@ AC 23:16
I see hydro as good base load power. In my happy world, I'd have smelters and the like run from massive wind/solar farms, and impinging on good base load as little as humanly possible.
As you say: there’s a big debate to be had as regards offshore industry vs energy production vs jobs to be had here. What use is renewable power if it is so thready that you absolutely rely on fossil (or massive amounts of territory-destroying hydro) to smooth out the grid? IMHO, not bloody much. If, however, you can tie specific industries (such as smelters) to the thready renewables plants as “smart grid clients,” (or whatever the modern buzzwords for that idea are,) then renewables are useful everywhere you have such industry.
Don’t have much industry to speak of? Massive wind/solar farms may be a pretty bad idea then. Power generation technologies should be tied as realistically as possible to the types of power consumers that exist on that grid. I constantly read about the UK’s absolute dearth of industry, yet apparently there are huge programs underway to build stupendous wind farms. I have to ask what possible use these wind farms could be, since without industries like smelters that can make use of thready power, you’re going to end up with a lot of very expensive fast-reaction fossil plants to smooth the power out. (The UK simply doesn’t have the necessary free territory to use hydro as the fast-reaction generation.)
There are other examples of what I consider some pretty loopy generation decisions, but it really boils down to “I don’t think someone sat down and thought this all out.” Everything I read in the media, or from government press releases rely on technologies that either don’t exist, (clean coal, high-efficiency photovoltaics, fusion, etc.) or aren’t even close to ubiquitous enough, (consumer smart-grid devices, batteries in electric cars to smooth the grid, etc.)
The debate that needs occur read more like “the kind of society we are aiming for via our economic and tax policies will have a direct impact on the kind of energy production we require, as well as the jobs available. This will inform our educational requirements as well as the kinds of heath care issues we will face, longevity, useful working age of the population, etc.” It’s not just industry, energy and jobs...it is accepting that what modern governments do is tantamount to complete economic and social engineering...and as such the “big picture” needs to be carefully considered. Everything affects everything else... no society can make informed decisions about even the “simple things” like power generation without considering how it fits into the “bigger scheme of things.”