Drilling into 3D printing: Gimmick, revolution or spooks' nightmare?
3D printing, otherwise known as additive manufacturing, is a subject that pumps out enthusiasts faster than any real-life 3D printer can churn out products. In conventional machining, computer-aided design and computer-aided manufacturing (CADCAM) combine to make products or parts of products by cutting away at, drilling and …
The new injection moulding
In the 50's and 60's there was a large increase in the availabilty of cheap tat from the far east. This came about from cheap injection moulding technology, that became affordable and allowed manu's to fill the world with little plasticky things, often with rough edges that would break after a short time.
Obviously the technology improved - as did the ability of people who designed stuff for IM manufacture. So today there is less tat and more high-quality IM produced stuff around. To the point where nobody cares, or knows, what the process was that created all the stuff they surround themselves with.
3D printing is similar. As it's still in the novelty stage, the attribute "3D printed" is often promoted more than the actual thing that was produced. Whether or not you consider the stuff to be cheap (or expensive) plasticky tat is up to the reader. However the technology still has a way to go before it matures to the point where nobody, except the maker, cares how their new "thing" was produced.
The one thing I can see that stands in the way of 3D printing is the speed of production. It still seems to be a slow, rasterised, process. Adding one thin layer after another. While the low speed of the "printer" lends itself to making high-precision parts, it's pretty hopeless at making them by the million. Until the process can match the speed of other manufacturing processes, it will always be a high-cost, niche technique. Great for one-offs, but useless for making a billion keyboard key-caps a year.
Great for one-offs
I think this hits the nail on the head.
It may revolutionize prototyping. Design a complicated 3-D object on your computer, and print one. Handle it. Stress it. See what feels good or bad, what breaks or bends too easily. Revise your design. Print another prototype. No problem with going around this loop several times.
For manufacturing, you'll still bite off the large expense of having a mould manufactured, so you can knock out the item in thousands or millions for cents per unit.
It'll also mean that at the other end of the cycle, one-off spare parts for obsolete models will be similarly easy to manufacture. What is the state of the art in 3-D scanning? Take a broken part, reassemble it with superglue, 3D scan it and 3D print a replacement? Maybe not there today, but soon. Photo-copying for objects.
It may revolutionize lost-wax casting, because it'll be easier to make the wax originals. What makes sense for jewellers today (with hand-sculpted wax), may make sense for any smallish cast-metal object tomorow.
Spooks' nightmare
How odd that a community of the (presumably American) military and security establishment should feel so much concern about people printing their own firearms.
In Britain, and no doubt in some other countries, it's just about arguable that the difficulty of obtaining firearms restricts their use in crime. Even here, it's probably mostly unpremeditated or loony crime that's prevented. Professional criminals and terrorists can usually get all the guns they need.
But it's hard to imagine why anyone in the USA would go to the trouble and expense of printing a gun when they seem to be pretty freely available for sale.
Re: Spooks' nightmare
"But it's hard to imagine why anyone in the USA would go to the trouble and expense of printing a gun when they seem to be pretty freely available for sale."
They might not, but you can be sure they want the ability to do so.
Rightly or wrongly, lots of them believe universal firearms registration, followed by confiscation, is the ultimate goal of their Government.
Re: Spooks' nightmare - 2 reasons...
serial
and
number
:-) - though i feel i have to point out that all the 3d printable firearms i have ever heard about require all the proper bits to be fabricated from traditional materials using traditional methods - having printed the trigger guard and stock, and bought in all the other bits can you realistically claim to have printed the gun?
Re: Spooks' nightmare
"But it's hard to imagine why anyone in the USA would go to the trouble and expense of printing a gun when they seem to be pretty freely available for sale"
True, but Texas is a pretty long drive for some people (well you can't fly given what you're bringing back right)
Re: Spooks' nightmare
Probably they don't really give a toss either way.
However, military and security organisations need Growth to provide opportunities faster than "the old bastard in the corner office poping his clogs" can provide. So they must always and forever come up with newer and better/scarier "threats" that can be marketed to politicians in exchange for funding.
From the growth-perspective it is just fine that people can buy real guns and they buy even more of them "'cause Obama will take them away" and some nutters shoot up the school occasionally stoking the paranoia about a ban. Society is finally getting some value from all that psy-ops research and training :)
Ignoring the speed...
Isn't this technology heading towards the concept we've already seen as Star Trek replicators?
Re: Ignoring the speed...
Possibly, in the same sense that the Wright brothers were heading towards the concept of warp drive.
Re: Ignoring the speed...
What about the replicator in The Fifth Element. I wan't one of those...oh, and some fingernail clippings from (a quite long list of people)
have i seen this before?
Seems like some of the Wired writers proclaimed years ago that on-demand printing was going to revolutionize bookstores. But that hasn't exactly happened now, has it? And now they're saying the same thing for manufacturing? Definitely a sexy idea, one that is good enough to engage your imagination of what could be (and for you to get swept away in the romance of it.)
Same idea with 3D printing - sell the plans for anything online, you call the nearest shop and have them print one out for you. Although e-publishing has done away with the printed page, there surely seems to be more than that as factors. I'll guess that the biggest competition to 3D printing will be cheap shipping...from China.
Re: have i seen this before?
Print at the point of sale was a nice idea rendered pointless by e-readers. Print on demand is hugely successful and dominates self-publishing. Of course, if you have a design for a working holo-projector. . .
Re: have i seen this before?
'Print on demand' is a bit in-between... if you need the book this week, order it from a large warehouse somewhere and enjoy the savings given to you by economies of scales or the second hand market. If you need it this minute, download a copy to your e-reader.
Re: have i seen this before?
It did. But it's on demand printing on the Computer Screen, not paper. Or are you reading the print version of El Reg?
Who will be the first
idiot to secure a Darwin award for using a firearm with a chamber created by a 3D printer?
BTW Some US law student already has permission to try printing gun parts.
http://blackwaterusa.com/the-hype-oover-3d-printed-gun-parts
Seems to have a few more details than some.
One thing we're ignoring...
3D printing is a **lot** easier and cheaper for a software geek than the "subtractive methods" i.e. machining. It requires a bit of expertise in a 3D modeling/CAD program or the download of a model, the printer, some stock, and a bit of time and patience.
The digital equivalent might be a Computer-Aided-Manufacturing machine to digitally cut stuff, but those are seriously expensive and I only know one person rich enough to own one, and he uses it in his business.
Regular non-CAM machining is pretty damn difficult, and requires one or more of a drill press, lathe, etc which are neither small nor cheap. Just drilling an accurate hole is an operation that can take an hour all by itself. Anything more complex and I find it easier & cheaper to outsource it to a small local machinist who has all the tools and expertise that I don't.
Re: One thing we're ignoring...
We didn't quite sacrifice chickens to ensure smooth running of the CNC machine over a 36 hour job, but we did become superstitious and played Sabres of Paradise at it very loudly! It turned out that upgrading its controlling PC to Pentium 4 with Hyperthreading cheered it up no end, like virtual oil.... previously the CPU would sometimes hit 100% load and lose contact with the machine, which in turn would engage its safety locks- to the detriment of the work-piece.
You would never seek to reproduce all the features you want on the machine, even it it wasn't a mere 3-axis job- threads, for example, are better done with a tap- and the same is probably true of 3D printed parts.
Re: One thing we're ignoring...
So much not correct here.
3D printing is still, in the "inexpensive" printer arena, an art rather than a science. I'm not going to go into why, the build blogs are out there and all you have to do is look.
If you don't want to be left "finishing" a piece post-print you need to spend upwards of $2K. Below that the vertical resolution on all commercial machines (yes, including RepRap) is so poor you get striations on the finished part.
For about $1.6K Sears will sell you a ready-to-cut wood milling machine, about the size of an ink jet printer. Good for making signs, decorative boxes or whatever else you can think up. Plug and play.
NC milling machines can be gotten for around $2-3k that are worth owning. There's a bloke sitting not ten feet from me who won one in a raffle last November when he attended a seminar run by the manufacturer. Turns out, not just computer firms give away stuff at jamborees. Who knew?
A Unimat lathe can be bought for under $2k. I see them on eBay all the time. Then it's a matter of acquiring the skills by lathing materials and reading books. You'll need other tools, micrometers and so forth, but those you can acquire as you develop a need for them.
It takes a few seconds to drill a hole using my floor-standing 15-speed drill press, which cost me about $350 - less than the price of a cheap laptop. If it took an hour to drill a hole, the bit was blunt. The hint would be the small of hot metal and (optionally) melting plastic or burning wood.
I know people who own laser-cutting machines for cutting wood. Never looked into those myself, but given the people concerned that means they can't be ruinously expensive. Laser-cutting can be used in all sorts of fab projects - the case for the makerbot was laser cut the last time I looked at them.
Perhaps one of the real advantages of moving to the USA was is there is ready access to inexpensive machine tools of all shapes and sizes. Makes up for all those guns blasting away in every direction night and day, and having to run from one piece of cover to the next just to go anywhere.
As for your computer geek who can't drill a hole - perhaps one can only truly claim to be an engineer if once one has written some code one can solder a few components to a board on which to run it and knock up a case to put it all in.
Re: One thing we're ignoring...
"You would never seek to reproduce all the features you want on the machine, even it it wasn't a mere 3-axis job- threads, for example, are better done with a tap- and the same is probably true of 3D printed parts."
The next stage will be a CNC+3D printer combination - and I've seen CNC systems handling taps. You just need enough axes and enough toolheads.
What about the environment?
Please don't make this technology accessible to the masses.. The land and the sea is already saturated with plastic. Now if everyone start printing crap on their cheap 3d printer, you know where most of it will end up!
Re: What about the environment?
>you know where most of it will end up!
shredded and put back into the machine's hopper?
Re: What about the environment?
At last, a case for home recycling of plastic bags.....
Extremely Loud BAH!
Yeah, this is the way to report on a technology still in its infancy.
Use comments from academics and fellow journalists (who like to coin three-dollar words to make ordinary concepts sound more clixby) and politicians (and their catspaws, government agencies) who don't know the difference between star trek and real life.
This is my view. Imagine a time when this technology has moved out of the garage and into the home. Can we find an analogy...sorry I can't. Imagine you drive a classic car, say a Thunderbird or a TR3, and you break a tail light filter. Imagine being able to order the pattern off the web and buy a kit of the raw materials which your handy-dandy universal fabricator (rather optimistically named by some large corporation) will, before your very eyes, work up a replacement for you.
Not as exciting or controversial as "me build gun in garage!" but that is where the future will bring us, in good time.
All the rubbishing of hyperbole cooked up by fellow journalists is, to be honest, a bit masturbatory. Of course the hobbyists are keen. Did you ever try talking to someone who makes and flies model aircraft? That doesn't mean the technology won't live up to the hype given enough time.
I'll finish up by saying that I started my working life in a machine tool manufacturing plant in the UK where we made hydraulic, multi-spindle machines of great quality. What management refused to believe was that the new Japanese machines would steal our market from under our noses. After all, theirs were single spindle, made of plastic rather than iron and steel and were controlled by these new-fangled "microprocessors", which were not durable in those days. Do I have to spell out how that ended? The road where the factory used to stand is still named for the company. I doubt anyone who lives nearby knows that, though. The factory was history before most of them started school.
Re: Extremely Loud BAH!
>the new Japanese machines would steal our market from under our noses.
Round here we still have Renishaw, who make metrology equipment (encoders, CNC probes) that is used in the Japanese equipment, along with everybody elses. Hell, one of their probes was even featured in the Apple iPhone 5 promo video (with visible logo) but Renishaw are so above it that they don't bother to mention it on their website.
Re: Extremely Loud BAH!
Actually, I can find a rather good analogy: open source software.
Open source software is great, all the hobbists love it and some professionals even use it to get their job done. But it's done almost nothing for consumers. Why? Because consumers don't care how their computer works. They don't even want to know how it works. All they want is to be able to use the thing to read their mail and look at funny videos.
So, I fully expect that it will be a very long time before 3-D printing becomes anything more than a enthusiast toy or small business production tool. Now, the local home improvement store or auto parts store could do a lot of business by making those one off parts for consumers that come in and say they need a new tail light filter for their '69 Chevy. A consumer facing shop could easily have someone sufficiently trained (read: the equivalent of a Hell Desk drone) to find your part rendering in a database and enter it into the printer and [the shop] would be able to absorb the cost of printing out the wrong part on occasion.
But as a consumer used technology, 3-D printing is about as likely as open source software. If you can package it in a way that makes it completely transparent to the end user, then it has some chance of surviving; otherwise its dead in the water. But once you've packaged it that way, then you've thrown away much of the decentrallizing (democratizing, if you're one of those screwballs from the article) properties that some people find wonderful about both technologies.
Re: Extremely Loud BAH!
"Actually, I can find a rather good analogy: open source software."
I was shooting for the Personal Computer.
3D printing is at the Acorn Atom/Sinclair Spectrum stage right now, and in about half the time. Imagine where we will be by the time Windows 95 hits the shelves.
Missed the point by a mile, I'm afraid.
The professor seems to be treating the 3D revolution entirely from the small-start-up angle. In a sense, he's right. For mass-production of certain items, like Lego for instance, the standard high-pressure moulding process has the proper scaling properties. High up-front costs, low per-item cost. 3D printing doesn't really do it for the small business, or the return of cheap manufacturing to the west.
However, the real story about the 3D printing revolution is the explosion of innovation. The hundreds, nay thousands, of ordinary people building these things, experimenting with different techniques, trying entirely new methods, building things not conceived of before. It is a new tool for the aspiring artist.
The often forcasted problems of IP related to patents and copyright are what the lawyers are gearing up for though. As ever, manufacturers fearing their bottom line will push for the clamping down on the sharing of designs and file swapping on the Internet. As the world moves into a new age of design and innovation, incumbant businesses will fear this "democratic" revolution. It happened in the film, book and music industries: it will happen here also. And of course, the lawyers will make a ton of money.
${DEITY} help us.
If we could only drag ourselves as a race out of the dark ages, goodness knows what we could achieve.
Re: Missed the point by a mile, I'm afraid.
I rather don't think he has missed the point at all, and neither has AO.
Google on who Spiked! are, and who James Woudhuysen/James Wood is.
Games Workshop Space Marines, old Airfix kits
more than i could have ever imagined maybe ?
Nice article, but a bit americanocentric?
As a EU-member-country citizen I've come to enjoy a more globally diverse perspective provided by the Register.
However, I've become increasingly irritated due to the incessant US references; by the point Thomas Jefferson (!) was mentioned I think I had a light reflux. I was expecting Pilgrims and the Mayflower next.
Honestly, this is even more eggregegious given the author is UK-based. Perhaps the professor was misled as to the nature of the Reg's readership (which AFAIR did become more, but by far not exclusively, American) ?
Suggestion
The immediate users will be game aficionados, think chess and all the games that require figures. Figures with character or aesthetic quality are especially valued. There will be twenty versions of Napoleon, perhaps 50 beautiful princesses.
These will be produced by artists and sold by post. Then the artists will put files up for sale over the web. Enthusiasts and games clubs will have printers, Salute is coming soon ( http://www.salute.co.uk/salute/salute-2013/ ) , we should see if 3D printing is there.
That is not earth shattering, but it is a commercial start.
No one knows where this will lead. Come back in twenty years, perhaps tourists will buy their souvenir of Pisa emailed to home to save having to carry it
PLA
PLA, one of the most common materials, is biodegradable.
Make-on-demand as needed - versus make-a-million-and-hope-we-can-sell-em.
Niche-not
To those thinking the only adopters will be those with a Dremel, LOL...
"When we set the upper limit of PC-DOS at 640K, we thought nobody would ever need that much memory."
The same bloke muttered in 1977 "a computer on every desk and in every home" -- back in the day when people laughed at the statement. Why would everyone need a computer? AT HOME even!!!
Re: Niche-not
Okay, fair enough....
If you offered people a Star Trek-style 'Replicator' - any object, any material- including meals - then yeah, for sure, most people will say 'Hell yeah!' However, even on the Starship Enterprise, I would imagine that there is a central replicator that is dedicated to making uniforms, and another that is tuned to the production of Phasers. There would probably be a replicator that makes replicators. I.e, if you have the technology to make a machine that makes anything, then you will have the technology to make a more specialised machine even faster/efficient.
dot com redux
Attended MIT; saw some of the beginnings.
Funny about Jeffersonian cults. It’s a throwback to BEFORE agriculture really – the last time the Jeffersonian-Jacksonian-egalitarian-democratic idea made ANY sense. Hasn’t since. In the recent era – say the last 14-15 K years –it is civilizational technology – primarily theology – and cultural technology – primarily political and military science – that has led. This is the strongest becoming stronger by recruiting the next strong and targeting the next following strong as enemies…based on the Roman understanding: the State is a Playground and Gold Mine for the Strongest.
Really taming that dragon in my experience requires being polite to it in public, and vital to it in private. What Jobs did: capitalist Ninja wielding all the weapons of the counter- and hacker-cultures. Truth is out lately though: Apple is guess what A BUSINESS…
I guess we like to need to believe. That’s the deal, with 3 D printing.
The Professor has given us some useful context ...
I liked this treatment of the issues. What the prof has done is remind us that there is a long history to technology innovation, and that there MAY be some lessons from which we can draw in that history. And he included caveats on the way through. I'm going to go back and read this again. Only then will I look in my piggy bank to see if I can afford that $2,000.
I stopped reading here...
"3D printing does not represent a pervasive, durable and penetrating transformation of the dynamics and status of manufacturing."
Bullshit for controversy's sake from someone who has probably never tried to 'manufacture' anything other than opinions.
Heading towards Neal Stephenson's "Diamond Age"?
Well worth a read. A little long, but I could see this eventually being the future... In maybe another century or so.
Certainly has its uses
We fabricated component parts for the STRaND-1 satellite using a 3D printer: far cheaper and quicker than sending the specifications to an engineering lab. If you find you then need to alter the design, the turnaround time is unbeatable - seconds from saving the CAD file to starting the print.
I don't think that 3D printing is the be-all and end-all - the materials are limited for low-cost printers, and the resolution is a problem for now - but it's great for prototyping and small-run manufacturing. Will there be one in every home? Not until the technology matures, and perhaps not even then. But there's a big potential there, and a goodly-sized market gagging for improved, cheaper devices, and I'm certain that market will be fulfilled.
3D printing isn't new
The only thing new about 3D printing is the new low cost hobbyist machines.
3D printing or stereolithography as it used to be called was a well established technique being used in the automotive industry back in the early 1990s. Even companies like Rover used them in house.
Production SLA machines can produce polymer or sintered components up to about 1.5m in length.
Just show how few of these forecasters and pundits are manufacturing engineers.
Re: 3D printing isn't new
Eskimos were doing it with ice before then. Clay/mud even further back. If you take a "brick" as a pixel in a "print". ;)
TL:DR
I read the first chapter of this rant. Clearly the Prof has something or someone to protect.
Not quite
"We need also to recall, first, that America, land of the car, inventor of the assembly line and inventor of the sit-down strike"
I'm fairly certain the assembly line came from France (bicycle manufacturer). The Merkins get credit for "moving assembly line".
Shurely not...
...just a focus on what it means to individuals.
If the technology improves as it surely will, at some point it will begin to affect worldwide logistics. Many cheap items have poured into Western markets based on simple mass-production and low cost shipping. Even in higher value items the reduced costs of mass-production can be seen, for instance paying more for smaller memory chips than their higher capacity replacements as the production lines tail off.
If you take 3D-printing to one logical endpoint, the economies of scale argument will yield, at least in part, to the flexibility of local supply - in the case of the washing machine part, why mass produce a part having made an expensive injection mould template, spend money producing and storing it in the hope that the 20,000 units you have made will sell out eventually (although in a decreasing return vs. cost of storage and sunk cost). Even it if moves to the professional 'print and collect' model of local (country or region-based) commercial part printers, this changes what is currently a complex logistics component (ha!) of the manufacturing cycle to the delivery of raw materials to those localised printers.
It will probably also have other, less expected effects - for instance manufacturers who design their products to be more (or let's face it, less) able to be repaired or modded using 3D printed parts - printed iPhone ear-clips anyone?...
So IMO the more interesting space is how and when it will start to impact all those container ships circling the world full of mixed goods and spare parts (which incidentally have been credited with removing one of the key advantages behind the EU economic model at about the time that the treaty was first signed...).
A Use Case
For all the people looking for a use for this technology that proves it is a Force To Be Reckoned With, I offer the credit on the Aardman "Pirate" movie of last year, which quietly mentioned "rapid prototyping".
That's what non-hobbyists call 3D printing though sometimes the term involves CA Milling.
Did you know you can make a machine to do that from a 3D printer chassis and a Dremel rotary tool? You need to add some bits to make it clever and experience tells me the rotary tool doesn't have the bearings for ultra-fine work, but for gouging wood into submission with a router bit you are in like Flynn. There's even a company that sells the chassis you need.
This lash-up will separate the men from the boys though, since a DRT runs at such high speed there is a real danger of setting fire to the workpiece if you don't gauge the feed rate properly. But, as I always say, where's the fun in making things if there's no chance they will burst into flames in the process?
My experience has been that using a DRT to drill anything is inviting trouble since in most materials the bits will cook-off at even the slowest speeds. Found that out the expensive way. Dunno why they even sell the bits.
Thing is, I don't use my 2D printer to print books or magazines. I use it to print documents relating to my personal or professional needs, but not things which I might otherwise pay for (I suppose the exception, for some people, would be printed photos and the occasional will). I *could* print books (thanks, Project Gutenberg), but I don't. I buy books. I don't even buy eBooks and print them myself, and even if eBooks were much cheaper, I suspect I still wouldn't. I pay for someone else to print and bind them for me. Suits me fine.
I can see a market for consumer 3D printers with regard to simple products which will require no (or little) assembly once printed, but when it comes to the more complicated products I suspect Future Me will still be more than happy to pay for someone else to do it (and, preferably, deliver it to my door).
I hear the cotton gin will revolutionize humanity. Or is that "Civil"-ize it? What could go wrong with a simple machine that simplifies producing textiles en bulk?
yes
wasn't it that one in the Stephen King movie that ate people
