Re: One last post on this subject.....
To answer your questions:
>What are the weather conditions and gas demand in Continental Europe right now?
Cold and demand is relatively high in NWE. Demad is less in the med however where LNG cargoes often go.
>Are they in the middle of a cold snap with high demand as well?
>Failing that, is there somewhere that Britain could get a shipment of LNG from in the next 10 days (would have to be within at most 2000-3000 nautical miles to arrive in time, even if there was a tanker), and does Britain have the terminal capacity to take that LNG if it could arrive on time?
Yes there are quite a few tankers that could (thoeretically) come to the UK. The company I work for (www.ICIS.com) track all these cargos.
Yes we have plenty of import capacity. We have one of the worlds largest LNG capable harbours in the world in Milford Haven.
It is more likely however that the Norwegians (mainly Statoil) will send us more gas down one of the 3 main pipelines that connect the NCS to the UK.
>And would a tanker or two of LNG make a real difference in a country of 60 million people?
Yes. LNG tankers contain a HUGE amount of gas. The biggest challenge is getting all that gas down the pipes in cold weather. The last couple of times that large industrial customers got cut off due to local shortages was due to the network companies not being capable of delivering the gas quick enough.
>I'd have to think that would be the best you could scare up and get shipped in on time.
Not really. You'd have to assume that LNG will always take some time to arrive as it takes time to unload and regas.
The more likely scenario is that the French or Germans would use the gas they have in storage. This would reduce the amount that the Norwegains need to deliver to them and that this gas would then get sent here. This could happen within a few hours.
Clearly none of this will happen out of the goodness of their hearts so its a question of paying them enough to do this. The truth is that the costs of paying them for the gas is likely to be less than building big gas storage facilities (according to a study by WaterWye in 2005).
BTW The interconnector is no longer the only pipeline between mainland EU and the UK. There is also BBL.