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* Posts by Denarius

383 posts • joined Saturday 20th June 2009 23:10 GMT

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Denarius
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hardware and software

Probably already in debate and I have not seen it. (debate? what debate ? Mostly ignorant rants like a bad day on AOL and the spin doctors and pollies are worse )

(a) Comms protocols. IPV6 only ? Tunnel IPV4 if you must. Goal: Simplify network management and routing to reduce packet latency. eg, At moment my connection goes through at least 4 NAT systems of some kind to get to me. All unnecessary overhead and additional latency so IPTV becomes something that might be possible. Tough if the crap on free to air broadcast TV goes away.

(b) dump the one size fits all planning so beloved of the PHB class of manager and craven colonial minded thinktanks. This country is not structured like South Korea or some crowded northern hemisphere hellhole. A few high density centers, surrounded by by a mix of medium to low density conurbations with nothing or isolated users in between.

( c) planning for adaptabilty. So far, in the short term, (< 5 years) fiber seems to be continually increasing capacity. Conclusion: choose a higher cost quality fiber that can handle the newer multiplexed multi-frequency polyphasic whatevers for the backbone. Smaller long haul likewise if it is affordable. It is easier to upgrade 250 Km than 2000 Km of fiber.

(d)v Decide what level to set as basic services level. Such as in the old days when public services were considered just that, not business enterprises. Dump Telstra basic service obligations so they can bankrupt themselves without bothering the rest of us too much. Fill basic obligation levels based on agreed basic service thru NBN.

(e) Legislate immediate involuntary organ donation of any think tank (all of them) , foreigner, and local useful idiots within Oz that speak of selling off another basic public service to the inefficient bloated bureaucracy of the private sector.

(f) Long term (over 10 years) is crystal ball fantasy that is best managed by not having long term plans. Having a national policy on basic service policies should allow career employees with corporate memory to change technologies as they become affordable and needed.

Denarius
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Re: So much needs changing but the ones that can change it...won't.

J7, good points. One might also suggest that the importance of the pollie as media performer encourages the narcissist personality to take the job on. In Oz we are suffering thru the foulest fake election campaign anyone has seen. Relentlessly trivial, personal attacks on office holders or wannabes and no discussion of policies or anything that matters. What passes for media seems to be driving this, but for what reason escapes me.

Much as independents have earned much ire for supporting this minority government, voting for any of the major and not so major parties is not to be considered except in desperation. I await the next manufactured fear campaigns over some false irrelevant threat from both sides with loathing.

As for the lack of quality of pollies, I agree with fellow commentards about mine good, yours bad. Seems common that the local member may have high local loyalty while being a disaster for the country.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Viva de la Revolucion

In Oz we do much better. On Cape York, (far north) there is a tree with big, soft , fuzzy leaves, just right for post relief cleanup. Except, it is a giant stinging nettle. Consequences are immediate, painful and blistery.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Alternative theory

no, he was correctly pointing out that uncontrolled markets encourage cheating, like creating false protein levels in baby milk by adding toxic chemicals as reported in China for over two years because the companies are unregulated effectively. Management was the local Party. The point that all should have made is that politicians damage economies in at least two ways.

(a) crude interference with pricing mechanisms such as arbitary price controls

(b) allowing the companies and politicians to become interdependent or the same thing, as in the ruins of the USA, Australia and maybe Exgreat Britain.

<rant>Big corporations are most western governments effectively because they own the pollies via election funding.

Perhaps it is time for wannabe pollies to emulate the old monks and take vows of poverty. At least it maintained learning in Europe while the usually unlearned pollies crashed the Empire and fumbled their way into barbarian invasions. No political funding from anyone unless it is from party members private funds, with a limit. Might reduce the amount of $$ the media types get, but who cares. </rant>

Lastly, R-swipe, you nearly owed me a new keyboard

Denarius
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Re: Pay attention to SPARC folks..

Indeed sir. X86 is continuing to become commodity no matter what the hardware is sold as. Like all commodity industries, the specialists may remain in their niches and a few, very few, will remain. The auto industry, so far, has been an excellent guide to IT hardware industry change.

Next phase may be where the few surviving large scale generalists begin to absorb the perceived high status niche players. Rolls Royce, Cray anyone ? I wonder if eventually, with X86 vs ARM, SPARC (maybe) and virtualisation, Intel will buy Dell to have a complete supply chain to monitise the tail-end of the X86 PC era ?

HP, who were they ? Bought out ink sellers, weren't they ? IBM, who knows. So many pies, so many fingers, and even more sales weasels. Some of them very good.

Denarius
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stop this nonsense immediately

If this sort of article is to be published, it needs to be crass partisan, vitriolic and utterly irrelevant to the practical world of infrastructure. It raises the debate to a level the news networks will incur severe suffering trying to trivialise. And getting one issue sensibly before the voters is simply not to be considered. They might start thinking...

well done Richard

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Denarius
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Meh

As IT bods, this is obvious

Are not we sometimes subservient to a dominant deviant, dressed in suit, flogging us with lashings of ITIL? Or desiring to be the next BOFH (tm) ? And all of us restrained, tied up and bound by rulez ?

Denarius
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Trollface

and in breaking news

to save money more defense sites will be connected to public networks in the US...

After all, yanks dont build anything anymore. Everything except genuine Mercs and BMWs are made in China.

Denarius
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Trollface

i like this, an alternative holy city

for all the faithful disciples of a historically discredited nightmare based on wishful thinking and a complete ignore of how humans actually behave. Note; ignore, not ignorance. These broadcasts and TV would give these disciples somewhere to call home, since the Kremlin and Beijing dropped being the workers paradise. Then the disciples can drop the greenie front and become what they always were, manipulative bullies after unearned and unvoted power.

Denarius
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Re: In-array compute ....

Matt, Chris,

in general I agree for the following reasons

(a) commoditisation of hardware does not seem to be slowing down. General purpose hardware performance is steadily improving to keep up with the more resource hungry tasks being thrown at it. Specialist kit is steadily shrinking outside of extreme high performance situations, once fads have passed.

(b) stored data management is important for regulatory reasons as well as business continuity. SANs make this easier as Matt explained.

(c ) finally, racks and servers are now so thin that there is no room to put much disk in.

A counter argument of merit is that there is not much evidence that IT buyers and consumers are rational about long term implications of any decision IMNSHO. This implies a significant spend on kit for a year or three before it is superceded by a rational hardware layout.

Denarius
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Happy

Re: Inconstant Moon

cant be, California survived. Unless the follow up story had the Big One strike as the steam cooled.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: "galactic coordinate" system

a bit longer, about 4 USA billion years for first pass, full merge complete by 10 billion years.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Massive

as for warmup. Not really. The usual models for Solar Cycle 24 have not worked. It is weaker than predicted 5 years ago. The minimum ran two years longer than expected. Modified models indicated a late weak peak last year which did not show. A weak peak ITIRC happened earlier this year with a second peak predicted later this year. Uncommon, but not unknown. Seems the double peak model is correct. The magnetic gas conveyor belts 100,000 under chromosphere seem to have slowed. Consequences are uncertain, but some models suggest a period of prolonged minima, hence discussion of a new mini Ice Age.

Denarius
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Trollface

Re: Massive

Trolling I assume ? OK, I am bored. Those flares were piddling. One early this century (2003?) was estimated at X48. it went off the scale of instruments.

We don't know how big the suns flares get. NASA estimates Carrington event was biggest for last 500 years. On what basis I do not know. What is known is that the Sun is unusually stable for a G star.

Sun can't blast big jets off the poles because it is not rotating at relativistic speeds and has no massive accretion disk and huge magnetic field.

And rejoice. If another Carrington event happens the greens will have their nirvahna. Mega-deaths from starvation and thirst, followed by compulsary enjoyment of the drudgery of a subsistence lifesyle for the survivors. No doubt some of them will break faith and eat meat in their stressed state.

Personally I think that death by diabetes or idiot 4 wheel drive owner is more likely for the majority of us.

Also plausible is a rerun of 1315-1325. Look it up. People died of famine big time when the last warm period ended, suddenly.

Denarius
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Re: Oh and...

it's called a Tobin tax. Might be worth investigating. But then, what will the surplus bean counters do ? Soylent green anyone ?

Denarius
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Re: Amurrica Strong!!

It does not follow. Germany and UK needed each other as markets in 1914. Did not help then either. You assume humans are driven by rational self interest. History is an empirical demonstration this is rarely so. Why do you assume the usa is likely to exist in its current form for more than a decade ? Economy ? Industry ? political stability ? All extremely debatable. A statistician predicts the USA will suffer disruptive civil violence by 2020 using his model based on UN violence outbreaks analysis. See New Scientist or better yet, do a google for sources. One should remember no expert predicted the USSR would fall as quickly as it did. Oddly, popular fiction had novels with exactly that scenario.

Denarius
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Re: Bleeding obvious

close. A few designs rely on pulsed fusion, the proposed Project Orion reborn using pulsed fusion rocket to get to Mars in 30 days is an example. Pulsed laser inertial confinement is another. Stable tokomacs are much harder than they seemed 40 years ago.

As for adiabatic engines, problem was lubricants. Isuzu had a diesel ceramic engine running AFAIRC in 1980s. heard nothing of it since. Probably produced enough nitrogen oxides to corrode following cars enroute.

Denarius
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For once, some sense

Decent anaylisis. Big organisations are run on rulez. We have rulez, therefore there is no problem. A symptom of the reductionist fallacy at work, pun intended. The example of kit but no staff is so common when bean counters apply their limited world view to managing the largely unmanageable. In short the root cause is not technology, but managers not employing a full risk assessment, which includes all resources including enough expensive troublesome things called trained, skilled staff. Then governments might be sanely pursuaded that more rulez are not required. An example of a proactive approach was Lockheed 2 or so years ago. Known incoming, so honeypot was set up and waiting.

Denarius
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Meh

so glad you "was"

IMHO, _was_ a culture of innovation.

Denarius
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Mushroom

not again

public money going to fund non-citizens to take citizens jobs away. Hasn't this outsourcing disease finally been shown to mostly fatal ? I will believe it works when I see full costs drop, service improve and google do it.

Denarius
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Trollface

nah, just end of empires

Another IT trend coming thru, as the current ones were all accidental, if one notes Cringely. The accidents might be cleaned up at last...

Denarius
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Trollface

One word, BBQ

because veges are not as good as snaggers or steak on a hot iron plate

Denarius
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Re: Chickens

{sigh} as usual, wrong, mostly. Highly intensive cattle lots can be a local disaster, but the well governed ones are not. Waste is recycled using something called processing and farming a substance called soil. Grows new cattle food I believe. Critical point is that food animals turn useless vegetation into useful food. Lose the animals and large areas of the worlds grasslands will need to be burned off far more or there will be destructive fires damaging soil. Ever seen soil after a major wild fire has sterilised it a meter deep because latte slurping green grunters in inner cities whined timid governments into stopping controlled burnoffs? Collapsing economies and ecologies due to an aversion to good management such as US of A are easily avoidable. What is this good farmland going to be used for if no animals ? And as a greenie, do you think mass extinction of domestic animals is good ? Aside from that, I like the aethetics of grazing animals in good condition. Lamb gambolling or cows quietly chewing are calming to the soul. When it becomes time for them to be lunch, processing is quick as stress is minimised. This because (a) I dont like anythings pain, (b) the meat is tougher. Happy animals produce good food, whereas you are demanding their extinction. Which one of us is cruel ?

The most ecological damage comes from poverty. Often maintained in that state by socialist governments in poor countries. Africa for instance. Once the locals are given ownership of local land again, forests get repaired and the land improved. Private family farmers tend to think long term. Channel country cattle stations are an excellent example in Oz.

Finally, existing trends are that by 2050 the planets population will diminish anyway. Improve education, health and local economies and population growth will slow even further. As usual, more panic merchants flogging nostrums for non-existent problems. One thinks that the planet has a cancer called rampant bureaucracy or expert groups.

Denarius
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Re: SAP - the sooner RIP the better

beat me to it. Yes indeed sir. A wit dubbed this type of management software "Corporate arterial sclerosis". ElReg article a week ago also pointed out how these things freeze the organisation at PIT, so change becomes very difficult. Secondly, in no workplace, big, small, public or private have I ever seen the coalface staff asked what they need to do their jobs better unless I pushed the entire project myself or my part of it. Each time the results were very cost effective. Doubled throughput and increased useful reporting. Even uncovered a serious bug in Oracle of the time. The untrained end users did something the developers never thought of. IMNSO, Yank firms are especially bad for making life harder for customer facing staff. PHBs seem to think asking the peasants is demeaning.

Denarius
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Brilliant, concise and correct

IMNSO, an excellent analysis. Needless to say, it wont be heard due to massive overheads in PHB count now mandatory in big dis-organisations. How many managers, let alone boards, CEOs and executives are going to admit the last 15 years of embedding companies in process concrete was an error ?

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Aerodynamics

definite stability issues with that much anhedral. Kudos to writer about probable lack of driver/pilot competence, Bad enough seeing poor airmanship from trained pilots, let alone Joe Clot, fresh from snorting white powders and a recent ego stroke. One thinks that in this vehicle, computers over-riding wetware pilots is a good thing.

Denarius
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Good Show ol' chap

seriously for once, well done Lester. Your experience of critics mirrors acquaintances and my own in remote Oz areas working with tribal people. Lots of visiting do-gooders full of carping criticism of those on the ground doing something practical. They did not ask the locals they claimed to be "supporting" what they thought. Exactly like an earlier commentards reference to a friend in Africa. Hmm, flame inspiration here, will try later.

Denarius
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Unhappy

lacks quality

FOTW quality is dropping again. What happened , an attack of lethargy ? Inquiring minds want to know.

Where are the the flaming rants these days, I tell you these young people no idea how we did it on USENET. HTML, bah humbug, XML bloat. Bring back 7 bit ASCII and 1200 baud modems. Oh hang on, thats happening if broadband speeds drop much more in this part of a dustbowl. Back to the fencing to keep out the neighbours starving stock...

Denarius
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Might be very useful

Friday or not, this might make public shared clusters (aka cloud) more than a term of marketting droid babble for serious users. Non-serious users like "in your face book" dont count. CPU cycles are cheap now, especially as ARM and derivatives continues to develop.

Denarius
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Coat

many cameras ?

One hopes that a motion detector might be used to trigger a photo. However, if many eyes make bugs shallow, wont they slide under the bell jar and stand a 1 in 100,000,000,000 chance of being squashed ?

I'll get my coat, it's the one with the feathers.

Denarius
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Trollface

too late

Deadly killer drones made of carbon compounds with limited capabilty expert systems already exist. These drones create financial disaster, destroy industries and lives for the sake of maximising personal gain. If that is not an example of mechanical behaviour, not much else is.

Denarius
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Holmes

Breaking news, water is wet !

And I complain about a 3G service slower than the 28KB modem I used 15 years ago. You Tube is a complete no-go zone. Downloads break due to timeouts. At least I don't get to see all the ads that crap up modern "dynamic" web pages. Given the oligopolistic "customers are a pain to be bled dry" attitude of our local "managers" in all comms providers, why would anyone expect anything else ? Bring back 7 bit ASCII and USENET. At least that worked at these crap speeds.

Denarius
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move on, nothing to C here

usual waste of space clevers flogging solutions for which there is no real problem. Personally, given the utterly crap network locally, I doubt much could get out, even if I wanted it to. In Oz, move 60 km from a city and voila, internet security due to network timeouts. Also a meaningless choice of ISP, because the hardware to move the bits quickly does not exist.. And no, despite claims to the contrary, satellite is also too slow. Aside from all that, getting new networking gear to handle IPV6 is just another cost from which I gain nothing.

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Denarius
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Meh

missing a big anomaly

Gentlepersons, gentlepersons and flamers, please, some gravitas.

How does a star get to 1000 solar masses ?

It should be blowing away any incoming matter when it gets to a theoretical 250 or so solar masses. That upper limit is being moved up in speculation, but 4 times the theoretical maximum is a stretch. Unless astrophyscists models are really incomplete ? Nice to imagine. How many layers of element burning would there be ? Inner core layers making iron and heavier stuff instead of needing colliding neutron stars to make gold. What would such a star radiate ? low energy gamma or just extreme UV ?

It does suggest a Mega-Mythbusters test sequence though :-)

Denarius
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Meh

Re: This article is lies, isn't it?

" Two different research teams found this as well. Ten times higher is a massive problem that cannot be denied " Uh, why not ?

Warmest in 600 years. You know the last warm period ended then and it cooled a lot ? March 1315 in northern Italy to be precise. So warming up in last 80 years or so might not be unusual? I love a good data selection. You can make any series seem abnormal. Sells papers, careers and feeds the need to be frightened now no-one believes in hell, or universal socialism or the free market. Select your damnation to taste.

Denarius
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Holmes

Re: Cold winters, Wet summers

yep, as far back as Julius of the clan Julia. You know, the Roman geezer who made the remark, "Does it ever stop raining in this wretched place" or words to that effect in latin after invading the roman wild west, some hell hole called Britain.

You do know CO2 is a minor greenhouse gas compared to DiHydrogen Monoxide ?

Denarius
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Trollface

interesting

Intel were trying for cheap fibre NICs initially. Wanted to get 100Gb to desktop for the wired house with a price around $30. Maybe they succeeded. Now if there was only a network capable of using this end speed outside of South Korea.

More 3D movies to be streamed around the house to induce nausea and headaches, and thats before you finish watching the wretched lack of plot ? The eventual holographic videa phone or broadcast ? Smoke signals when you burn the smart TV after realising that with 5000 HD channels all are reruns of 1960s or worse crap ?

Denarius
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Meh

Why amoured ?

would have thought structural strength to handle gust loading and some interesting engine intake design would be more relevant. NASA used to flog a DC-8 in this sort of research. Time to dust off a Buccaneer or two ?

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Calling all greenshirts to the barricades

greens already foam at air travel, except when it is taking them to another save the world quango meeting in an exotic tourist location. Some seem to like rail, claiming it is less CO2 emmitting, despite a study showing the exact opposite. By the time one factors in costs of building terminals, stations and connecting lines, air is less energy intensive, despite using the dreaded hydocarbon fuels. I am surpriseded greens dont foam at the amount of radiation emmitted by coal fired power stations. Double the loathing for the same price!

Denarius
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Unhappy

Re: So if the predictions are WRONG then what?

What about those unconnected to any industry who remain skeptical given the way the IPCC obtain their data for reports ? They don't dispute, mostly, it is getting warmer recently, to which the rational response is "So ?". The atmosphere is not showing the hot spots the models predict. It is still cooler than the Minoan and Roman warm periods even if it is some what warmer than the climate coming out of the Maunder Minimum.

NW Passage has been used on and off for 40 years. See previous ElReg articles.

Cynics can point out that, so far, in the last 30 years, extreme events have yet to match19th century for heavy rain and cyclones. Finally, cynics have also noted that when-ever the "we are doomed, doomed" leadership make an apocalyptic prediction, the opposite seems to happen. Never rain heavily again in Oz, and 2 years worth of floods follow. Never see snow, and we all know how that goes recently.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: The whole patent system is broken - and unfixable.

Tom, last para. There is a reason for this. The under-valuing of public servants, especially specialist skilled ones. I know of one tax dodger chasing specialist working for a government tax office who is targetted by tax minimisation specialist firms with huge $$ offers. But public servants, no matter how necessary their skills and public benefit, are routinely portrayed as a cost that must be cut, cut, cut. Meanwhile the senior PHBs, get bigger packages. In self interest, what is a rational person to do if their own employers demonstrate a hatred of the the staff who fund them ?

This may also explain patent offices being gamed by patent application requests. If any staff are not valued, why stay and suffer various forms of abuse, especially from PHBs, HR droids and loudmouth media ? The experienced staff leave, and quality of service drops. Number of cases in and out become PKIs, not whether a decision is sane or correct.

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Is there another side?

Well put sir, but regrettably, these events are in a country which like many other ex-democracies, has a ruling group consisting of lawyers and pressure group merchants, funded by large corporate mendicants. Asking lawyers to fix legal problems reminds me of foxes and hen houses.

Denarius
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seriously good research

I vaguely remember a report two years ago indicating about 8 times c for entanglement. This is orders of magnitude more. Decent interesting times for once. Facinating work. Well done and keep those cards and letters coming. Offtopic: Does this indicate Heim theory might not be crackpot ?

Denarius
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Meh

Re: Politically motivated

Perhaps, but so is the current bigger business approach of dumbing down IT tasks into Taylorism derived monkey see, monkey do processes that are easily passed off overseas or to cheap low skilled staff. I suggest that destroying job interest and skill levels required in the name that trojan horse for PHB control, ITIL, is a matter of public policy and interest. Why would anyone study for a job that is dull, getting duller and may vanish at a foreign corporate droids whim ?

Much of the current myth making floating around Oz skills building seems to be focussed on creating a shortage to enable cheap labour to be imported or jobs exported so foreign corporations can avoid the cost of training staff. Think of it as another form of cost reduction, like tax minimisation. All legal, and legal loopholes are supplied by overly complex legislation and sovereignty destroying multinational agreements. I doubt the majority of pollies, no matter how well meaning, can get their heads around multi-ream obtuse legal prose.to understand exactly what they are voting for or against. Since corporates are allowed to make donations to the political parties, no wonder training, jobs and national interest do not get discussed in a non-partisan way.

I digress. Given our rising obesity rates, the idea of high numbers of personal trainers being created is so ironic. BTW, given his surprisingly coherent posts lately, I would love to hear amanfromars comment on this :-)

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Denarius
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Meh

Re: Mixed lessons from history?

Ah, no. Pre-WW2, prime minister Menzies acquired a nickname Pig Iron Bob because he shipped lots of iron to Japan. As a colony of USA business, Oz has learned to ship anything to anyone if there is money in it. Mea while, Oz governments of any persuation give the USA access to bases locally to keep the local peasants believing the USA gives a stuff about Oz.

Denarius
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Black Helicopters

Re: Mixed lessons from history?

Perhaps. It is conceivable that the Norks are being used as a yapping dog irritant to enable the Chinese to do to USA what USA did to USSR. Spend it to exhaustion, fortuitously helped along by the USAs' own lack of currency policy. USA currency is currently inflating. Massive continuing overspending over decades means USA has strong incentive to be nice to China at all costs, whatever the rhetoric.

For China, the issue is controlling their terrier and walking a fine line on controlling an unstable leadership versus keeping serious pressure on USA. The end goal is ensuring all the other disputes which China has with the rest of SE Asia wont get other external powers involved. No conspiracy, just follow the money and ask who gains from the apparent mess. Or have I assumed that Chinas leaders are unlike the remains of the western democracies, capable of long term thiking ?

Denarius
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pollies and advisors have other interests

like "free trade" agreements that suit incoming but not outgoing trade. Agreements get signed that reduce national sovereignty over tax to "enable" international trade. One might think that those donations to political parties from the corporates have an ulterior motive. Or that advisors and pollies are trusting, gentle soulsd who do not have a clue. After all, they have pay and superannuation the rest of us do not, so consequences, intended or otherwise, are of no personal importance, hence easily ignored.

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