all the time, and the only notice we take is to say 'I think I must have another cold'

    1. allthecoolshortnamesweretaken

      Re: How Alien is Alien?

      That goes oddly well with the "I've been married too..."-post - a lot of people are looking for a partner that is just like themselves and (in the long run) can't deal with someone that is not.

      1. toughluck

        Re: How Alien is Alien?

        That goes oddly well with the "I've been married too..."-post - a lot of people are looking for a partner that is just like themselves and (in the long run) can't deal with someone that is not.

        I'm afraid it's even harder to deal with someone that is, in fact, just like you.

    2. lorisarvendu

      Re: How Alien is Alien?

      I've just re-read "The Sparrow" by Mary Doria Russell. Although it's a bit long-winded at times and she spends far more time on character relationships and motivation than I found enjoyable, the description of first contact between two civilizations that completely misunderstand each-other is spot on.

    3. dan1980

      Re: How Alien is Alien?

      @itzman

      "WE are looking for aliens who are in fact not alien, but are just like us."

      Well, yes, that's true and it is of course possible that there is intelligent life somewhere out there that is of a form beyond our current understanding.

      It is a conceit to believe that we fully understand all the laws and processes of the universe but we have a good enough grasp to make some decently informed inferences and there is no particularly good reason to believe that life elsewhere operates under physics that are substantially different from that which we understand here and now, which is not to say that their grasp might not be substantially better.

      But that's almost beside the point as we are limited by our technology and grasp of physics so we can only 'look' for signals that we are able to receive and identify.

      It certainly might be possible that some advanced civilization is capable of generating sufficiently strong gravity waves to be used as a form of long-distance communication but, LIGO not withstanding, we lack the means to detect and interpret such hypothetical signals and certainly to respond in kind.

      Thus, as our both our methods of detection and the scale of the exercise itself are limited, we must restrict ourselves to the search for intelligent life using similar methods that we do and could use and thus, presumably, similarly limited in their signal detection and planet identification abilities.

      So the search for a particular subset of life that is basically similar in the physical barriers it faces (even if more advanced) is not so much a presumption that life all life must be similar to us but an acceptance of our own limitations.

  6. Pascal Monett Silver badge

    Maybe we could combine ?

    First off, I'm sure Science is the same for potential Aliens than it is for us, but who's to say that the Aliens do not have other means of detection ? They could have decided to create a vast observation net with buoys every two light-years, and search that way. Or they could literally be sending probes to every system and take a local gander.

    So sure, put a priority on those planets that exist in the narrow band where Earth transits, but I fail to see why that should mean we should abandon the rest.

    1. Paul Crawford Silver badge

      Re: Maybe we could combine ?

      "Or they could literally be sending probes to every system and take a local gander red-neck behind the bushes with some lube."

      Fixed it for you...

  7. Anonymous Coward
    Alien

    Here's looking at us

    Guygals, guygals, I've found this great-looking exoplanet circling a yellow star just like ours, the only problem is it's well outside the Glodislock zone so I doubt if there's any nice warm magma oceans on it that could sustain life :::-(

    1. Destroy All Monsters Silver badge
      Gimp

      Re: Here's looking at us

      Whadda fark is the "Glodislock" zone and does it involve BDSM implements? I am rather afraid...

      1. Simon_E

        Re: Here's looking at us

        It's (probably deliberate) tyop for 'Goldilocks', because aliens.

      2. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Here's looking at us

        I would guess a portmanteau of "Goldilocks Zone" and possibly a Diskworld reference.

        Or a mistype.

      3. Anonymous Coward
        Anonymous Coward

        Re: Here's looking at us

        Surely every child knows the story of Glodislock and the Three Reabs? You know, the one where Glodislock finds a mysterious little magma bubble, goes inside and finds three bowls of lava? :::-)

  8. Grikath

    easy answer....

    Are there any stars, with confirmed solar systems, containing rocky planets in the goldylocks zone, which have an indication of supporting liquid water, within that narrow band around the eclyptic, and within, say, 60 lightyears?

    Those would be the only systems that could possibly support a civilisation to have detected the presence of Earth, and may possibly have detected the extremely minute change in the radio spectrum any TV/Radio transmissions may have sprayed out in that direction.

    I'm pretty confident the answer to that one is a resounding "no" .

    Anything intelligent further out than those 60 light years would be seeing nothing more than "there's a planet with potential for life" there, with no indication of any form of technology. And seriously.. if anything shows up on our doorstep tomorrow, they must have either cracked generation ships, or FTL travel. Both of which are well beyond our current technical capabilities. In other words: we'd be royally fucked.

    1. Jimmy2Cows Silver badge

      Royally fucked...?

      Depends...

      Any space-faring race able to reach us from another star system has ready access to vast material resources in their own backyard without any need for conquest.

      Unless they've buggered their own planet, and we happen to be on the only other reachable habitable planet... then how fucked we are depends on their relative level of technology and aggression.

      1. MrDamage Silver badge

        Re: Royally fucked...?

        > how fucked we are depends on their relative level of technology and aggression.

        Or worse. They could be the B ark.

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