The supercomputers LIED: UK rainfall is rising, but won't drown our phones

Well stripe me pink...

...it's not as bad as the models predict.

Who da thunk it.

Not wanting to pour cold water on a good rant....

If I read this correctly, the graphics have nothing to do with rainfall amount (how much water falls on the ground) but are actually a measure of how often it is raining. So, if it rained a bit for 5 hours a day before but now has torrential downpours for 1 hour a day, this data will show a reduction in rainfall.....is that correct?

Hang on

Let me get this right. You are saying that all these expensive and doom predicting models are not quite right according to some jam jars and rulers? And how expensive was this ground breaking kit?

I still cant believe that the real data didnt predict that expected outcome from the dog drowning cartoon. This just upsets my world view. How can reality be more truthful than selective modelling? I must go ask the priests if this is a sign from the oh great lord co2 (all bow now).

Hold on

Apart from the fact that comparison with the ITU model is sort of spurious, because it isn't used by Ofcom, and anyway a global model that gets the heaviest rain rates right to a few mms is pretty impressive - the jam jars do show that heavy rain is getting heavier. As climate change is a left wing pinko conspiracy, this must be the result of some other factor. I expect its the heavy chemicals in those jets that they use to spread the mind numbing chemicals.

Measurements or modelling

Those plots cover a far greater area than the UK landmass. So how many jam jars with rulers stuck to the side do they have in the middle of the North Sea, then?? Maybe on a few oil platforms up towards Norway & Scotland, but not enough to draw countours ...

Methinks there's a bit of modelling going on there, to extrapolate the measurements out over the briny ...

Scale...

About 12 years ago I was designing a new racing boat for myself. I wanted to know how much wind to desgn it for, so I did a bit of research in my locality, which is close to Heathrow so there's reasonable historical data. It soon became apparent to me that not only are there windy weeks and quiet weeks, and windy weeks and quit weeks, as we all know, there is a seasonal patter superimposed in that, as one would expect, but also that there are windy years and quiet years, and even windy decades and quiet decades. Amusingly you can see the effect of that in boat design, because in quiet decades boats tend to get bigger sails, but then in windy decades they don't.

Anyway, what that's now suggesting to me, now I think about it, is that the wind strength experienced is probably fractal, with natural variations continuing on both bigger and smaller scales. It doesn't seem impossible that applies to other factors in the weather. And if you are in a system of cyclic changes of ever biggesr scale, well it makes it enormously difficult to spot underlying trends within that, especially when the underlying rends are probably swarfed by the cycles.

tsk

Y'all missed the point - the use of jam jars cant be correct cos we all know that if its in the computer, it must be right and nothing else can be right.

"Microwave works in the rain"

I'm not sure mine does...