* Posts by Don Jefe

5059 publicly visible posts • joined 30 Nov 2011

Glassholes beware: This guy's got your number

Don Jefe

Re: I wonder what this does...

It's an issue of controlling what you can, not simply ignoring everything because you can't get 100% control.

On blocking phones, you can make someone surrender their phone before betting your property, but as far as I know it's not legal anywhere for civilians to block broadcast comms signals without explicit permission from their government.

But determined people are hard to stop. More than a theft prevention effort this seems like a marketing exercise. In which case the guy should be commended for figuring out how to get international news coverage without killing somebody or something similarly drastic.

USA! USA! ... Aw, screw it. Motorola to close Texas smartphone plant

Don Jefe
FAIL

Re: Gracias

Did you just compare a manufacturing operation to financial institutions? Double checking. Yep, that's what you did. Look! I can ridiculous comparisons too! Oranges taste more like donuts less than they ever have before.

Come back when you've fully developed your business acumen. That's going to take a while I suspect. You've been following me around for a year and are still no less useless than you were then. You sir, are far, far out of your depth.

Don Jefe

Re: It is not Motorola's fault.

There's noting 'wrong' with the way US companies do business. The problem with it is that it can't support balance. Everything is to one extreme or another and you can't plug extreme elements into a balanced business. It's like running a 250 gallon flash fryer at home when you're just wanting some fries with your burger. A house fire where everybody escapes alive is about the best you can hope for.

The opposite doesn't work either. You can't take a horizontally integrated company and plug it into an unstable, high demand environment. Using the fryer example, if you try to feed fries to 5,000 people on demand, with no warning, you're still going to have a fire, but not before you've had plenty of time to evacuate. Once the insulation melts off the wires you've still got time to run (as did Nokia). Either way you do it is perfectly fine, you just can't cross the streams.

I'm in no way saying either of the most prevalent business philosophies in the US or that in Europe is superior over another. I'm saying they're radically different and really can't be compared. It's like when people compare the business models of Samsung and Apple, you don't get anything useful. It's pointless to compare completely different things.

At any rate, I'll never be convinced Elop didn't intentionally sabotage Nokia. I've seen several businesses scuttled and I know how it is done. Elop betrayed his employer and was likely sent there with that mission. Business philosophies are irrelevant if you're being led by a modern Judas.

Don Jefe

Re: Foxconn

Curious that you'd single Apple out from Foxconn's customer list. You realize that Foxconn is the largest EMS operation on Earth and they make stuff for everybody. What ever device you used to publish your comment was made with the same labor force that makes Apple products.

Don Jefe

Re: Nothing to do with manufacturing in the U.S.

Yeah, I'm going to go ahead and say that massive tariffs on goods imported from China isn't going to work out like you think. It's possible that might have worked 25 years ago, but now everything is too interconnected.

Tariffs on consumer tech go up and about 16 weeks later nobody can afford clothes. You can't strong arm somebody when both parties require the success of the others to have success themselves. None of this is new ground. In the mid-80's people were running around in a panic because the tracks for the Orient Express had been laid and everybody knew it was impossible to stop. The pros and cons of business in China haven't changed a jot, even the arguments are nearly word for word identical to the arguments in the 1980's.

Everybody calmed down though as they the symbiotic relationship was quite possibly the greatest diplomatic gambit ever undertaken. You can't really go to war with the country that props up your economy and I've got to admit, no war with the Chinese has been nice.

Don Jefe

Re: Gracias

Yes, those incentives can make a big difference in a company's siting decisions, but those deals are rarely as short as a single year. Those deals are usually spread out over many years, or even decades. They have to be because no city can deliver one year incentives big enough to sway a major investment decision.

Don Jefe

Re: It is not Motorola's fault.

Texas is a horrible fucking place to do business. It's worse than California or Vermont. The only thing positive about the business climate there is the fact they've got a decent port and they're centrally located. Good for logistics, bad for anything else. Over the years I've purchased two companies that had facilities there and moving them out of Texas was a first order of business. It's less corrupt here in DC than it is anywhere in Texas. Even the wildlife in Texas is blatantly open to bribery.

Texas is flat, featureless and boring as a warning for visitors not to stop there. Texas is a horrible place. Why do think we gave it back to the Mexicans? If only we had done that earlier.

Don Jefe

Re: Gracias

Jesus... You don't get bonuses or promotions for failing to make something work. That's simply not how those things work. You get bonuses for things like revenue growth and cost controls. This isn't a revenue creating or a cost control exercise, you understand that right? This is the elimination of revenue being done in the most expensive way possible. It's chopping off a finger to save the hand.

Furthermore, the costs of closing a plant are unbelievably high. You don't just lock the doors and wall away, at least not until you've paid all the penalties for contract termination with your parts vendors, the city you're in, the power company, the water company (which probably isn't significant here) and million and millions worth of other things.

Based just on what's publicly available, it's going to take three plus years of the plant employees combined salaries to just equal the costs of closing the plant. Three fucking years. Then you've got the enormous costs of moving the operation to another county. You just don't go hand them a box of shit and tell them you want them to make phones, you've still got to reconfigure every bit of the supply and logistics chain after you negotiate the new production deal. The list goes on and on and on.

This entire exercise is rework with a 3x multiplier. Nobody gets bonuses, margins take a hit and revenue is gone. It's a fucking disaster that's accomplished the exact opposite of what it was supposed to be doing. It isn't about me having pity on the workers, it's about me understanding how closing facilities actually impacts a company.

You lot are waving the banner of the proles and have no actual idea how companies work. Where do you get this stuff. I know with 100% certainty you aren't getting it from experience. Whatever information source it is that you're using it's time for a change. You're being mislead and allowing yourselves to be made fools of.

Don Jefe

Re: Gracias

It does suck, but I can absolutely assure you that closing the operation is the very last thing a company wants to do. Everybody would much rather have the factory operate successfully and make lots of money. But sometimes a fight just can't be won. You can throw billions into something and forestall the inevitable for a while, but money isn't the problem. If your core is broken there's just no point in pouring more money in.

Don Jefe

Re: One trick pony

Yes, a less than popular product generally isn't great for the financial health of a factory, but that's not the only factor here. It's nearly impossible for a factory to produce a single product and make it worthwhile.

There are a few factories that produce a single product, but they tend to be at the extremes of manufacturing: Super specialized or making extremely simple products. That middle ground of manufacturing, where smartphones live, doesnt really support single product foundations. The equipment is so expensive and works so quickly that you end up with weird schedules were nobody except management and sales have any reason to be at work.

The solution is obvious, you start making additional things with all that excess capacity. This entire experiment has all the earmarks of a project proposed by an over exuberant golden child employe who is given enough rope to hang himself. It's shotloads cheaper to do that and let a person find their own maximum capacities earlier than it is to put that person in a position of real power and have them scuttle the entire ship with emotion and exuberance.

Amazon workers in Germany celebrate strike anniversary with ... ANOTHER STRIKE

Don Jefe

Re: Perhaps it's time Amazon delivered a solution.

Strong arming unions doesn't work if your business is wholly dependent on velocity. Amazon runs perpetually in the red and can't absorb losses in revenue if they want to keep growing. If they stop growing the whole mess will collapse in a blink.

The only difference between Amazon and a Ponzi scheme is that the business is actually growing and in the event of 'something terrible' they have the bandwidth and latitude to adjust. But otherwise the mechanics are the same so you can't cut revenue.

Sometimes unions do get the best of a company for a while, sometimes that's reversed. The upshot of all this though is that neither Amazon nor the union are extremists. Because of that a solution will be found and at some future point this will all be repeated. When I was still contracting to hedge funds the extremist unions and the extremist companies were always what kept me up at night. Those fools will sink the whole ship and do far more damage to families than giving the workers better terms or cutting the company some slack on other issues. Extremists are stupid and don't deserve a voice at any table.

But that's not what this is. This is a good old fashioned labor dispute and the primaries from each party probably got drunk together last night. The media likes to make every strike seen like a coal workers strike or something. Most aren't like that at all.

Samsung in a TIZZY: OH PLEASE make apps for our Tizen Z mobe

Don Jefe

Not exactly. Most of them enable some sort of annoying behavior that is always accompanied by various beeps, tweets, pings and zips that let you know the user is either insanely annoying, or incredibly high, and getting to know them at this juncture probably isn't in your best interest.

So apps make other people's phones work better for you :)

Don Jefe

They aren't going to move away from Android. At least not anytime soon. That would just be stupid. With Android they are making money and can focus on developing alternative OSs that, hopefully, meet and exceed customer desires instead of being forced to get something to market because they're losing billions in revenue.

Dropping Android would be like if you were in the limo on the way to wed the kings daughter but you spontaneously decide to bludgeon her to death in the backseat instead and still show up at the wedding.

Don Jefe

Re: Price

Price alone is rarely a factor if something delivers what people want and figuring out what they want is the difference between a successful and a not successful company and its products. If people truly want something they'll find the money to buy it. Like the guy who never drinks at the pub, but spends four weeks every year stumbling across Islay. People always find the money.

Where price becomes a really big factor is when the offerings are all mediocre and nearly identical. It does what it says on the tin, but doesn't have any exceptional features; it's a commodity. Then the price makes an enormous difference. People will buy what's cheaper and go on about their business. However, if something has features people want, or that make the reseller money, then price is almost a non-issue.

Google to plonk tentacles on 'unwired' world with $1bn launch of 180-satellite fleet

Don Jefe

Re: What I want to know

Google ordered their satellites using Amazon Prime with FREE Second Day Delivery and put the ISS as their address.

In seriousness, the Iridium satellites are vastly more advanced than what Google plans to use. This entire exercise is ridiculously far looking and there's simply zero justification for long service life satellites. There's no reason to deal with things like advanced atmospheric compensation or anything outside a very, very narrow range of variables and performance. Who is going to complain?

The Internet as we know it is absolutely meaningless (except for porn, everybody understands that) without the incredibly large infrastructure we built before www ever came to your house. We tend to forget about it, but that's just because that infrastructure is so mind numbingly enormous that we consider it 'part of the world' just like trees, or oceans or the sky. We see the BIG Names like Amazon or BT or Exxon or Tesco or Wal-Mart and we forget they too are built on the same infrastructure that holds up hundreds of thousands of other businesses. The Internet is worth little without all that and worth even less if the users are largely illiterate and don't have computers or electricity besides.

My point, is that you can launch the equivalent of science fair satellites and the only people who will complain are going to be (comparatively wealthy) Westerners who find they can't connect to blog about how shitty it is.

You've made the product, now get it to the customers

Don Jefe

Why Pay for Logistics or Accept Returns?

There's some good stuff in this article, but there's a pretty gigantic step that seems to have been bypassed. If you're manufacturing there's absolutely no reason to go direct to the end user with your products. It's obscenely expensive to do that and your margins tend to fall faster than new growth revenue can offset. You get paid in wee tiny chunks and have to deal with end users, which is quite nearly universally a horrible experience.

If you've got any kind of volume it's far cheaper and easier to stick your product in the channel and let the distributors and wholesalers sort out all the crap. Doing it this way you get paid in much larger chunks, costs of growth and demand spike compensation are channel issues and screw returns. If a retailer wants to accept returns then that's fine and dandy. But a manufacturer accepting returns not related to warrantable issues is just stupid. The norm is to give your channel partners ($x) amount of merchandise return credit, based on the value of their annual purchase commit and you let them sort it out with retailers and whoever else they're selling to.

Logistics is your channel partners issue as well. Let them work it out. The factory/warehouse is (here) and so is the product. Let us know when your carrier is scheduled to arrive and we'll set it on the loading dock. Bring your own fork truck.

I've been in manufacturing for a long time and I've seen many, many companies be eaten up from the inside by a cost structure that's simply too complex, expensive and static to cope with the uneven nature of end user markets. The channel smooths those bumpy spots out and keeps revenue humming along at a happy place which is where you want to be in manufacturing.

People new to manufacturing tend to see nothing but the difference between unit production cost and end user cost and they get all excited. Once volume really starts moving they hit that same big cost wall as everybody else. You can run out there on the ragged edge for a long time (hello Dell) but when things get rough, and they will, you absorb all that damage directly and it's lethal (bye Dell).

Like I tell the companies we invest in, the channel is a dirt cheap way to add an extra couple of layers to a business. People see it as money going out of the company, but it's generally a lot less than they'd spend keeping it all inside. People always underestimate the resources required to deal with end users. If you want to be a manufacturer focus on manufacturing a great product and channel partners won't give a shit if they have to walk to your factory and carry the stuff home on their backs. Stick to manufacturing and be great at it. Let the other people work out how to deal with logistics. They won't mind, hell, you can charge them for it. It's a nice setup.

Flying saucer with 'stadium-sized' orb to INVADE Earth's skies

Don Jefe

Re: Waste of Helium?

Yeah, well Hydrogen wasn't on sale.

Helium isn't nearly as rare as you think. We had absolutely no trouble procuring the enormous quantities of He3 for the cooling system in our new mirror production facility. It is blindingly expensive, sure, but there's as much of it as you want if you're willing to pay.

The entire market is skewed by long term surplus that makes obtaining more He a loser. Surplus anything held for long periods of time increases pricing, not decrease it like people think. The problem is that although surplus is held 'in reserve' you still have to figure it into overall availability because whoever is holding the surplus can dump it, either into the market, or into the garbage, at any time. You've got a massive uncertainty variable there that drives prices up and up because the market wants to get as much as possible out of each trade so that when something is done with the surplus they'll have made lots of money and can move out with minimal losses. The same uncertainty variable discourages people from obtaining more.

There are many things in the world that are truly rare, but He isn't one of them. It's an artificially capped market specifically designed to maximize pricing. Yes, manipulating markets sucks, but the added costs aren't the most damaging part of all that. What really causes BIG problems is that people think the resource is being wasted. I'm not saying you're dumb or ignorant or anything of the sort, but you have been mislead about the rarity of He. That causes blowback at places like NASA, ESA, CERN and other heavy science institutions.

If you want to see Helium being wasted come on down to Waterford, VA in October for Don Jefe day where we tie a Helium filled weather balloon to a giant piñata shaped like the Trojan Rabbit from Monty Python's Holy Grail and attempt to shoot it down using nothing but an analog watch, a transit and the balloon's position relative to Venus to calculate positioning for the servo controlled cannon emplacement. It's great fun.

Don Jefe
Happy

Re: Football or football?

UK football stadiums are quite a bit smaller. Wembley fits between the 11th and 12th largest stadiums in the US and seats about 20,000 fewer than the largest in the US.

Don Jefe

Fantastic Design

It makes my Monday happier to imagine some engineers developing this thing, working long nights and lots of telecommute work from the pub. During one of those pub sessions somebody leans back and says 'let's put some window shaped panels on this thing, and some porthole looking things too. When it is seen by civilians we will have singlehandedly started an entire generation of UFO stories. We could even prime it all by uploading images of 15th century paintings of Ezekiel's 'wheel in a wheel' UFO's from the Bible because that's exactly what this thing looks like. It'll be fucking hilarious.'

'Failure is not an option... Never give up.' Not in Silicon Valley, mate

Don Jefe

Regarding 'One Shot'

Sometimes a person really does get just 'one shot' at fame and fortune, but that's not the rule. I would like to expand on that a bit though. There are two primary points:

- The first: Your 'one shot' in business is very, very much like the first person you ever really loved. Sometimes that works out just peachy for everybody, but most of the time it doesn't work out. After you eventually realize you aren't actually going to die from despair and/or humiliation you go try again. But you do it with someone different and you incorporate what you learned the last time.

Business is the same. You acknowledge your past errors and you treat it like a difficult, but positive learning experience. You don't blame yourself of anyone else for what happened. Now you know better what to look for. Nobody wants to hear about your last love or your last business, that's all in the past and business is 100% about the future. Mistakes were made, mistakes will be made in the future, but they'll be different mistakes. Don't overvalue the experience, because that'll fuck you over later; as I'm about to illustrate.

- The second: This big issue ties in with the first, but it's a big enough issue to warrant its own point. It's quite rare for someone to ever truly have just one shot, unless their previous shot actually killed them. What's far more common is that a combination of self-doubt and overly conservative risk management objectivity caused by ignoring the lessons of the past prevent people from either recognizing or even acknowledging future opportunities.

Gratuitously stupid and/or supervillain criminality aside, if you stay out of the past, then others will too. There are very few businesses that one person can actually manage to success on their own. You've got to have others involved but you will not find those people if you're looking backward or being too scared to move. Nobody who is looking forward is going to help you either, they don't need an anchor slowing them down. But if you're looking forward you not only find people willing to help, you'll find people who want to help.

The person not looking to the past is the one who will most likely meet those requirements and if you're ready to look only towards the future then you've got as many shots as you want at a big win. If that's not happening for someone the best place to look for the problem is in a mirror. 'Nobody' gets just one chance but you've got to recognize it, act on it and realize it. YOU get to decide how many opportunities you get.

Don Jefe
Thumb Up

Yeah, this is not a great article or comparative analysis. Maybe the author was on a deadline. Maybe it was a side effect of something fun. Most of the worst things I've ever put out were created when I was in a hurry to get to fun stuff, or trying to ignore stuff that was fun the night before but may not have been such a great idea.

At any rate, the guy who kind of mentored me in business was a decorated Marine Colonel and he used to really dislike comparing military and business mindsets. He'd say (paraphrasing here) 'in business you can do whatever suits you and it's not going to kill you. If you're tired of charging the same hill just go around it or say fuck it do something else, you're still going to be alive to try something else. A soldier doesn't have the same options, he and his fellow soldiers and maybe even their friends and family will die if they don't win'. My favorite was 'if you can't seperate combat and warfare you've got no business with either'. He was a very grounded dude.

As for the rest, failure and failure aren't equal. Failure never occurs in a vacuum and is never the doing of a single person or variable. If you look at a failed business and see nothing but the failure you're missing the entire point. That point is to learn what works and what doesn't. Different ways to manage risk. Discover previously hidden gaps in a market and fill them.

My company is a good example of that last bit. We are as far away from the mission I founded the company on that it puzzles people how we got to where we are. I was fortunate and had the resources to redirect the operation, but lots of startups don't have that luxury. In trying to fulfill the original mission you'll stumble across something, but you can't split your focus. So you keep on plugging away but if it doesn't work out you've got something to go back to the VC's with and take another shot and have experience on your side. That experience is huge.

Obviously, investing in someone (that's what you're always investing in, not the tech/idea, but the person/people) who didn't pull it off last time is done on a case by case basis, but the VC group I'm with doesn't turn away anyone simply because a previous investment didn't work out. The reasons the previous venture didn't work out and what the company principals learned are all that matter.

The money invested in a project that didn't pan out is gone. Just gone, there's no getting it back and there's no point in crying about it. There's also no point in changing your risk management policies. If you're in the VC world and you go trying to avoid big risks you're playing the wrong game. There are rarely any 'sound investments' that VC groups invest it. Everything is a long shot and the only reason they're seeking money from a VC firm is that no other institutions or investors are willing to take the risks. If you're going to go out on a limb you want to go as far out as possible. If that includes reinvesting in someone that's just a part of it.

Failure to succeed is not failure if you learn things that can help you succeed the next time.

IT'S ALIVE! ISEE-3 responding to commands

Don Jefe
Happy

Re: This is really cool, but I wonder

Use the following code to take command of any satellite: up, up, down, down, left, right, left, right, B, A, Start.

Don Jefe
Thumb Up

Re: What a waste of money

No shit, right? This sort of thing is the reason why it's possible to get rich. So many people forget that money isn't the goal. The goal is gathering enough money to do outlandish and amazing stuff with.

Don Jefe

Re: Bah!

There's no risk to the ISS. If the satellite can be controlled from here then you can rest assured it can be controlled by the US. Abandoning the craft was never an impossible technical challenge, NASA just determined it wasn't worth reestablishing control.

Whether or not NASA made the right choice or not is debatable, but I think they did. Cast off government tech is the driving force behind a lot more civilian technology advancements than people realize. We've spent the last several years building what will be one of the most advanced large mirror fabrication facilities on Earth, and the basic concept for our design was an experimental mirror fabrication system I bought at a government surplus sale ages ago. We just determined what they had done wrong then scaled it up, a lot.

Don Jefe

Re: I'll say one thing for NASA

The biggest challenge with 'swarms' of any kind is communication. Propulsion is an issue as well, but that's an engineering problem*.

As individual units in a swarm get smaller so do energy budgets and unit functionality has to be compromised, in proportion to the size and desired functionality. The sensor coverage area of a swarm is a big factor as well. Remember, space is, really, really big.

At present we simply don't have the technology to deal with the available energy problem and make the units fun or useful. You get 'dumb' units that can talk, but they're blind or they have good sensor visibility but can't tell anyone what they're seeing.

If you look at experiments with swarms of actual robots you'll notice that their operating environment is always strictly defined. That's not so much because their creator/operator is worried the swarm will escape (which would be hilarious), but because their wee batteries limit their intra-swarm communications to very small distances (small in relation to distance of less marginalized radio transmission). They units could communicate further apart if you dialed back mobility or sensor density and/or sensitivity, but a 'swarm' of immobile things doesn't illustrate the principles of swarming any better than a 'swarm' of rocks (which is sometimes referred to as a 'pile' of rocks :).

The most interesting ideas I have seen (others here may have better examples, I can't know everything :) involve swarms heading out in front of a 'full size' craft that works like a repeater and send and receives data from the swarm and from its home planet. It's a neat idea, but that 'really, really big' descriptor of space still severely limits overall swarms in outer space.

I feel confident we'll eventually get the problems resolved, but they won't be solved as a part of swarm research. Something(s) radically new will appear and be integrated into swarm units after it has changed lots of other things like power generation and wireless communications.

*Propulsion is a classic Pick-2 engineering problem. People say it in IT a lot: on spec, on time or on budget, pick two, but it's a very old axiom. We have the technology, and the time, to do a lot more with propulsion but the costs are simply unreasonable. Obviously we aren't talking faster than light propulsion, but about density, consistency and service life. We have everything, to greatly improve those things, just the money isn't there. But we've got it, that's why it's an engineering problem, the tech just needs to be assembled to meet the specs.

But the communications bit is a science problem. We don't have the science so there's nothing to put together in a spec satisfying sort of way. The distinction between an engineering and a science problem may seem a bit nitpicky, but it's really not.

Don Jefe

Re: I'll say one thing for NASA

mr.K is spot on about the limited benefits of production for 'space stuff' and there's also the 'system' aspects that make everything difficult.

We provide tooling and test rigs to every aerospace company in the West and I think 'almost' production is a pretty good way to describe everything they do. The last few decades have seen a lot more 'space worthy' components become catalog parts, but so very much of that is modified by the end user after purchase. Stuff 'almost' fits their requirements but housings and brackets almost always need to have something modified and you get into some really fine line accounting whether or not it's cheaper to create a new widget or modify the existing widget. As mr.K notes, the engineering costs are significant.

The 'system' part is the real issue though. The amount of 'new' anything in any new craft is minimal because changing big subsystems plays hell on everything and doubly so if something goes wrong. You can simulate, prototype and test for ages but there's only one valid way to get real data and that's to really (in this case) stick it on a rocket and launch it into space. Nobody really wants to take too much of a risk because the financial component outweighs curiosity at this time (which is sad). But I've been in plenty of roles myself where I didn't want to take risks because I liked the job too much, so I understand, but it's still sad.

So people try to minimize those risks by using as much proven tech as they can. Culturally, the last several Mars rover missions have been a far bigger leadership victory for NASA than they have been engineering wise. Don't get me wrong, the engineering is absolutely fantastic, but the fact NASA got those missions through the red tape is the real story. A lot of powerful people like to use NASA as the scapegoat for justifying their own pork projects and they like to punish NASA when their pork projects don't get funded. So getting highly experimental projects into space is a big bureaucracy challenge. They sucked at it for a long time. But they're getting better at selling their value and that's the first step in more highly experimental projects, which is certainly what I want to happen :)

TOADOCALYPSE NOW: Madagascar faces down amphibious assault

Don Jefe

Re: Sadly in Madagascar....

Nobody likes to admit it, but no country really has the infrastructure to deal with non-Human invaders very well. Man, for all our technology and hyper aggressiveness, is fairly defenseless against just about anything smaller than a breadbox. Large and medium size things are manageable because you can explode them for fun and profit. Little things just get rattled around in otherwise apocalyptic explosions and they get their revenge by hitching a ride in your shirt collar and establishing forward operating facilities at your house.

It has been that way for since the Greeks were running around debt free. If you're stuck somewhere far from home just bring some critters along and before you know it you've got a little ecosystem of your own full of stuff from your native land. It's nearly impossible to stop once it has started, that's why it used to be encouraged, to remind future people's that (somebody) got here before you.

Based on the almost universal failure of most science and tech based invasive exotic management programs, bounty programs are my preferred option. It's great because you can get kids involved in eradicating undesirable life forms and prepare them for a future of space exploration.

Hackers pose as hacks: Iranian crew uses Facebook to spy on US defence bods – report

Don Jefe

Re: How?

It sounds like a pretty standard consulting company 'solution' to me. You know, the most convoluted, unlikely and, of course, expensive way to do something.

I think my favorite part is that somewhere there's guaranteed to be an insanely complex process matrix, with a really fabulous name, and right now some junior employee is pounding his brain trying to figure out a way to learn the name of somebody's pet box turtle, because the matrix says they'll have a far better chance of guessing a password if they know that. That's worth a promotion right there.

Don Jefe
Thumb Up

Re: Perfect Cover?

I second your motion to prevent politicos from using the interwebs!

Ha! That would be a fun Facebook project. Start a 'remove politicos from the internet'.

Don Jefe

Re: answer is simple get rid of social media

Is there an El Reg friends list?

Don Jefe

Perfect Cover?

A faux news organization is easy to setup and offers the perfect cover? Bullshit. At least here in the US that's bullshit. Ok, it may be easy to setup a faux news organization and website, but using it as cover? Just don't buy it.

We're just a commercial entity but we've got a very detailed protocol with explicit identity verification mechanisms with three complete sets of alternative identity assurance challenges if we just aren't sure who we're dealing with. Guesses where we got the protocol and who audits it regularly? Who will go double check on our behalf to check out suspicious sorts? Guesses, anybody? The fucking DoD.

The Department of State is involved as well, but it's a DoD program. While the DoD might not be the most financially efficient bunch in the US, they do a pretty damn good job of keeping secrets. They want to make sure their commercial vendors who deal with sensitive stuff can keep secrets too, and they even give you the tools to do it with. While we don't do any work on weapons systems, we do work on a lot of projects that could be bad if the wrong people accessed the information.

I want to know why the guys who do work with weapons systems aren't using the tools we are. It's not like we are so special that the DoD cooked up a special set of instructions for us. It was all implemented when I first opened the company, it had to be because the DoD wouldn't let us in on a lot of project. The system is still audited on a regular basis and they even send us a review of our performance and they ask for our feedback and the listen and act on that feedback as well. That by itself is truly stunning.

Somebody said it in an earlier comment, but the defense and intelligence people have no business being on Facebook. There are tens of thousands, if not far more, people who are prohibited from using social networks or ordering stuff from certain websites, or even patronizing some stores physically (look up the liquor store and titty bar stories in Norfolk, VA).

I realize interfering in the personal lives of your staff/soldiers is really shitty, but it's a voluntary decision to take those jobs. If you want all the perks of a job dealing with sensitive information then that's the tradeoff you make.

Microsoft lobs Files app at WinPhone users with lots of ... uh ... files

Don Jefe

Re: I don't know if I'll upgrade to 8.1

It was never about rearranging the tiles, it was about killing off billions of man hours by changing the core UI people had been using for a very, very long time. There's nothing wrong with change, but there can be a lot wrong with changing too much at once. Iterative change is much more manageable and less prone to catastrophic failure like with Win8. Iterative change also let's you be adaptable and capable of change based on buyer, competitor and market evolution. When you make huge changes after decades of consistency in order to revive interest it always ends up looking and acting forced.

But opinions vary on just about everything. I have always really liked the Ribbon in Office, especially after I discovered you can customize it with XML. I'm in the overwhelming minority on the Ribbon though. You seem to like the tiles concept. That's cool. I never messed with it much, simply because I found it superfluous, but everybody isn't going to think that.

What data recovery software would you suggest?

Don Jefe
Joke

Re: Macrium Reflect

How are companies going to register common vocabulary words as trademarks without the capitalized letter(s) in the middle?

Office website hacked: Passwords, addresses, phone numbers slurped

Don Jefe
Thumb Up

Hospital

What a strange name for a shoe shop. I like it. I'm going to open a high end tool shop and call it Hospital and offer really easy credit terms. That way one visit to an actual hospital will allow husbands everywhere to embezzle tool buying funds by disguising them as hospital bills.

Using email? Text messages? Congrats, you're in the 'underbelly of dark social sharing'

Don Jefe

Commercials generally aren't designed to introduce you to a product. That's done in other ways, like the product embedded in TV shows, adverts on bus stops and train stations, emails and displays in the store. Commercials are generally designed to keep your mind from wandering once you've already made a subconscious buying decision. You might not be thinking of buying a specific car, or maybe you are, but the important part is that you've decided to buy a car. The commercial is just reinforcing how great a particular car is. All in all it's a massive numbers game and if you see a 1% bump in sales tied to a particular advertisement your investment paid off.

Could a 'Zunewatch' be Microsoft's next hardware foray?

Don Jefe

Zuney Bin

What the hell do they keep resurrecting the 'Zune' name for? It would be like Ford coming out with a new Pinto. You just don't reuse names when the original product associated with it was a disaster. Besides, it's a stupid name anyway.

Jade Rabbit nearly out of hop

Don Jefe
Unhappy

Re: Fixed Landmark

Man. All that work creating a vehicle to carry a subtly hilarious commentary on Google Translate shortcomings and it failed :(

Don Jefe
Happy

Fixed Landmark

How do we really know the green bunny (Yutu in Google translated English -> Chinese -> English) is really dying? We sure as fuck don't seem in too big a hurry to find out.

If I were a large country with a growing economy that was 100% dependent on playing eternal debt swap with the US I would say my geological treasure seeking lunar explorer was broken as well. 'Nope, no functioning lunar rover here'.

Amazon turns screws on French publisher: Don't feel sorry for Hachette, it's just 'negotiation'

Don Jefe
Happy

Re: Sucks to be a creator @ skelband

There's certainly no question that the middlemen in some industries need some correction, that's pretty obvious. But they aren't 'just' parasites and what they add, even for the most aggressively parasitic, may not be obvious, but they definitely add value. I'll use myself as the example, since I tried it both ways. This may be a bit wordy.

I wrote a scholarly work dealing with the migration of Scottish furniture forms and design elements through the Southern Appalachian Highlands from 1790-1850. It's a massive, five volume work that took me about six years and I funded it out of pocket because it was something I wanted to do. I never expected to make any money, but recovering the investment would be nice. The thing was independent publishers aren't keen on 6,500 page treatises on extremely esoteric subjects. The full set with the two volume appendix was going to retail for about $2,200, well beyond the reach of the academic audience I wanted to reach.

So I went to the company that publishes my commercial works. They've made a lot of money on my seven industry titles and those titles are about as esoteric as you can possibly get, and they're really, really expensive. The subscription, updated quarterly, for one of the tables references is $11k per year (now on a single Blu-Ray :) and the graduate level textbooks are $7-800. The point is they are used to pushing high price works and they've already got direct contact with the people who are used to buying high priced works. I had wanted to bypass them and, not to put too fine a point on it, give some wee, invisible publisher a leg up, my name carries and I'm a big supporter of small business.

But it simply wasn't feasible. The small publishes simply don't have the resources to get it done. I'm not going to pay someone to publish my stuff on speculation, that's not how the industry works. They've got to assume some risk too, otherwise they really aren't adding anything. I understand it's a big risk for a small publisher, but I'm not a supporter of risk averse businesses as I don't understand why they're in business.

So there we go. My regular publisher and I worked out a deal and they covered my out of pocket expenses with a single check and an dandy advance on the first printing, which they sold out of in four months. The 2nd edition will be in museums, reference libraries, classrooms and private libraries in 2016, if anyone is interested. The proceeds from that are how I pay the extremely gifted art history students who expanded the work for the later editions. The work those sorts of people do is vitally important, but it doesn't typically pay a lot, so it's up to people like me to make sure that work continues. So I'm creating jobs and supporting higher education in subjects that have a much longer reach than any of the commercial studies so popular today.

But that couldn't happen if my publisher wasn't able to create enough demand for the book and push printing costs down to a level the target market could afford. Something simply beyond the ability of a small entity that doesn't have the established customer base, distribution mechanisms and most crucially billing systems and payment terms that take away the pain of purchasing. That's a really big part of selling more than tiny quantities of something and small companies and individuals just don't understand that.

You're not going to sell many of anything if you don't have the financial end of things absolutely locked in and most small entities don't even know where to get started with that. The people that are going to buy more than one of your thing aren't going to dick around with PayPal, call up with a credit card or even send a check. You're going to email a PO and a month or three later you'll get paid. That's just the way things are. Why would anyone capable of creating want to sacrifice that to do an office job that pays less than the office job they're likely trying to escape? Because that's what you're going to be doing if you're not going to let the middlemen do it for you.

It's a gross miscalculation that middle men don't add anything. A very well suited example for El Reg would be a co-lo datacenter. You can run a rack or two of servers in a garage with an extension cord but you can't scale very far. Sooner or later you're going to have to start writing some big checks to the utility department. Yes, paying them sucks, but unless you're going to build and manage an energy production and distribution ecosystem then you've got no choice to pay if you want to grow. It's a cost of doing business.

Trying to rebel against all that is the basis for the sad sort of story that so very many extremely gifted and talented people tell about how their (creation) almost became popular and/or made them a lot of money. The middlemen exist because they are the bridge between the creative and the commercial. You cut them out and you cut off huge swaths of the creative from the commercial. There's no bridge and nobody is going to build one because the commercial doesn't need it. They can keep cranking out endless copies of what they've already got and people will go on buying it simply because there's no option. You should be able to see that in the smartphone market. Incremental changes instead of groundbreaking new design (Apple is the most painfully obvious, but Samsung, Mokia, LG and HTC all do it too).

Yes, the middlemen have gotten out of control with the growth of the Internet, but that's a temporary situation. You see it in any industry as everybody tries to minimize their risks in the face of new opportunities. A breaking point always occurs where intrepid middlemen see a new product of creation and they carry it to commerce on their bridge. Yes, right now is crap, but that will change, it always does. It's important to realize none of this is remotely new, it's just more visible because it's seen online instead of being mailed around on paper.

Don Jefe

Re: Contradict yourself in the same sentence

Hope is an emotion. It's actually an evil depending on which version of Pandora's Box you prefer. It is wholly unquantifiable at any rate. Optimism, or lack thereof, can be, calculated based on all sorts of stuff. It's kind if a gray area, but hope never includes quantifiable variables, optimism can include them. Hope than includes quantifiable variables is optimism, not hope :)

Don Jefe

Re: Sucks to be a creator

One of the first lessons that successful creators/makers learn is that the 'middlemen' are what keep you in the creation/making business. Assuming your output isn't commissioned, bespoke work then you can't sit around on inventory. You have to pass it off to somebody else as quickly as possible or you never have enough money to pay the bills. You can have 10000% margins but if you've got inventory it's revenue that keeps you in business and those middlemen provide that revenue.

All in all it's a very desirable situation. You make one sale you move 1,000 units, without the middle men each unit requires its own, individual sale and leaves you with the headaches of 1,000 customers. The middlemen get stuck with those problems and that frees you up to do your creating. Eliminating middlemen is a fantasy that fades quickly once the realities of business set it. Those middlemen are your friends, not your enemy.

Don Jefe

Beans

Well, it sucks to get boxed in by a vendor, but sooner or later it happens to everybody. Nobody wins all the time, you learn from your errors and move on.

It'll be interesting to see if Hachette learns anything though. The correct thing to do would be walk up the road and talk to eBay or even Google or MS. Any of those companies would just fucking love to get a toehold in Amazon's space. They'll bend over backwards for the chance. Hachette lost its negotiating steam the moment they went all in with Amazon and left themselves no real out, they can never win in a pricing battle with a company that runs perpetually in the red and succeeds at it. You just can't win that sort of game.

So you take the game to somebody else who can and will assume huge losses as an investment and let them do your fighting for you. It's a loser of a game to do the fighting yourself.

How to strip pesky copyright watermarks from photos ... says a FACEBOOK photo bod

Don Jefe

Re: Wait a minute

The college doesn't give a shit if you get your graduation pictures at all. They have absolutely zero to do with the process. But the photographer cares. That's his job and he would prefer to get paid for doing it. Here in the States they get the bulk of their money from their cut of the photo orders. If they're private photographers then they're fronting the investment for the shoot and the proofs out of pocket. If they're working for a company they do so as private contractors and they're paid a pittance for the shoot and the company covers the proofs. But the actual money to pay their bills with comes from photo orders.

Besides, jackass, the photos aren't for the students anyway. They're for the family to buy so they can be reminded of why they drove shitty cars and had a smaller house until they could get the kid through college. So this isn't stealing from the college at all, it's stealing from a person just like you, with presumably more upright moral standards.

Don Jefe

Re: Wait a minute

The college doesn't give a shit if you get your graduation pictures at all. They have absolutely zero to do with the process. But the photographer cares. That's his job and he would prefer to get paid for doing it. Here in the States they get the bulk of their money from their cut of the photo orders. If they're private photographers then they're fronting the investment for the shoot and the proofs out of pocket. If they're working for a company they do so as private contractors and they're paid a pittance for the shoot and the company covers the proofs. But the actual money to pay their bills with comes from photo orders.

Besides, jackass, the photos aren't for the students anyway. They're for the family to buy so they can be reminded of why they drove shitty cars and had a smaller house until they could get the kid through college.

Seagate in surprise $450m LSI Flash gobble

Don Jefe

Title Valuation?

How much is $450 LSI? Is that a lot?

Amazon's cloud reign may soon come to an end, says Gartner

Don Jefe

This Just In

Gartner predicts the four major global providers of a service will continue to provide that service and some of the dots on the square will move as a result. It's a damn shame I never had such analytical prowess at my disposal when I OK'd the marketing spend for taking the twits from Gartner out to lunch and providing them with 'analysis from inside the industry'.

There are only two sorts of people who take this shit seriously. One sort is the unimaginative, risk averse idiot that's waiting on someone (it could be you) to take his job and do something useful with the role. The second sort are managers who really know their industry and are trying to identify the unimaginative, risk averse sorts who need a different job.

Fat-fingered admin downs entire Joyent data center

Don Jefe

Re: Biomed Coverup, Political Intrigue or Rock Band

Furthermore, I'll have you know my console is capable of running large numbers of kernels simultaneously. Long before you lot were messing about with your virtual kernels and manipulating kernels with concentrated RF radiation I was commanding THOUSANDS of kernels simultaneously using naught but alternating current, a dead short and a bunch of fucking butter. So suck it.

Don Jefe

Re: Biomed Coverup, Political Intrigue or Rock Band

Pah! amanfrommars uses bendy logic and a very special form of punctuation in his posts. I, on the other hand, utilize the wholly correct method of applying various definitions of a word in a context other than that used in the original statement.

Indeed, others, some from inside asylums for the disturbed, foresaw such intentional mangling of the words of others and even created an alphabetized index of words and their meanings specifically so that context and definitions can be interchanged to great effect. You can make great jokes, create stunning headlines, delight and horrify shareholders or run for public office based solely on understanding what a dictionary is and mastering its use. Dictionary Expansion Packs include Thesaurus, Foreign Language Cross-Indices, The Urban Dictionary and Trade Jargon Indexes.

IBM shows off phase-shift LIQUID METAL storage tech

Don Jefe

Gee Whiz!

The only part of this that's 'Gee Whiz' to me is the fact there are any research staffers left at IBM Research. I've been convinced for over a decade that Almaden is full of nothing but contract cleaning crews and the special sort of patent lawyer that just strings random words together from whatever filing cabinet he's looking in at the moment, just hoping for the best. I've got irrefutable proof that the Austin facility never had any actual research staff stationed there. I just assumed it was the same at the other IBM Research facilities as well. Obviously I was wrong.

Don Jefe
Happy

Re: Will they get hit by a Patent suit from Apple now then?

Indeed. Besides, LiquidMetal is the trademark. Liquid metal is a rather fluid (Ha!) term with a definition that's fairly impossibly to compress (Ha! x2) into a non-situation specific context.

Mercury is a liquid metal in most of its states, but other metals (uranium and plutonium for example) can be manipulated into liquid states through a series of pointlessly dangerous exercises. Molten metals are, or aren't, liquid depending on how much the person you ask hates you.