2162 posts • joined 14 Apr 2011
macro means big micro means small
i learn things
Dear anonymous terrorist,
sorry but it is funny and has an undercurrent of underspoken truth
"Collins and three other defendants, Anthony Tadros, Thomas Bell and Geoffrey Commander called their pleas in on the misdemeanour offence yesterday."
Did they find out who was in charge?
Re: Follow the money...
only problem is such a simulation already ran in real life on a computer the size of the planet earth, and it took millions of years to produce intelligent creatures. There's little hope of producing anything equivalent by evolution on a small computer in a human lifetime.
Re: "Frog" brain... or "any" brain...
The public are fed such BS to believe that AI is capable of far more than it is actually is. I get told that "they" have now made a computer as intelligent as a mouse, but I know that isn't true because AI just isn't there. I know full well what they've really done is create something analogous to the structure of a mouse brain. But how can I argue with newspaper articles? Everyone wants to believe hard AI is just 5 years away and they don't like me sounding like some neo-luddist when I say it's rubbish. People don't realize how frickin stupid AI is still and how ludicrously ahead of reality some of the proposed pie in the sky ideas (eg "google self-driving cars") and the like are. I think gamers perhaps have a better appreciation of how crap AI really is because they get to see the results (or lack of) of attempts to get code to do something truly intelligent - and that's in a controlled environment!
The best defense against a leak is to immediately leak a flood of substantial information yourself on a similar yet less important subject, but deliberately promote it as a shocking reveal. That way the media will focus on the larger more detailed leak you provided and overlook the real less detailed damaging leak.
Am I the only one who does not believe this hype about driverless cars?
This happened a few weeks ago. I was driving along a 60mph road. Ahead of me was a lorry parked in the opposite lane. Of course I see this ahead and start slowing down. Presumably an AI could do that too, I'll give it that much.
I notice a workman is standing in front of the lorry holding a pole that says "STOP". So of course I stop, and knowing the implications of this I leave enough space for traffic coming the other direction to pass. My human brain has learned this pattern of "workmen managing traffic" and I know on the other-side of the lorry is a workman holding a "GO" pole.
What would a driverless car do though? Would it stop and leave enough room for other cars to pass? Or would it ignore the pole and continue going through at 40mph only to break sharply when a car from the other direction pulled into it's lane? Then what? The driverless car presumably isn't going to reverse. So it's blocking the traffic. So the meat in the driver seat has just shit themselves and is fumbling to regain control.
I've said it before. If modern AI were really capable of driving a car then WHERE IS THE FRICKIN AI in simpler settings?
The dearth of decent AI in video games speaks volumes about the true capability of AI today.
Re: Warming since 1997 not being statistically significant does not mean
"Actually it does. That's why all real science uses statistics to prove their models"
Are you really claiming that a trend of +0.07C/decade since 1997 not being statistically significant PROVES the trend is <= 0C/decade?
Because that's what your claim that there's been no warming amounts to.
Re: No Surprise Er...
"Will a doubling of Co2 cause some warming? Probably."
It's certain that a doubling of CO2 will cause some warming.
"Is it responsible for all the warming observed over the past 150 years? Certainly not. We know this because if Co2 was the primary driver, then the last 15 years should have seen large temperature increases (we're pumping out more Co2 now than at any other time). As we all know, that hasn't happened."
That doesn't logically follow. If the observed CO2 increase since 1900 caused 1C warming, then it would be responsible for all the warming since 1900. The last 15 year period of data cannot rule that out.
The last 15 years in hadcrut4 shows a trend of 0.067C/decade, and uncertainty in the data means it could be even higher than that. It's not the case that you can conclude there's been no warming.
Re: Ha ha ha ha ha
I very much doubt you've read AR5. More likely you've let skeptics read it for you and tell you what's in it.
you forgot the icon ---->
"Rothschild and Canadian banker David Lang....Faked moon landings....The Club of Rome.....NWO global government....Chemtrails...Agenda 21.....depopulation plan....Obama...lizard people...Goldman Sachs"
Re: It's the beginning of the next Maunder Minimum.
Some people are knee-jerk reactionaries looking for anything to believe in so they don't have to accept the dominant influence of man-made greenhouse gas emissions. Scientists understand that the Sun just doesn't vary enough to cause large changes in global temperature.
In the real world sunspots have already dropped to what they were 100 years ago. Yet the planet continues to heat up.
Re: They (and really everyone else) don't get it
I always cheer both sides, it's a fantastic conflict and long may it continue.
Re: There are multiple plausible ways to do this
or you could fly up to the unguarded satellite and put your DVD in the tray.
Just saying, there are easier ways.
It's arrogant for atheists to claim there is no God but then go on to claim there are aliens. There is absolutely no evidence for aliens. They are not mentioned in the Bible and even the science books admit no aliens have been found. They are made up creatures like zombies and seahorses.
All the telescopes in the world have been spinning round frantically looking for aliens but every planet scientists zoom in on they just find different color rocks or gases, NO aliens. NASA supposedly landed men on the moon, if so they must have looked real hard in craters and suchlike when they were there but still NO aliens. So when are they going to get a clue and admit defeat? It's the 21st century boys, it's high time to grow up and stop believing in little green men.
Protective suits? Sure except helmets are annoying and get in the way, don't worry though just take it off I am sure it'll be fine. Didn't you watch Prometheus?
"There's no point in haggling about hottest or coldest years when the data source is irredeemably shite"
Brighter people than you or me have managed to extract a climate signal out of the world's weather data. So go ahead and continue claiming it can't be done, but it has.
Re: Right action for the wrong reason - get your facts right
I did look it up and I am right
Re: Right action for the wrong reason - get your facts right
CO2 rise has always had a warming effect, it's scientific fact.
AJ MacLeod is correct.
Just because there are a lot of stars out there does not make it "likely" that there's life on another planet. All it tells us is that the odds of life developing is above zero. It could still be far too small for it to have developed anywhere else. The fermi paradox would seem to be some evidence that this is the case, at least for intelligent life.
Re: she might have been hoping to get him hooked on heroin
Unfortunately drugs these days are cut with rat poison and bleach. One of my friends OD'd on cannabis because it was extra strength but his street dealer didn't see the need to tell him. They found him with the needle still in. It's tragic I just hope the government crack down on illegal drugs for the sake of our kids. Why people can't just stick to safe legal drugs like wine and tobacco I do not understand.
The lizard people exhale 99% CO2 from their big reptilian mouths. They walk among us in huge numbers. The last thing they want is to be discovered. Not yet anyway, not before Obama, their leader, has reached his full size.
Re: Interesting, but of little consequence
When CO2 was over 2000ppm the Sun was fainter. More CO2 was needed back then just to keep temperatures above freezing.
Re: CO2 lasts decades?
"Typically, process parameters that follow driving inputs this closely (there appears to be about a three month lag), will respond just as quickly to a change in the long term inputs."
I don't know anything about "simple control systems theory" but your argument is just unsound from the point of view of logic. I can think of any number of examples where your argument would fail.
For example a bath of water in which water is being added so that it's water level slowly increases over time. Add waves that make the water level fluctuate at any given point. Now you would say that those rapid fluctuations in water level mean that if we stopped adding water to the bath the water level would rapidly fall! But in fact the rapid fluctuations in water level clearly tell us nothing about how fast the water level would fall if the water stops being added.
I think the mistake you've made is you've coined an argument that assumes the cause of the short term cycle and the longterm increase are the same.
And in the case of CO2 the cause of the longterm increase is not the same as the cause of the seasonal cycle. The draw down in seasonal CO2 is caused by plants uptaking more CO2. The longterm increase is caused by humans injecting CO2 into the system. If humans stop injecting CO2 into the atmosphere it does not imply that plants will suddenly go into some hyper mode where they draw it all down in months (and where's it going to go?)
"Simple control systems theory. The model makers need to go back to the drawing board to find where that 'decades' aphorism came from."
Sure and the experts are utterly clueless. Fortunately some guy on a forum on the internet knows better. How arrogant.
Re: Global Cooling
"What 9/11 did do (on 9/12) was ground all US flights, allowing researchers to find out exactly what the effect of a no contrail sky would be, something they had viewed as impossible to get approval for."
So you are saying 9/11 was actually perpetrated by researchers who had become frustrated they couldn't get approval to ground planes.
Re: Interesting, but of little consequence
A few years back NASA demonstrated that without the warming from CO2 the atmosphere would be too cold to hold much water vapor. So as Boltar says, it's CO2 that controls the greenhouse effect with water vapor acting as an amplifier.
Re: AGW - Proof of AGW was DGW, dinosauric global warming.
Are you serious? Your rose tinted view of the Jurassic completely overlooks the fact that dinosaurs are huge carnivores and would kill people.
the industry is inherently sexist
Re: That was ironic. Right?
even the theme tune is smug
Instead of blindly jumping on the bash Stephen Fry bandwagon I would caution other commenters to sit back and reflect first.
I would hazard a guess that Stephen Fry is correct on this matter. I think that's a wise assumption to begin with at least. Afterall he hosts that TV show on BBC(?), can't remember what it is called but the whole premise of the program is intelligent people telling the audience about intelligent stuff. Steven Fry isn't just a guest, he hosts it.
Now as to the question of IP address exhaustion, or depletion if you will, do we really understand matters as much as we think we do? It may be that us "IT folk" are too close to the question and are missing the forest for the trees in which case a fresh perspective from a polymath like Stephen Fry could do us some good. So let us put our thinking caps on. It occurs to me that IP address have not run out yet, just like oil hasn't either, so who is to say for sure that either will? And if indeed they ultimately don't then it would seem Stephen Fry is absolutely right as I expected.
That's not to say you can't have the opinion that Stephen Fry is wrong, and perhaps he can be, but if you want to be on the right side of history I would recommend a wise dose of caution in this regard. Remember how they persecuted Alan Turing. Thanks.
Re: I can't code.
That's funny because I've been around computers 28 years and I can code them, but I cannot put them together. I don't understand how hardware works, I tried but it's too complicated with all the devices types and stuff. If I had to build a PC I it would probably melt in some way because I had picked the wrong power supply for example.
All kids are bastards and must learn to code. I have decreed it and it shall be so. And the language they learn shall be smalltalk.
this is bullshit of the highest order
I support my Government
most interesting thing for me will be to see if the rest of the media pick up on this and which ones don't
don't confuse hidden messages for humoUr!
I bet Rolf Harris wouldn't have got away with hiding in some embassy.
Re: "Low Level Analyst"
When they say he was low level they are referring to his height. It's a low blow, but then they have to swing low in order to hit him.
We are very close to the 2070s being closer than the 1970s
In 100 years time when people talk about "the 70s" everyone will have a different idea than we do
Re: Crisis? What crisis?
"Finally, CO2 is plant food. Experiments have demonstrated the improvement in plant growth with simple increases in CO2 concentrations."
Yes under lab conditions. Assuming all other things, such as nutrients, are equal. But they are not.
"Worldwide agricultural output has increased steadily with the increase in atmospheric CO2"
So has global temperature.
"And yet this half science, climatology demands the world cut CO2 concentrations. This would cripple the world's agriculture and cause widespread famine."
That's both alarmist and wrong.
Re: Most likely to recede.....not
You might want to read this:
Global Cooling Myth in the 70's
Re: It may be science but is it stats?
Science deniers can't even accept climate science exists.
It's like the creationists arguing that evolution isn't a proper science because scientists can't prove "monkeys turning into men" in an experiment.
Re: Here's at cut&paste of the conclusion of the article...
"Yes, a new ice age is due. Past due even."
No, we've skipped it.
Re: A real Question but it sounds like a Joke
"Does anyone know how much carbon and sulfur a volcano puts out? I am quite sure it is more than all off the people on earth emit in the same time period."
No, its far less. That's why it's not a good idea to rely on assuming nature is too big for man to affect.
Re: I Get Knocked Down, But I Get Up Again!
"There does not appear to be a genuine consensus here."
In the New York times? Try look at the *science*. There certainly is a consensus there. The world is warming and it's caused by us.
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