4 posts • joined 17 Feb 2011
Re: 14nm versus 16nm
This is particularly true here: the only reason TSMC calls their next node 16nm and not 14 as others is because 14 is unlucky (for some reason I forgot, maybe a Chinese speaking person can comment). Everybody in the industry considers 16/14 as the same node, and if there will likely be performance variations the 14/16 number itself is meaningless.
And by the way, for TSMC it's best understood as mostly 20nm with FinFETs added. There is also a 16FF+ coming quickly after with some incremental performance and density optimizations. As I understand it's the same for Samsung/GF: the node change is justified by the move to FinFETs and the performance/power impact, not by a true shrink.
Re: Smaller still means hotter right ?
It's the opposite. The smaller the process, the highest the leakage. But then, the lowest the operating voltage. So by going to a smaller process, you reduce the dynamic power consumption (due to lower operating voltage) per transistor, at the price of increased leakage while the transistor is powered. But the leakage part can be controlled by power gating (= cutting the power) parts of the chips when they're not needed.
Customers will decide
Yes. Also, whatever the plans of Elop and Nokia board (and it doesn't look as their plan develop exactly as expected so far...), it will be the customers who will decide the future of Meego at Nokia.
If sufficient Nokia users decide to try the N9, it will have support. Particularly if WP7 continues to be the commercial flop it currently is. And whatever Elop preference is, because in the end it's the bottom line that counts.
Another factor there: I'm sure a lot of employees in Nokia are rooting for the N9 vs. WP7 phones and don't see them as Microsoft OEM. They'll push all they can for the N9. If there is sufficient support in front from Nokia phone users, there can be a meeting of souls and money following to turn the big shots opinion in time.
So in the crazy situation Nokia is right now the future is actually more open that what PR declarations from high on want people to believe.
A beer, as a toast, to all the Nokia people who worked on bringing what looks like a nice phone is such an adverse context. I may get one myself.
Pretty much the same feeling about a converged Meego device. That's really what I wanted.
But it seems clear to me that Nokia has convergence in mind alright, just based on Windows. Think about it:
1) MS announced support for ARM in W8. Everyone thought about low power server, but this also opens the door to using the same core for their handset offering;
2) WP7 is a new UI on top of an old (and poor) embedded OS. They want anyone (but them, when it suits them of course. That's how MS likes competition as we all know ;) to use the .Net VM as they don't want any dependency on this poor OS. Why? Because they know they'll have to change the foundation for a modern kernel as soon as they can.
So it's pretty clear to me that MS, in the time frame of W8, will be like Apple: the same foundation for phones, PC and server OS. And all .Net phone applications will be able to run unchanged in phone mode.
But then, when docked to a larger screen and keyboard, the phone will be able to be used as a computer. And support any regular PC applications, for ARM.
Yes, for ARM so all current x86 applications will need to be ported to ARM. I'm sure it's not so complex and MS will do it for Office and Outlook. And if it works, others will follow.
They could also stay with x86 (future Atoms) but I'm not sure they care. Getting rid of Intel and moving to a more dynamic ecosystem with so many CPU provider is better. A smaller part of the cake for the chip vendors, so possibly a bigger for the software and service providers. And recompiling for an ARM W8 shouldn't be too difficult.
On the other hand, if the OS changes there's little interest in keeping the same instruction set. It's Intel who gets the shaft here.
So you read it here: Nokia will help to re-establish MS monopoly in the new converged era. By using all those lazy people eager to find the Office and Outlook they know (for biz people at least). And with the trend of using the same device for personal use and work, this office addiction could help in the consumer space.
Aaaaargh! Hopefully a linux based alternative will emerge. But the champion is Android, and Android is too short for a converged solution (see the Moto Atrix, nice idea but too limited). And Google only care about getting you to their service. So will they make the effort (and spending) to offer you a proper local OS too?
I would be very depressed to see the same kind of crap in the next coming generation. But it seems that's what Nokia has in store for us.