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LTE set to spank WiMAX

Mike Demler

The "battle" is nothing but media sensationalism 

Wow. I've seen plenty of articles that continue to perpetrate this silly notion of a 4G war between WiMax and LTE, but I have to congratulate you on being the 1st to turn it into an act of S&M. Spanking? Geez!

These type of sensational headlines do nothing but detract from any objective discussion of the changing wireless landscape, and how it will enhance consumer experiences. The facts are that WiMax is becoming available now, and LTE will be here a year or two later. Great! I can't wait to break the restraints of my sluggish, sub-Mbps DSL... and I'm in the heart of silicon valley! (Thought you might appreciate some more S&M).

WiMax will be Sprint/Clearwire's 4G platform, and LTE will be ATT, Verizon et al. WiMax moves to 802.16m, LTE moves to LTE-advanced. What's the problem? Anyone with any inkling of the history of the wireless industry knows better than to expect a single global standard. Competition is always good, and there's no need to characterize it as "make or break".

Regards,

Mike Demler

Charlie Clark

@Mike: Yes and no 

In fact both WiMax and LTE are becoming available at the moment. WiMax has the edge when it comes to handsets but LTE deployments are starting in Europe.

You're right to point out that there isn't that much of a battle but that's because the two technologies are actually very similar. While WiMax has the advantage of already being available in some parts of the US, uptake is going to be very slow. LTE has the advantage of allowing more reuse of existing infrastructure. And, with networks increasingly contracting out network management to suppliers, rollout should happen quite quickly. LTE also has the considerable advantage of coming out of the major networks talking shop: they've been able to ask for what they want.

As for which "brand" will succeed over time, well the market will decide that. But it's unlikely to be on technical merits. The argument that competing technologies will deliver the best product at the best price doesn't really hold water. It gave us the VHS cassette and the ISA bus. Given the costs of the R&D and deployment it is also too risky to try out which is why wireless technologies are converging. Sprint/Nextel didn't drop IDEN for technological but economic reasons. And GSM's predominance was also down to economic reasons. Initially GSM was totally unimportant in the US but GSM/UMTS is now the dominant technology in the US.

The networks will accept anything that can be put on a single chip. Intel's undoubted engineering prowess should help adopters there but seeing as there are very, very few handsets with Intel radios that is a handicap at the moment but if Intel can convince manufacturers to use it's systems that could change very quickly. UMTS showed that the demand for the highest possible data speeds was not that great: very few people were prepared to buy new devices and pay premium tarriffs. Only when prices dropped significantly did use take off. Ironically the notional competition from the technically inferior WiFi was important in setting price expectations. Those same expectations are there as the various HSPA upgrades and LTE are rolled out.

So as the article points out: WiMax is likely to be more interesting for places without much existing wireless data coverage. But for established markets it does look very much like the barrier to entry is too high and the window of opporunity too small. This is reflected in the very poor take up of WiMax licences in the countries that tried to auction them.

Andus McCoatover

Not the only place... 

http://www.panoulu.net/news/en/1239958800

<<City of Oulu started to build a wireless MobileWiMAX network with several corporate partners in 2008. Building and investing were started as a EU funded panOULU district project. The steering group decided to discontinue the efforts in building the MobileWiMAX network in its session in 2009-02-27. Read more (in Finnish)>>.

This in Nokia's "Home Town". Sodding hell. Buggers this...( I used to train network operators globally on this seriously magic device)

http://www.blogspan.net/presse/sexy-flexi-takes-top-prize-worlds-most-energy-efficient-base-station-wins-best-network-technology-advance-at-gsma-global-mobile-awards-2009/mitteilung/36486/

Anonymous Coward

Good Luck, WiMax! 

Paris Hilton

Vendors will typically develop for the larger ecosystem. Customers of WiMax operators will face the same lack of choice and higher price with handsets/devices that customers of CDMA operators currently have. Most of these CDMA operators are switching to LTE. New WiMax operators haven't experienced this issue yet (but will) and Sprint is simply making the wrong network choice.

Competition is good. But competition between standards isn't. Good luck to the WiMax backers; they're going to need it.

(Paris: just 'cause)