* Posts by Atoyota

1 publicly visible post • joined 15 May 2009

Solar Cycle 24 set to be a quiet affair

Atoyota

NOAA can't predict the solar mean, they don't know

Historical data

In 1913 we had a yearly mean of 1.4 (sunspots)

In 1917 the mean was 103.9

I have my own theory on the cycle, and my prediction is for a much more active Maximum than the NOAA predicts.

The chances for a destructive CME (one that is both powerful and with a trajectory to hit the planet) is random, but with a high level of activity a serious risk.

The Carrington event occured in 1859, the mean of that year was 93.8