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* Posts by Vladimir Plouzhnikov

2700 posts • joined 5 Jul 2007

Hey, Michael Lewis: Stop DEMONISING Wall Street’s SUPERHUMAN high-speed trading

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: @ Vladimir Plouzhnikov

"If you add HFT to some of the ingredients in that list, you get a nasty broth."

So you would if you add HFT to, say, an exchange system crash or a a major bankruptcy or nuclear war. That in itself does not make HFT any worse or more dangerous than any other routinely used systems - payments processing, comms, transport, power grids etc. If any of them breaks, it's usually unpleasant and disruptive and people want it fixed ASAP.

"Whoever knows the quirks, errors and biases of a given HFT algorithm - .... - has a powerful tool to perform price fixing and/or related malfeasances."

No, not really. If you know the deficiency of an algorithm you can theoretically exploit them against the company that uses it, yes. You will need to find a serious backer though. If you are a disgruntled programmer you won't have the capital needed to set up your own HFT trading outfit to play the algorithm. So, you will need to go to the competition, not that such cases are unheard off, but it's not easy and it will be detected unless your backer is very, very patient and careful - which they won't be or they wouldn't try it in the first place.

But as for rigging the markets with HFT? That just not how it works. You can move the markets unintentionally, sure, but there it's - you move them, you pay for it.

Rigging is done by humans through collusion, disinformation, fraud, social engineering, exploiting or cornering the OTC markets.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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"all of those things were perpetrated by the same group of people who are running HFT systems"

What, you mean the IT guys?

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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A very good summary, Tim

But totally wasted here, I'm afraid.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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"in spite of proof of LIBOR fixing, fx fixing, commodity price fixing, the wholly inexplicable banking meltdown (the one that everyone saw coming except the markets), and that whole thing with Enron and such"

Oh, LOL, now explain what all of these things you just mentioned has to do with HFT?

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OkCupid falls out of love with 'anti-gay' Firefox, tells people to see other browsers

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Ender's Game

"There's rights and fairness of course, but even the act of riling up certain folk by trying to get it through is beneficial."

Well, here is your problem - you just want to slap someone on the face for kicks, the rights and all be damned.

This kind of activism is parasitic and is doing LGBT cause much more damage than good. These campaigners will have their fun and move on to some other kind of entertainment while leaving the ordinary gay people, who just want to live and let live, take all the flak and reaction, which will inevitably come.

Instead of being on a moral high ground, these kind of campaigns are actually conducted from out of a moral sinkhole.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Really? Who is tolerant, accepting, and open minded?

"Leave the terms wife, husband, and marriage to the Church."

Hmm, I think I can find a rabbi or two who will easily provide evidence of prior use...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Ender's Game

This is activism talking. Just like with any rabid activism the rights issue is secondary or even less important for them, the main goal being scoring a point. I believe it is called one-upmanship sometimes...

For me the test is always how much emphasis is on ensuring the actual rights and how much is focused on the word "marriage". If its the latter - foooook ooov, oak stupid...

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Can you tell a man's intelligence simply by looking at him? Yes

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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I perceive you, Sir

To be as dumb as a garden bench - it's all written in your face. Sir.

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Meet the man building an AI that mimics our neocortex – and could kill off neural networks

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: ai already exists

Shhhhh! He is still in alpha...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: RE: This man is a traitor to flesh

Globalists? You mean environmentalists, surely?

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: The day AI works... @John Sanders

"Intelligent" boxes does not equate to self-replicating boxes.

To take over the world the AIs will have to find ways to procreate but that's not all. If they just make countless copies of the same box they will quickly fail (we will help) because once you've found an exploitable flaw in one, you will have found it in all of them. And if they don't behave you just nick the whole lot. So, they will have to be *mutating* and replicating.

Further, once they've achieved mutanto-replicability, there is no way they will be able to co-exist among themselves without things like social skills, emotions, morality etc. So, they will become us.

To help with the convergence, by that time we, the humans, will be using so much body-augmentation that you won't be able to tell augmented humans from bio-enhanced AIs anyway...

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LOHAN team gears up for Punch and Judy show

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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I have had bit of a Lohan moment...

Somehow I missed it until now but do I understand correctly that you are planning 2 flights - one with the motor but without the heater, the other one with the heater but without the motor - to see if the motor will work OK with the heater?

Wouldn't it be better to send 1 flight with both the motor and the heater together?

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Tokyo to TXT warning of incoming Norks nukes

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: In this particular case, why bother?

A social engineering campaign. Generate FUD among own population, distract attention from internal problems, divert dissent towards external enemy.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: I predict the message will be....

More probably: "Incoming Dong. Take cover"

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Say WHAT? ATVOD claims 44k Brit primary school kids look at smut online each month

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Porn is only a problem because these hypocrites made it one!

So it was Karl Marx who invented porn?

Thank's for clearing it up! Always learn something new on teh internets....

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Perverts or crooks

As usual, as soon as any lobby group mentions children you can be sure they are lying.

In this particular case it is either designed to pursue some perverted social engineering idea in the hope that the number of adults looking at porn will be reduced if they had to submit to identity checks; or is a simple corrupt lobbying on behalf of that part of the adult industry that wants to kill free porn sites and force everyone to pay them instead.

The former is a form of perversion, which afflicts politicians and where they get their kick out of causing grief to other people, the latter is self explanatory.

In any case, this has nothing to do with welfare of children (16 or 17 yo - children, eh??). Quite the opposite, preventing them from access to porn will lead to increase in sexual violence, unwanted pregnancies, STDs etc.

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Brit game devs WILL get tax relief for, er, EastEnders Game and Legend of Slough

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: British Military?

I would not call that a defeat though - the High Seas Fleet was stopped, turned back and never went out into the Atlantic theatre again... Battlecruiser losses, yes, they were high, but largely self-inflicted through incautious propellant drills, not through tactical mistakes or the lack of fighting spirit.

"I'm rather proud that a relative of mine was a stoker on the Grand Fleet."

So you should be, by right!

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: British Military?

Well, what about "Battle of Jutland: Crossing the T"?

You take your post on the bridge of the dashing battlecruiser Indefatigable... Err, no, let's say - Invincible. Ah, no, scratch this. You are the captain of the Queen Mary and... Oh, crap! There seems to be something wrong with our bloody ships today.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: British Military?

I have an idea - "Rorke's Drift", combining the elements of tower defence, real time strategy and shoot-dem-up. Oh. Maybe not that one...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Eastenders - the Game.

But I thought that extreme and violent porn was illegal?

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No, Minister. You CAN'T de-Kindle your eBooks!

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Does that skull icon represent the death of the Strawman you created and destroyed in your argument?

"If you bought a good old fashioned dead tree book written in English, would you expect to be able to translate it into a dead tree version in French for free?"

If you want to make a proper comparison - consider whether your dead tree copy stops you from reading it if you move it from one bookshelf to another or if you change the dust-cover?

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Pointless wrangling

I would only buy an ebook if I knew for certain that I can strip it clean of DRM. No matter what the legislation says.

If there were still any non-bent politicians surviving somewhere they'd have made all DRMs simply illegal for consumer markets. Remove the uncertainty, stimulate the business.

However, it is not going to happen, so the IP laws will continue to be routinely broken and when you have to break one law your respect to the rest of them diminishes too...

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First pics: Comet-chaser Rosetta hurtles towards icy prey, camera in hand

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: And ...

I utterly condemn the European intentions to illegitimately invade an independent and undefended comet. I call on ESA to immediately de-escalate the situation and to guarantee the territorial integrity of this and all other independent celestial bodies.

Oh, crap, I think I just posted to the wrong website...

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Bitcoin bloodbath as China shutters all trading sites

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: As Terry Pratchett said

Buy rumours, sell facts, or so they say...

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British trolls to face 'tougher penalties' over online abuse

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Well...

Don't let that regrettable matter stand between us - it was all French fault anyway.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Well...

As they used to say in the Navy - if you can't take a joke, you shouldn't have joined. Don't like what they say about you on Facepuke? - don't log in....

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Putin and pals dump Apple's iPads for Samsung slabs... over security concerns

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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At least one US President

Have gone further. Jimmy Carter is now writing letters by hand to avoid US surveillance...

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ECCENTRIC, PINK DWARF dubbed 'Biden' by saucy astronomers

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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What a name!

They made a complete romney out of it this time.

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Facebook Oculus VR buyout: IT WANTS your EYEBALLS

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: wow

"Did you "donate" to the project?"

Not I, no.

"Then you you got what you paid for"

If that is the case then I agree, the contributors should have no grounds to complain. What I meant was that if the project is sold *before* it happens there should be an upside to the contributors.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: wow

I think KS should change their T&C to impose a condition that if the project owners sell the project before delivering the "prizes" to the contributors, they must repay the contributions with an appropriate mark-up or deduction pro-rata to the profit or loss realised on the sale.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: wow

At the very least I think they should now repay the donations.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Zuckerborg's suggestions

For possible uses do not make any sense to me, none of them.

I think the guy is in a panic and is spending the shareholder value at random hoping that something may by chance work out OK.

But 2bn??? FFS, he could have developed the whole thing from scratch to maturity for less than 10 mio...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Sold their souls?

"Thiws is like winning the lottery twice weekly for the next couple of years!"

Provided they sell their newly acquired Facebook shares before it all goes tits up...

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As WinXP death looms, Microsoft releases its operating system SOURCE CODE for free

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Xtree.....

"You mean Total Commander."

Well, TC is not bad but I still think FAR is better.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: @ Vladimir Plouzhnikov (was: Xtree.....)

"DOS "multitasking" was roughly no more than TSR functionality"

To be fair, over-the-top Windows (what is plural of windows - windowses? :-) ) were more than just program loaders, they provided an operating environment distinct from DOS and they were doing their own device interface, memory management and task switching internally, but yes, "operating systems" - that was a bit of a stretch...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Xtree.....

You need to calm down and grab on to something before your world suffers an earthquake.

Win 1 was a multi-tasking proto-OS overlay on DOS, just like Win 2 and Win 3. It run its own executables and drivers but relied on DOS for low level file management.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Xtree.....

But Xtree was not an OS - it was a file manager...

I preferred Norton Commander and now, FAR - the best file manager there is for Windoze.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: – a trend it finally broke with the sixth version of the operating system.

DOS 6.22 + 4DOS command processor FTW!

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: What was 2.0 really known for?

Yes, RT-11 KMON used options and all it's clones and successors used them and they could process them much better than MS-DOS ever could. You were not restricted to using 1 letter, so you could remember a meaningful name and then abbreviate if you wish. In MS-DOS you had to use 3rd party command processors like 4DOS to achieve that.

It is also very simple to program a command parser to do this kind of things, so Gates was just lazy.

I remember I was appalled by the dumb command parsing when I first used a PC.

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MPs blast HMRC for using anti-terrorism laws against whistleblower

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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It's for our own good

You have nowhere to hide if you have something to fear!

Ah, wait, did I get that right?

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ISPs' pirate-choking blocking measures ARE effective – music body

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Knock your head on the wall

Every day it is sunny, then claim your headbanging is what's making the Sun shine...

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MH370 airliner MYSTERY: The El Reg Pub/Dinner-party Guide

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: The simplest explanation and confirmation bias

Speaking of radars, I actually think it is quite possible to hide behind another plane, especially if it is of the same size as or larger than the plane you want to hide.

Most of my personal experience with radars concerned with the short range front-line SAM systems but we have also been taught the basics and had some experience with long range stations (P-18). The resolution in range for such a search radar is about 300m in good conditions, so two planes flying in close formation will be seen as one contact *if they are flying in echelon along the sight-line of the radar*.

The problem here is not so much the radar but pilotage - this will basically require the hiding plane to fly in formation for hours on end, at night, using only the other plane's nav lights for guidance and taking into account the location of the radar you want to hide from. That makes it seem very unlikely to me.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: The simplest explanation and confirmation bias

"It may consist of a single data point, and having never looked for such data before, InMarSat officials probably have no idea how accurate or error-prone it may be. Any number of possible errors could render it meaningless, such as a mis-identification of the transmitter number, incorrect conversion of the time stamp, or incomplete data stuck in a buffer being flushed out hours later."

This is a lot of very improbable assumptions. You're right about the confirmation bias but you display all signs of it yourself, unfortunately.

An idea that Inmarsat engineers have absolutely no clue about their own system and made such a glaring mistake requires such a stretch of imagination that your theory is totally dead in the water.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Hijacking foiled scenario?

And I got downvoted for suggesting that "cantalope" is missing a "u" somewhere!

This is all bloody unfair and I want my con-pay-say-shun!

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Another interesting hypothesis

"It's also a good strategy to avoid the meteorites that periodically hit airports."

Right. But if you catch one flying - that's 10% of your passengers and plane gone.

Well, I guess one has to take some risks...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Here's more sensible analysis...

Except that between your 2 and 3 the pilot transmits "roger that, goodnight", or something along those lines.

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Another interesting hypothesis

"However, at 6 miles up, at the speed and pressurization the craft was at, all it would really take would be an object roughly the size of a cantalope, travelling wicked fast and hot"

Hmmm, I think a "u" is missing somewhere... maybe cuntalope? No, that doesn't sound right...

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Mystery

What makes you think the highjack attempt has failed?

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Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Re: Here's more sensible analysis...

"I have to say that the simplest explanation is the most likely: fire & crash."

Why?

When it is known that the plane's equipment has been deliberately reconfigured before the plane itself has changed course the simplest explanation must surely be - it has been stolen, no?

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GIANT FLESH-EATING DEVIL CHICKENS roamed North Dakota

Vladimir Plouzhnikov
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Heresy

"Presumably even human beings - had there been any about at the time - would count as "small" in this context."

What do you mean - "had there been any"???

Is this not proof enough (mildly NSFW)?

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