The first step of Hari Seldon's Psychohistory I wonder?
An MIT professor has developed an algorithm to predict what's going to be big on Twitter before it's big on Twitter – for those that care about such things. Twitter will care, he predicts. Associate Professor Devavrat Shah and his student Stanislav Nikolov have created an algorithm that determines with 95% accuracy whether a …
Hari Seldon's Psychohistory
Or as I like to call it, "Seldonomics"
I guess Twiiter is willing to wait the additional hours in order to be 100% sure :P
I would also guess that Twitter is able predict what will be trending well before they actually put it up as trending.
Oh look #chickenoreggfirst is trending. I think I'll click on that and see why. Oh, I see, everyone's talking about how Shah & Co's algorithm preducted that #chickenoreggfirst would be trending.
Or is it more likely to be a case of "#something is trending. We predicted it would. Obviously we didn't tell you though, to avoid a chicken/egg scenario, but we definitely predicted it would, honest."
Does it work the other way too?
Does he know how to get a topic trending in the first place? Could be a lot of money in that one.