1134 posts • joined Tuesday 22nd April 2008 12:44 GMT
Re: Easy answer then
1. Everyone is proposing the law be changed, so you shut up.
2. Just because something is legal doesn't make it ethical.
Re: A Controvertial Topic (for a change)
I'm not part of the ruling classes.
I don't want the plebians to be armed with guns because I've seen what they do in South London when given access to fireworks for a few weeks a year.
How in the hell do they decide that getting properly licensed software has a better ROI than pirated software? I'm really not saying you ought to pirate it. I use FOSS pretty exclusively and am consequently properly licensed.
But, were I to rip off a copy of office (for instance) how would it benefit me to have paid MS?
Again, I think if you use Office you should pay for it, but I'm not seeing how the fact of payment directly benefits the one doing the paying.
Interesting. I'd stumbled across the Celani character when reading about this stuff before.
However it's the same tune as it always is with LENR, ORBO, whatever revolutionary new energy paradigm you want to talk about - the real, scientific tests are just around the corner now, any day, we'll have some real results for you in just a few more weeks.
I don't doubt that some of the people involved here earnestly believe this stuff (I do have my doubts that Rossi does...) but I'm a long way from convinced they're on to anything.
Re: ...it is nonsense, and deserves absolute skepticism...
>> But science has gone ahead not thanks to the skeptics.
Remember, they laughed at Bozo the clown, too.
Actually, skepticism is a very important part of the scientific process. Blindly believing anything and everything is not useful.
"some people prefer to be a slaves to their bodies and try to fulfill every whim of their bodies, because if makes them "feel" good."
Yeah, because enjoying what you eat is slavish, weak and decadent. LOL.
others see their bodies as a biological machinery with its purpose to sustain their sapience. food is just a fuel
These are robots, not people.
if we weren't different from each other, humans would have become extinct a long time ago
There's different and there's alien.
>> I would like to see a serious discussion about potential flaws in the setup rather than personal accusations and blanket dismissals.
There are not potential flaws in the setup.
There are big, gaping, procedural holes in the paper.
There's no point in experimental theories to explain what's going on if you can't show that there is anything going on in the first place.
The blanket dismissals are there because that's all you can do.
"Let me put it another way: would you rather put 5% of your assets in a portfolio of coal, gas, oil, wind and solar companies or would you rather put it into a dozen outfits that try different new approaches to energy generation"
I'd put it somewhere that didn't stink of a scam, which this does for the many reasons listed. Maybe somewhere that had realistic, scientific claims.
"from Rossi to Flibe, from TerraPower to TriAlpha in the hope that one hits the jackpot at some point? Sophisticated investors have backed much more idiotic ventures than these before."
Flibe and Terrapower have some serious science behind them and have not made claims about working units, factories etc etc. Trialpha have released less information but at the very least are not making claims that are dubious in terms of the physics involved, nor that OMG IT TOTALLY WORKS LOOK AT ME.
Re: Has anyone actually read the paper?
>> There IS enough energy to rule out chemical processes, even if you allow for some pretty major measurements errors.
Except we don't know that because the measurements were so badly done. The energy output was not measured accurately. The reactor and reaction mass were not measured accurately. The energy input was not isolated or measured properly. The whole thing is so full of holes you could use it to drain your pasta.
"Until they have products in the market there's nothing to talk about anyway and it would just set off the competition."
Except apparently there are/have been customers already and the product *is* on the market. I refer you to the aforementioned "Factory powered by 1MW e-cat" and the fact that they are open for orders with a half-million US$ deposit.
"No other "perpetual motion machine" has received this degree of independent testing by the way, from Papp engines to magnetic motors so these are much easier to dismiss than this effort."
Except there hasn't really been any proper independent testing, and saying it's better than previous perpetual motion efforts is saying precisely nothing.
"These companies by the way also take many years to have anything to show for their work so the achievements to date are pretty solid."
Right, except for the claims from day 1 of having working, installed units, that have so far failed to be verified. Like all the other claims made about the device.
By sophisticated investors do you mean idiots?
Because actual sophisticated investors would check that there was something other than hot air involved, like there would be in prospecting or genuine biotech. Unless they were investing in Rossi's ability to self-publicise...
"If you patent, for starters it lasts only 20 years, secondly you have to reveal the details - then others can extend the work possibly putting you out of business with their improvements."
Only if you license the patent to them, and you can charge them lots of money for that.
He has previously made claims to already have working units. 20 years protection could net him billions, even if he just sold out to one of the already-big players. If it worked.
Re: Disgrace of the sort of comments
The only reason the claims have not been properly tested is because the inventor won't allow it. Yet he keeps hyping his invention and making unverified claims. This sets off all sorts of alarm bells.
If there was any science published we would let it do the talking. There isn't.
We've gone from pretty much nothing in early 2011 to an independent report in mid-2013 and several competing companies (some of which by the way have already reported and successfully demoed their stuff):
Defkalion claim to be selling technology licenses. After their deal to produce stuff for Rossi fell through. Either they've totally ripped off his stuff, in which case why is there not a huge lawsuit (I mean, no one else is smart enough to come up with this stuff right, it's revolutionary!) , or it's a scam.
The Brillouin Energy stuff seems to be based on misunderstanding of another obscure part of physics.
Anyone that actually successfully demo'd this stuff would be headline news, everywhere. It would be a massive. The big energy boys would be trying to buy them out for billions.
They aren't though, and nobody's presented anything remotely like a verified results. Hell, Orbo had demos.
that's pretty rapid progress in my book.
It's been years. There's still been nothing but hot air, despite all sorts of unverified claims like that there was a 1MW unit running a factory somewhere.
Maybe the most aggressive projections did not come through but do they ever? I'm not willing to wait until 2050 for some super expensive laser fusion or Tokakaks so I AM getting my hopes up and anyway he hasn't harmed anyone in the process or cost me a cent in taxes so I don't understand the hate.
Because he seems to be exhibiting all the hallmarks of a total charlatan.
Because he's seems to be exhibiting all the hallmarks of a total charlatan.
Because he's pulled these shenanigans before.
Because without people shouting this utter bullshit down at every turn we would no doubt see lots of uneducated people investing in this stuff and losing their money to the unscrupulous.
Because it's blatantly just the latest in a long line of ludicrous perpetual motion machines.
For some reason there seem to be a section of engineer/geek culture who aspire to spend as little time, effort or money on food as is possible. They'd happily live off this sludge if it was cheap and they didn't ever have to think about eating again. It's bizarrely aspirational for them.
Personally I aspire to having tastier food, having a great variety, I enjoy spending time cooking for/with friends and generally think food is great. Some folks OTOH seem to be proud of the fact they've eaten the same thing for lunch every day for several years.
Re: Using as much of the slaughtered animal as possible,
People might still be happy enough if the Findus lasagne was labelled as horse, the taboo may well fail pretty fast.
The fuss really is about not knowing what you're eating, and about the fact that unregulated and untraced meat could get into the food chain so easily. It's an issue of trust in rather than of some sort of bizarre hippophagophobia.
This appears to be Big Blue saying "don't run your linux stuff on commodity hardware, buy our mainframes and run linux there", rather than anything about proprietary operating systems.
Mainframes are an amazing piece of kit and I have no doubt they can outperform a whole heap of x86 stuff, but you really could buy a whole heap and then some for the cost of System Z couldn't you?
"He's financed this research himself without a penny of government money, unlike NIF, ITER and other multi-billion dollar outfits that are still decades away from anything meaningful."
They're decades away and costing a lot of money because they're working within the bounds of reality, something that Rossi is not constrained by.
"I'd also be more skeptical if nobody else was claiming success but there's also Defkalion and Brillouin, both of which are going to demo and share results in August so it's an exciting race to watch."
Yes, the results we need are always just around the corner, just a couple more months, any time now!
You've been suckered. Did you invest in orbo?
The samsung chromebook is the number one laptop/notebook at amazon.com and number 3 at amazon.co.uk
It's not exactly the exmplar of failure you seem to think.
>> the gamekeeper asking the poacher how to stop people stealing his salmon
If you're really lucky he might tell you how to stop *other* people stealing your salmon...
Re: "There is no reason why this area shouldn't be the home of a new boom..
Conversely, there are lots of people with specialist skills in the rest of the country, who don't want to live in London because it stinks and it's hopelessly crowded.
I'm not even being snarky. Try living somewhere else for a couple of years then going back.
Set up playlist, hit "download to phone" and wait a bit. Now you have your spotify playlist stored locally.
There are things to dislike about it, they don't have everything (their selection of British Goth bands from the 1990s is quite lacking... :), you don't own the stuff you've downloaded and it can disappear if they fall out with the artist. Plus clearly you lose access if you stop paying them.
But I still quite like it.
"Both had around the same strengths and weaknesses, just to a different value. Give and take, usually means we do not get a perfect result, just move the "weakness" of the system around."
'Fiat' money does not have the weakness that a bunch of internet crazies hold the lions share (~80%) of the currency in long-term dormant accounts, nor does it have a built in distribution limit. BTC has a lot of weaknesses and will never make a useful currency.
Seriously, seriously, you don't think the discipline of climate science might, just *might*, take the sun into account?
Re: There is no "spirit" of a law..
What a load of rubbish, 'course there is, the spirit in which the law was made and intended. The exact letter often has unintended consequences,
Harassing Google is all well and good...
And complex international structures do strike me as a rather unethical way to get out of paying your fair share.
BUT - if it's going to change then the politicians need to figure out how they're going to change the law to prevent the various practices that brought us here. There's only so far you can get by haranguing people to obey the spirit as well as the letter of the law.
Re: Warnings from History: Wikileaks... Cyprus....
"The US Government doesnt control all currencies."
Silly rabbit, if the US government stamps it out others may well follow, particularly if the aforementioned US government decides to throw its considerable weight around.
That said, I'd rather bitcoins were allowed to fail on their own merits rather than be stamped out, because the libertarian squeals of big-government persecution will echo round the net for years, annoying the crap (further) out of me.
"Of course, I'm sure they'd just say that Nokia would be able to do better. And ignore the fact that no-one else seems to be managing it. After all, HTC seem to have some very nice phones, some look nicer to me than the Samsungs, but it doesn't seem to be doing them any good."
Nokia *would* have been able to do it better. People obviously like android (or don't hate it), and nokia had a european brand presence like nothing else, they had a huge reputation for quality and decent prices. They could have been more than just another Samsung competitor, they could have been where Samsung is, at least in Europe.
Now, you can't blame the fact that they're not entirely on Elop and his platform decisions because they seemed to have had massive, systemic problems before he turned up. He just kinda sealed the deal.
Re: @David Hicks - What IS surprising...
DO we really want to start this here? The gnome folks did not make it easy for anyone to stay with V2, dropping all support and making it very hard to put both versions in the same box. They also continue to drop features and ignore or be outright rude towards user feedback.
Yes, one wonderful thing about linux is that you have DE choice. Which is why I didn't say linux, I said gnome...
(Yes, I use XFCE...)
Re: Good observation
Anecdata is not evidence....
My non-techy father hates it, possibly more than he hated vista. Of course to him it's the computer that's evil rather than the interface, so the Vista laptop was horrible, the Win 7 all-in one was perfectly pleasant and "this stupid new machine doesn't seem to do anything properly". I must admit it took me ages to do anything on it either, and I had to resort to poking around in the program files directories to try to figure out what was installed on the damn thing. I had a better time with Unity and that's saying something.
I have a techie friend who's been evaluating it under the MSDN license too. His got stuck in an update loop. Update, fail, reboot, revert, update, fail...
So there you go, two or three counterpoints to "it works well for me".
Re: What IS surprising...
@JDX - you have to admit it's a bit of a climbdown.
"Here's our big new thing! It changes everything! It's awesome!"
"We don't want or like these changes..."
"Oh, well... ok"
I suppose it's better than the Gnome story, in which the third line would be "F*** you, ignorant scum"
I'm pretty sure most studies of smart-metre households have discovered that it doesn't work great - everyone takes an interest for a week or two, then gets bored and slips back to doing exactly what they did before.
Great waste of money this whole thing.
Re: SSDs, I believe, have now overtaken memory as the single most cost-effective upgrade
"It depends on how much the OS is using the hard drive."
Don't forget the applications. Firefox (for instance) still seems horribly disk-bound.
Hehe. I wrote to my MP about ID cards, stating very much what you just put there "It's not so much the card I object to, it's the huge database behind the scenes and its massive privacy implications, not to mention all the people you propose giving access to".
Three months later I got a letter back saying "We understand your objections, but this scheme is not just an identity card! There's this huge unified database thingy behind it too! And it'll be accessible to all these public servants!"
All of which made it abundantly clear that no, you did not understand my objections or even read them. Muppets.
"I bet it wasnt as bad as the appalling distro (Linpus) the Acer aspire one ssd version came with.
I recall hitting the `update` button in options and the thing rebooting first to a command prompt, then just hanging on boot, never to work again."
Wowsers. OK maybe not *that* bad but -
Xandros on my eee 901 refused to update itself after the first time due to there being no space, which was because the debs from previous updates were still there and it didn't know how to clear them (epic facepalm). Also there was no easy way to alter the desktop/menu content and by the time the 901 came out they had removed the 'advanced' (kde) desktop mode. It also killed ipods. A friend attached his to charge it, and some or other media player started up, maybe amarok, scanned the device and then overwrote all the indexes in an incompatible format, resulting in an ipod that claimed at the same time that it was full and had nothing on it!
I ditched Xandros ASAP. It was a pretty good hackintosh for a while, then became a really good little debian machine, and it still is vaguely useful though I have now replaced nearly all the parts.
Re: I'll see your ARM core and raise you a SATA port. ;-)
"Is a HD in a USB caddy that slow?"
If it's USB 2.0, yes it is.USB 3.0 can be a lot better. But yes, even spinning rust on USB 2 is badly limited.
If they had USB 3 then that would be just awesome, you can get some USB 3.0 sticks now that are coming up to 1/2 SSD speed, and that's awesome.
Re: I'll see your ARM core and raise you a SATA port. ;-)
Excellent, that looks like a step in the right direction - IO has been a major bottleneck in these devices for a while, and having SATA available is a huge step forward at that price point. The only small ARM/SATA boards I've seen before came in around the $200 mark. Granted they had quad-core marvell chips in them, but still... looks like a great board.
Re: Worthwhile for Whom?
1. A Bitcoin payment is irreversible after approx. 1 hour, a bank transfer can be reversed several days after the time of payment;
This is a positive for the consumer. If a vendor doesn't fulfill the contract, the money can be recovered. Bitcoin as a payment method is a scammers paradise where unscrupulous vendors can shaft the consumer. We have chargeback and other consumer protections for a reason.
2. A typical wire transfer costs ~£20-£30 to complete, with many current accounts costing £6 a month at the bank. Paypal takes a 10% cut from transactions from merchants, and VISA providers can charge as much as 5%, with a greater charge if the payment is reversed. One can send several thousand dollars worth of Bitcoin around the world for a cost of ten cents.
One would then have to pay a fee to get it back out of the bitcoin system, and be taking a huge gamble as to what it was worth when it got the other side anyway. I pay no account fees here or in Australia and was able to complete transfers of multiple thousands of pounds between Australia and the UK for about 15 quid, at a relatively stable, market exchange rate.
3. Because the payments are irreversible after one hour, certain high-risk businesses, such as delivery of high-cost international products (http://www.howtoacceptbitcoin.com/2013/01/eliminate-fraud-from-internet-payments.html) or otherwise accepting custom from international customers (http://www.howtoacceptbitcoin.com/2012/10/low-risk-international-payments-for.html) can accept Bitcoin to attempt to reduce the risk of chargeback fraud.
Because of the relatively high risk of small vendors ripping you off or disappearing, consumers should stay the hell away from bitcoin vendors, particularly those in a foreign country, because of the high risk of fraud and lack of protection when you get ripped off..
With its current volatility, it is not useful to fix a product to a Bitcoin price. However, as a means of transferring dollars, sterling and other traditional currencies, it provides a robust solution to current problems merchants face.
While completely shafting the consumer. No consumer should ever use BTC as a payment method for the reasons given.
Re: If you don't know who the sucker is...
Deflation in a currency only acts as a disadvantage if it is sudden and unexpected.
No, it's just a terrible idea all around. The Bitcoin wiki glosses over a lot of things and tries to handwave away the problems of a deflationary economy as simply an issue of making sure the currency is divisible. Lack of divisible supply is not the only problem with deflation, there are many, not least of which is that people get richer by sitting on cash rather than investing it, and cash becomes an end in itself rather than a means.
Jesus, talk about blind faith!
"Bitcoin itself has no single central point of failure: the weakness you're describing is in a central point of failure in the layer between Bitcoin and conventional currencies.
As a merchant, I could accept Bitcoin to a Bitcoin wallet without fear that it would be hacked."
So you're quite happy that the bitcoin protocol will never show a weakness in the face of gathering value?
Look at TLS - despite some of the best minds in the business being turned towards it, problems and leaks are still found, year after year. You're willing to bet your prosperity on the idea that the same will never happen on BTC, which has had nothing like the scrutiny?
"People say to me what makes you the best," Hughes said. "One word for that is that I've got to be the craziest by far."
But that's not crazy, it's just what you would do if someone said make me a 15 million dollar iphone, isn't it?
I would hope for the price you're getting the work of a premier artisan, and that would make him the best, because the lack of actual originality of design here is the opposite of crazy, it's dull.
Ten-pounds notes can be used to fund terrorism and paedos, so you'd have to ban them as well.
LOL @ expecting consistency in rules from government! Seriously, you think for a second that "buh, buh, buh, cash can do that too!" will mean anything to a fat-headed legislator that gets it in mind to ban subversive crypto-currency?
Re: Anonymity ?
"If you've found a way to consistently "algorithmically" correlate tor identities to real-world identities, there's a Fields medal waiting for you when you get home."
That's not what I claimed and who needs to do that anyway?
You just need to trace the coins (possible with the blockchain) to an exit point (exchange). Identifying when funds have entered the accounts of an exchange may or may not be all that easy, but if/when you manage it you then use legal muscle to demand they tell you what's up. Tor is absolutely irrelevant to this.
This may be a lot more tricky if BTC laundering is involved, sure, but tor isn't going to protect you as soon as you try and get the BTC back out into the real world.
Re: Anonymity ?
5) Have a heart-attack when someone traces the coins algorithmically to an exchange or other exit-point and tracks you down anyway.
The anonymity argument really breaks down when you need to convert them back and forth to 'real' currency.
Re: A finite calculable resource [like] gold/precious metals -- NOT
Sterling inflation is decided by whim of the bank of england. At least bitcoins inflation is known beforehand.
Which means that when the money supply causes problems in the wider economy, there's nothing anyone can do about it. Some of us consider the bank of england to be a feature, not a bug.
The whole purpose of trading in gold was due to its measurable quality...
Yes of course someone could produce a "coinbits" based on the same variable. The greeks could also decided...
You miss the point - the current bitcoin blockchain really is only a brand name, and other, identical blockchains can be and are being started. There is only scarcity of "Bitcoin" branded coins, no real scarcity at all.
The original piece talked about a bubble, bitcoins are not a bubble by a long stretch.
Bitcoins have experienced absolutely classic bubbles twice now, because they are a speculative asset based on confidence and nothing more. 'Fiat' as you like to call it is backed by national economies.
And those with a couple kBTC put away today will be the new kings, all worth hundreds of billions.
Count me out of an economy that creates a new aristocracy out of hoarders.
Re: Anonymity ?
All bitcoin transactions are a matter of public record. The anonymous aspect is that you can't easily tie a human to a bitcoin address. That said, the exchanges all use all sorts of ID verification so if you suspected someone of using BTC to buy drugs you (the theoretical you that is a law-enforcement wonk trying to track silk road vendors) could probably set up a sting, follow the coins to an exchange and demand to know the name/address of the accountholder.
"If someone breaks SHA-256 they'll have bigger prizes..."
But you don't often have to break the algorithm. Most good security hacks find flaws in the way people are using the algorithm and the data, not the algorithm itself.
Not saying the bitcoin protocol is flawed, I haven't done an analysis and I'm not (yet) qualified to, but just saying 'we use SHA256' or AES, or whatever it might be, turns out not to be very useful by itself.
Re: not really
Bitcoins (at the end of the day) are a finite calculable resource
Bitcoin the current blockchain, sure. But unlike gold and silver, the only real limit and value is purely in terms of brand recognition. Other currencies using the *exact same* algorithms, source-code clients etc. can (and in fact already have) come into existance. There's no reason that an infinite number can't pop up. And each one can be identical to bitcoin. And this is before we even talk about crypto-currencies with different/competing models.
It's not like with gold, someone can't just come along and pull another type of gold out of their arse, but with bitcoin you can.