A climate prof noted for data mining of archived ships' logs has produced further insights into global warming. Dr Dennis Wheeler of Sunderland Uni says his latest analysis shows sudden warming of the North Atlantic and Europe - much like that seen in recent times - during the 1730s. This, Wheeler believes, shows that widespread …
I'm unsure as to the exact implications of this...
Does this mean that piracy (as I'm sure the Spanish authorities viewed this at the time) was the cause of global warming or that due to piracy global warming was averted and temperatures lowered a few years later?
Should I attempt therefore to do my bit to save the world now by downloading stuff from the internet?
So which do we believe the complex science of annalysing Ice samples going back thousands of years...
Or sailors stating they've had a hot summer....
It's just 'denialist' propaganda.
Note to the Eco-Nazis;
Sarcasm in use here!
>but what our data shows is that climate science is complex and that it is wrong to take particular events and link them to CO2 emissions
Sadly if it *is* linked to human CO2 emissions and we just ignore it we are f*cked. That is the nature of the beast, you can't take the risk.
Paris.. because she doesn't take risks.
And the rest
During the Viking expansion there is evidence of significant global warming a period sometimes called "the little climactic optimum". But then the crowd who want to link global warming to CO2 emissions like to ignore that one.
If we ignore it...
"Sadly if it *is* linked to human CO2 emissions and we just ignore it we are f*cked. That is the nature of the beast, you can't take the risk"
Is that a promise? Not been f*cked for hours so I might just go out and light a bonfire to help!
(Do I really need need explain the Paris link after that comment?)
RE:the little climactic optimum
I think you mean CLIMATIC, or was Paris around way back then too ?
Europe or even Northern Atlantic is just a small part of the globe. This data is interesting, but be careful about calling it global warming, it might just as well be a change in currents or winds that made one part of the globe warmer and some other part colder. I suppose we'll have to wait for the scientific article to be publish to learn the real details about what was found. (Never trust public media to get a scientific story straight)
Uh, how did you find out about the Climactic Optimum if there's a huge conspiracy about global warming???
Aye, I understand: you're a fuckwit.
I blame the unicorns
Tell me oh great Google, did the unicorns cause global warming in 1730?
The search [did unicorns cause global warming in 1730] Returns 1540 results, so apparently there's a link there....
Either that or I can shown any correlation given a large enough and diverse enough set of data to be mined. On the other hand, where did the Unicorns go??? Did you kill them Lewis??
[lewis page murdered unicorns] returns 39100 results.....
Pirates are the Chosen Prophets of the FSM (Pasta Be Upon Him) and Global Warming is His Noodlyness' Holy Retribution for our murder of His Chosen.
So, yes. Pirate away. And you will come Closer To Him and the World Shall Be Saved!
@dervheid "eco-nazi" is not sarcasm, it's indicative of you being a shit-eating mough breather polluting the planet and busy pissing in the shallow end of the gene pool
(note for the fuckwits: the above was sarcasm. honest).
no no no, it's clearly humans...
you can tax the air to high heaven, so it must be humans
the cynic one please
"So which do we believe the complex science of annalysing Ice samples going back thousands of years...
Or sailors stating they've had a hot summer...."
Probably the sailors.
The captain was required to keep a detailed record of each voyage and, to be honest having something to do probably stopped them going a little too mad. Importantly they weren't actually looking for anything in the numbers, just writing them down. The climate scientists looking for evidence of man-made global warming are more likely to find it, possibly ignoring the samples that don't fit the pattern they are looking for - it's human nature, consious or otherwise.
Easy way to find historical temperatures in a ship's log:
If the handwriting was a bit shaky, it was cold. If the page has sweaty finger marks it was hot.
More and more evidence against human induced global warming...
... I feel the end coming. Within one year all this anti-human Green propaganda will be over and done with.
What's the next scare?
Actually there's a known inverse correlation between piracy and Global Warming as all true Pastafarians have been aware of for some time. See here for a graph illustrating this point about halfway down the page:
I've not seen any evidence that downloading free stuff from the Internet qualifies sufficiently as piracy in traditional terms to counteract Global Warming, but you could try wearing a wooden leg and eypatch and shouting such things as "Avast ye lubbers!" while downloading and see if that helps. If you can run to sailing around in a galleon flying the Jolly Roger and letting off the odd broadside as well, you might be on to something.
How about a look at the temp data
of all the submaring fleets over the last 60 years. A much more detailed model would be available.
Little ice age
I wonder if Mr Wheeler has managed to read as far as the 1770's.
The hot period referred to here was followed by one of the 3 little ice ages.
Now don't get me wrong. I firmly believe that climate change is happening and that we have little control of the outcomes.
It would seem pretty obvious that if certain substances and chemicals are likely to exacerbate the problem then we should do all we can to reduce the use / output of those.
A bigger worry is a (long overdue) return to much colder conditions.
The UK and northern Europe are protected by the warming effect of the Atlantic conveyor.
Negate its effects and we could be in for a much worse time than if the temperature goes up by a few more degrees.
Penguins - because they could be eating from my bird table shortly!
And yes I know that penguins are found at the southern pole not the northern one.
The ones i refer to will have escaped from zoo's
As any Flying Spaghetti Monster-ist will tell you, piracy is a good thing. It's the decline in the number of pirates that produces global warming. You can prove it with a graph, so it must be true (just like Al Gore's graphs).
The reason for the warming in the 1730's is that they captured only _one_ treasure ship. Had they looted more, warming would have been averted.
Nobody who's serious about AGW denies that previous warm periods have occurred, nor that they coincide with various periodic cycles. The problem with the current uptick in temperatures is twofold:
1) its onset is markedly faster than information we've collected from various sources (ice core samples, paleobotanical research, ocean bed stratigraphy, dendrochronology) indicates that previous cycles have been
2) it doesn't actually map to any of the cycles (sunspots, orbital wobbles etc) that the denialists point to as causing warming.
@ Geoff Webber
The UK and northern Europe are protected by the warming effect of the Atlantic conveyor.
Not much protection, she was sunk during the Falkland's War.
Same shit different day.
Yet more evidence that this Global Climate change is a natural event.
But yet the powers that be want us to believe its all the nasty humans fault and that the answer to save mother Gaia is to tax us more and convince us that turning off a light bulb will save us from the coming Apocalypse.
Instead of doing all that pesky stuff like, clearing the national debt and trying to make a surplus incase of a natural event requiring the relocation of huge populations and/or reuilding of towns.
Making sure we have enough food supplies to last us at least a year incase all the crops fail.
And making huge sea and flood defences to help minimize the above.
*\. Mines the one with "Im a Patio Heater" writtern on the back.
I wonder how many decades it will take
for the masses to realise that the wool is being pulled over their eyes as far as climate change is concerned.
One day, we'll look back on this decade and laugh at how gullible we were to have fallen for propaganda designed to induce terror, subdue the masses, and raise taxes.
That's if the New World Order hasn't enslaved the human race by then, of course.
Black helicopter, as global warming is a global conspiracy by those in power.
"As any Flying Spaghetti Monster-ist will tell you,..."
Don't you mean "As any Pastafarian will tell you,..."?
Yes, they really should have looted more Spanish ships to keep the temp consistent. I'll do my part by copying as many DVDs as I can shake a stick at.
I thought the prominent scientist that developed the use of ice cores claimed that they're all contaminated and shouldn't be taken as exact readings?
The climate is always changing and it's human centrist arrogance that claims we caused it - it's just we humans are causing the change to be more pronounced and closer to the "extreme" side rather than causing the change.
We have lived in an unusual period of relatively stability environment-wise.. was only a matter of time before the earth returns to normal!
Cats and dogs.
Those who are "deniers" (a lovely little phrase is that) will continue to find reasons why the GW Fascists are wrong and those who think we are responsible will continue to hurl childish insults and repetitive facts at everyone who'll listen. Billions get handed out to people intent on proving we are responsible and those who question it get accused of being akin to holocaust deniers.
Meanwhile the plan for greater surveillance, ID cards, the unification of security forces, the end of the welfare state, the end of the NHS and probably some sort of new war in Iran/Pakistan are all being carried out.
But that's ok guys, you stick to bickering about whether the ice record can be trusted or not. Cus we all know that the UN is utterly reliable, would never ever fall into a trap of being manipulated into a stance not based on hard fact (caucasian heterosexual AID's epidemic anyone?) and is absolutely bang on the money when it's pet scientists scream abuse at anyone who tries to say "do the figures really say what you claim and why are plenty more scientists against global warming (around 17,000) as compared to the 2500 the UN can summon to say it's true?"
You're verging on being Golgafrinchans.
How many here are old enough to remember the 1970s era Global Cooling scare?
global warming bs
one more evidence against the political agenda of the eco-nazis!
I'm so tired of this crazy mumbo-jumbo that eco-nazis spill out on us, including the Heathrow expansion, come-on... heathrow needs a new runway and those idiots talk about global warming.
PAris, because even with her challenged intelligence can grasp the concepts.
How many here are old enough to remember
paddling in Sheffield city centre last year?
We will laugh at ourselves when AGW is proven
Sadly, no. Instead, we will be hunting down the scientists and hanging them from the nearest tree (if any are to be found) in revenge for our misery.
The final stage: hunt down the innocent, persecute the messengers, promote the uninvolved.
Dammed canary you sold me has died. It is deceased, dead, passed away, and I want my money returned.
North Atlantic and Europe <> Globe
So it doesn't actually show "global" warming at all.
I'm old enough to remember the 1970s global cooling scare, but hat's all it was - a scare.
Some climatologists of the time had a theory that interglacials such as the one we've been living in for the last 10K years had a mean lifetime of - well about 10K years. When they looked at climactic data, there was also a marked downturn in global temperatures during the middle 20th Century. So it was a reasonable theory to propose we were looking at the end of an interglacial with global temperatures likely to go into long term decline.
HOWEVER, that was only ever a minority point of view - albeit a well publicised one. The majority of global climate scientists had concluded that temperatures would either remain stable or, even begin to warm. They were looking at the various Milankovich Cycles that appear to have been driving the Pleistocene and Holocene climate changes.
We now know that the decline in the mid 20th Century is more linked to the huge aerosol emissions associated with the rapid industrialisation of the Northern Hemisphere, particularly in North America, the USSR and China, much of which was driven by high sulphur coal. As these economies gradually switched to cleaner coal and increasingly to oil and gas; and began to limit industrial emissions, the skies cleared and temperatures began to rise.
And if anyone is still reading - (hello) - the Medieval Warm Period is responsible for Greenland being MARGINALLY warmer than it is today - it was never green - that was Viking spin. Unlike the current warming, its effects were not global; the North Atlantic saw large amounts of warming, but the Pacific was cooler. It also came on much slower than the current warming, so its cause was probably not related to what we're seeing today.
Tall penguins or low bird table?
Climate change is like shit..it happens
la la la la I'm so happy so very happy - records show that climate change has happen before and during our short stay on this little mudball; it will continue to happen - hold on tight!!!!
@Charlie: How would data from "submaring fleets over the last 60 years" provide any insight into temperature trends in the 1730's?
Re: time travel
"""@Charlie: How would data from "submaring fleets over the last 60 years" provide any insight into temperature trends in the 1730's?"""
I agree. There has been plenty of temperature data gathered over the last 60 years from a variety of sources. Letting out information about where various subs were at what time could obviously be a bad thing.
Plus 60 years is nothing on the scale of global climate. The value here is that these records go back for quite a while, which means you can look at longer trends and things.
I doubt that these scientists are pouring over data to find a few global warming / cooling events - they probably just wandered across them while compiling a set of temperatures which can later be used to compare with climate models.
Gods I wish the political side of this climate thing would go away. And the sad thing is that AGW is just about the last thing we should be worried about from CO2 / other pollutants.
Hansen can fix the data
High temperatures can be corrected, just give the data to James Hansen, the NASA expert at revising older temperatures downwards to better fit his superior reconstruction of the actual temperatures! Yeah right!
I remember a BBC horizon (or it could have been the CH4 Equinox) programme which examined the changing cycles of hot and extreme cold over hundreds of millions of years. A great deal was made of a graph showing CO2 levels versus temperature. There have been several ( I forget the number) "spikes" where CO2 rapidly rose, but in every case, the rise in temperature was followed by the rise in CO2.
The most important thing that the graph showed however, was that the spike was over very quickly, and both CO2 and temperature dropped like a stone with 50 years, ie temps went down by 15 to 20 C.
I can't find a reference anywhere to this programme now, and I really would like to. I'm not dreaming it, and the longer I look without finding it, the more suspicious I get. So, if you know where it can be found, please post a link or a reference.
Part of the scenario they described involved methane ice escaping due to highter ocean temps, which pushed the warming effect over the top. This programme was shown at least 6 or 7 years ago, before GW became the poster child it is today. There have been later programmes that are very similiar (methane ice, ice cores etc) but none of them shows more than about 400K years back in time on the graph. The graph I remember showed things over a much greater time scale. All we get these days is the hockey stick doom graph. The other graph was more accurate.
RE time travel
@AC - it's all that wibbly wobbly, timey wimey stuff ; very complicated.
Global war.. - opps 'Climate Change'
We're spending so much time and effort doing research into all this when we could all be happy and doing nothing!
That 'Global Warming' is now 'Climate Change'
Whatever happens it will be YOUR FAULT.
"it wasn't normal for warships to carry thermometers at the time, so much of the analysis draws on winds and the "consistent language"?
What is that supposed to mean?
Scraping the bottom of the barrel
For benefit of Lewis, here's the Royal Navy's temperature estimating methodology in full.
(Shiver / Timbers) * SQRT (y0-h0)+BTL(rum) = PROFIT
Conclusive proof that it is our God / Adam Smith given right to burn poor peoples' food sitting in rows of metal boxes for four hours a day so as we can exchange paper for plastic and bright lights to make us feel less miserable.
The greens do indeed hate your freedoms you rugged individualist, 4x4-driving, gadget-stimulating, fearless iconoclasts you. It is all a conspiracy, of course. Those pesky scientists and their published papers and discussions.
I'm trying to coin an appropriate "tard"ism but can't decide on Libtards, Nettards, Marketards, Smithtards, Randtards, Exxotards or just plain wilfully ignorant selfish cunts. (Which I guess takes us back to Libtards)
Anyone locate the journal article by Wheeler?
I've googled and I can't find the original article or the "The Holocene" journal. I'd really like to take a look at it.
All I've found are a bunch of blogs saying the article indicates our current global warming isn't man made, in spite of Wheeler saying something to the effect of "current global warming is a reality".
The Register is LYING to you.
All of you, including the people that recognise that this is not evidence against AGW, have failed to see that The Register is LYING to you. The headline says "global warming" but if you check the Times article, what do you find?
“This shows that during the 1730s, Europe underwent a period of rapid warming similar to that recorded recently”
The data does not show GLOBAL warming, it shows EUROPEAN warming. Why did The Register feel the need to LIE in their headline?
So if it only affects Europe and the Northern Atlantic then it isn't Global Warming?
What about the current warming that is only affecting the Northern Hemisphere (the Southern Hemisphere is getting colder / no change)? Is this Global Warming?
Does this mean that everyone talking about GLOBAL warming is LYING to me too?
The reg has been pushing the denialist barrow for some time now.
It seems tech people, despite their "ïntelligence" swallow the denailist agenda whole, you know the one promoted and pushed by-surprise surprise- the oil industry formany years.
They even claim scientists lie about the results of test-simply pathetic.
RE:the little climactic optimum
It was probably the Viking habit of setting fire to boats at funerals that caused it.
In the 1730s it was most likely all the hot cannon balls being fired into the Atlantic that caused it.
Sailors vs thermometers
For a bunch of independent sailors to notice differences would surely take larger changes than the fraction of a degree measured by modern science.
I could understand them all getting a global warming group think if they all had satellite TV watching Al Gore, but they did not. This made for many independent observations.
Of course in Antarctica seeing a lot of ice does not necessarily mean cooler times, it could also mean warmer times and that bits are breaking off... or it might just be coincidental and mean nothing at all.
Changes in wind/swell patterns can also break up ice sheets and cause these to be carried away to be melted elsewhere. Changes in wind/currents can also cause upwellings of deep water which can melt faster.
The global warming computer models that predict doom and gloom have far more variables than we understand and eventually the model gets massaged to provide the politically correct result required on the day.
weather is fractal
It is irregular at every scale. It is unwise to link global warming to specific events, because if you use specific events to support the theory of global warming, you look like an idiot when other specific events don't support the theory. Specific events that do and don't support global warming will always occur, because weather is fractal.
The problem is that there are a lot of idiots out there using specific events to "prove" global warming. The association of global warming with idiots does no one any favours.